Schedule & Results
RUTGRutgersW37-21✗Wk 2vsSAHESacred HeartW37-10✓Wk 3vsSTONStonehillWk 4@
SACSacramento State+32.71%Wk 5vs
EMUEastern Michigan+21.28%Wk 6vs
M-OHMiami (OH)+18.711%Wk 7@
BUFBuffalo+22.55%Wk 8@
CONNUConn+29.02%Wk 10vs
BALLBall State+6.633%Wk 11@
TOLToledo+30.91%Wk 12vs
AKRAkron+19.410%Wk 13@
BGSUBowling Green+17.99%Team Leaders
William Watson IIIPassing349 yds · 4 TD · 0 INT
Elijah FaulknerRushing134 yds · 0 TD · 4.5 avg
Joseph Griffin Jr.Receiving5 rec · 120 yds · 1 TD
Khari BendolphTackles14 tackles · 0.5 TFL · 0.5 sacks
Latest on Massachusetts
All news →William Watson III had a hand in four of Massachusetts's six explosive plays
Rutgers Kept KJ Duff and Rebuilt Almost Everything Else
Roster · 102 players
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | Wt | Hometown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | William Watson III | QB | SR | 6'0" | 210 | Springfield, MA |
| 7 | Will Perry | QB | JR | 6'2" | 205 | Andover, MA |
| 10 | Ty McCutcheon | QB | JR | 6'3" | 200 | Honolulu, HI |
| 13 | Aedan McCarthy | QB | FR | 6'5" | 230 | Bluffton, SC |
| 16 | Logan Inagawa | QB | SO | 5'11" | 210 | Peachtree City, GA |
| 0 | Jordan Washington | RB | JR | 6'1" | 215 | Helena, AL |
| 4 | Da'Marion Alberic | RB | JR | 5'10" | 190 | West Palm Beach, FL |
| 6 | Justin Williams-Thomas | RB | SR | 6'0" | 220 | Dallas, GA |
| 14 | Curtis Kimmons IV | RB | SR | 5'11" | 230 | Orlando, FL |
| 20 | Ricardo Laboy | RB | JR | 5'10" | 185 | Bedford, MA |
| 22 | TK Davis | RB | FR | 5'10" | 190 | Washington, DC |
| 23 | Elijah Faulkner | RB | SO | 5'9" | 195 | Pittsburgh, PA |
| 33 | Justin Lewis | RB | FR | 5'10" | 200 | Los Angeles, CA |
| 1 | Joseph Griffin Jr. | WR | SR | 6'4" | 210 | Springfield, MA |
| 2 | T.Y. Harding | WR | SR | 5'9" | 185 | Cambridge, MA |
| 3 | Elijah Pedro | WR | SO | 6'1" | 190 | Upper Marlboro, MD |
| 8 | Kezion Dia-Johnson | WR | JR | 6'0" | 185 | Phoenix, AZ |
| 9 | Devin Matthews | WR | SR | 5'9" | 200 | Seguin, TX |
| 12 | David Moore Jr. | WR | FR | 5'11" | 180 | West Orange, NJ |
| 15 | Tavian Dashiell | WR | FR | 6'0" | 170 | Salisbury, MD |
| 17 | Dallas Elliott | WR | SR | 6'3" | 200 | Northampton, MA |
| 19 | Jabari Lewis | WR | SR | 5'11" | 190 | Miami, FL |
| 21 | Kai Owens | WR | FR | 6'2" | 190 | Carpentersville, IL |
| 80 | Isaiah Simmons | WR | FR | 5'9" | 175 | Boston, MA |
| 85 | Drew Alsup | WR | FR | 5'9" | 175 | Groveland, MA |
| 11 | Max Dowling | TE | SR | 6'6" | 260 | Buffalo, NY |
| 18 | Matt Ogunniyi | TE | JR | 6'5" | 235 | Springdale, MD |
| 83 | Reece Adkins | TE | SR | 6'6" | 260 | Lake Mary, FL |
| 86 | Jax Markovich | TE | SO | 6'4" | 250 | Scottsdale, AZ |
| 87 | Owen Anderson | TE | SR | 6'4" | 260 | Skillman, NJ |
| 88 | John Condakes | TE | JR | 6'3" | 250 | Dedham, MA |
| 89 | Matthew Tybor | TE | FR | 6'4" | 260 | Tolland, CT |
| 35 | Magnus Von Saldern | OL | SR | 6'4" | 280 | Berlin |
| 50 | Gavin Wilson | OL | SO | 6'6" | 300 | Greenville, SC |
| 55 | Ben Noome | OL | FR | 6'9" | 310 | Redding, CT |
| 57 | Garrett Cooper | OL | SO | 6'6" | 315 | Delmar, DE |
| 59 | Nick Dalessandro | OL | SR | 6'4" | 305 | Chagrin Falls, OH |
| 63 | Aidan Canty-Whitt | OL | FR | 6'3" | 320 | Concord, MA |
| 64 | Peyton Miller | OL | SR | 6'3" | 330 | Westernport, MD |
| 65 | Samu Suominen | OL | SO | 6'4" | 330 | Vaasa |
| 66 | Greg Knox III | OL | SR | 6'6" | 315 | Alexandria, LA |
| 67 | Will McNamara | OL | FR | 6'5" | 285 | Colpy's Bay, ON |
| 69 | Brock Taylor | OL | JR | 6'3" | 350 | Hanover, VA |
| 73 | Zachary Franks | OL | SR | 6'6" | 310 | Baltimore, MD |
| 74 | Jake McGrath | OL | FR | 6'6" | 310 | Charlestown, MA |
| 75 | Tanner Burlingame | OL | JR | 6'5" | 305 | Endwell, NY |
| 76 | Riley Bloch | OL | JR | 6'3" | 310 | Needham, MA |
| 77 | Jaxon King | OL | SR | 6'7" | 315 | Placerville, CA |
| 78 | Greg Klingensmith | OL | SR | 6'5" | 325 | Apollo, PA |
| 79 | Aitor Urionabarrenechea | OL | SR | 6'5" | 350 | Lancaster, CA |
| 2 | Joshua Nobles | DL | SR | 6'4" | 270 | Camden, NJ |
| 9 | Justin Krueger | DL | JR | 6'4" | 270 | Marietta, GA |
| 10 | Aubrey Melvin | DL | SO | 6'3" | 325 | Brandywine, MD |
| 11 | Jerry Washington | DL | SO | 6'2" | 255 | Goodyear, AZ |
| 17 | Zachary Betts | DL | JR | 6'2" | 250 | Bowie, MD |
| 26 | CJ Amobi | DL | FR | 6'3" | 245 | Upper Darby, PA |
| 34 | Payton Andrade | DL | SR | 6'1" | 240 | Watertown, MA |
| 42 | Andrew DePaepe | DL | JR | 6'5" | 260 | Bettendorf, IA |
| 55 | Zakar Morris | DL | JR | 6'2" | 300 | Poughkeepsie, NY |
| 58 | Donovan Murphy | DL | FR | 6'4" | 255 | Glenarden, MD |
| 88 | Samuel Mulbah | DL | FR | 6'3" | 265 | Harrisburg, PA |
| 90 | Tim Passmore Jr. | DL | SR | 6'2" | 340 | Cocoa, FL |
| 92 | Romando Johnson | DL | SO | 6'3" | 250 | Lauderhill, FL |
| 94 | Colin Reynolds | DL | SR | 6'3" | 260 | Westford, MA |
| 95 | Hollis Dirstine | DL | SR | 6'2" | 290 | Acton, MA |
| 97 | Robert Ekins | DL | FR | 6'2" | 285 | Butler, NJ |
| 98 | William DePaepe | DL | JR | 6'6" | 260 | Bettendorf, IA |
| 99 | Kamarion Thomas | DL | SO | 6'3" | 295 | Saint Albans, NY |
| 5 | Tyler Martin | LB | SR | 6'2" | 240 | Acton, MA |
| 6 | Joshua Iseah | LB | SR | 6'2" | 240 | Charlotte, NC |
| 15 | Khari Bendolph | LB | SO | 6'1" | 220 | Broward County, FL |
| 16 | Kendric Council | LB | JR | 6'2" | 230 | Upper Marlboro, MD |
| 18 | Dinos Drossos | LB | SO | 6'2" | 215 | Tucson, AZ |
| 36 | David Timson | LB | SO | 5'10" | 225 | Beverly, MA |
| 40 | Moritz Strempel | LB | FR | 6'3" | 230 | Cologne |
| 44 | Timmy Hinspeter | LB | SR | 6'1" | 235 | Montgomery, NY |
| 0 | Isaiah Reed | CB | SR | 6'0" | 180 | Tampa, FL |
| 4 | Chris Stanley | CB | JR | 6'0" | 185 | Akron, OH |
| 7 | TJ Magee | CB | SR | 5'10" | 195 | Denham Springs, LA |
| 12 | Corey Warner | CB | FR | 5'11" | 195 | Louisville, KY |
| 13 | Raheim Sexil | CB | JR | 6'1" | 200 | Bradenton, FL |
| 21 | Terron Johnson | CB | FR | 5'11" | 180 | Harlem, NY |
| 23 | JC Clark | CB | SO | 5'10" | 175 | Dayton, OH |
| 28 | Ahkir Morgan | CB | FR | 5'10" | 185 | West Orange, NJ |
| 8 | Michael Robinson | DB | SR | 5'11" | 200 | Montclair, NJ |
| 1 | DD Snyder | S | SR | 6'0" | 200 | Tampa, FL |
| 3 | Kendall Bournes | S | SR | 6'0" | 205 | Union, NJ |
| 14 | Jose Touron | S | JR | 5'10" | 180 | Taunton, MA |
| 19 | David Chiavegato | S | FR | 5'11" | 190 | Falmouth, MA |
| 20 | Keith Sarkodieh | S | JR | 6'2" | 195 | Worcester, MA |
| 22 | Jahmad Harmon | S | SR | 5'10" | 180 | Indianapolis, IN |
| 24 | Ted Mondesir | S | FR | 6'2" | 200 | Hamilton, NJ |
| 25 | Anochie Azuakolam Jr. | S | SO | 6'2" | 185 | Dorchester, MA |
| 27 | Michael Pangaro | S | JR | 6'1" | 185 | Cheshire, CT |
| 29 | Kareem Pruitt | S | FR | 6'3" | 180 | Lansing, MI |
| 38 | Zeraun Daniel | S | SR | 6'1" | 220 | Brooklyn, NY |
| 33 | Seamus McIntyre | PK | FR | 6'2" | 230 | Concord, NH |
| 99 | Derek Morris | PK | JR | 6'2" | 205 | Dayton, OH |
| 43 | Edward Phillipson | P | JR | 6'4" | 220 | Melbourne, VIC |
| 46 | Michael Streeter | P | SO | 6'4" | 220 | Werribee, SA |
| 51 | Grant Mills | LS | JR | 5'10" | 225 | Mooresville, NC |
| 56 | James Horton | LS | JR | 6'0" | 215 | Westport, CT |
Team Statistics · per game, with national FBS rank
Rank is national among all FBS teams (#1 = best), oriented so higher rank = better even for defensive and discipline metrics. Bars show percentile.
Scouting Report · 2026 projection
Massachusetts is in year 2 under Joe Harasymiak. The strengths are defensive, led by 23rd at keeping everything in front of them. The way in is 138th at throwing it, and they are 138th at moving the ball on the ground.
Massachusetts has played 1 game against a genuinely tough slate, adjusted for here. That football carries about 0% of what is below; the rest is still the preseason projection.
Projected strengths
- Defensehitting chunk plays#23projected
Projected soft spots
- Offensethrowing it#138projected
- Offensemoving the ball on the ground#138projected
- Offensefirst and second down#138projected
Each bar is where this team sits in the country. Before the season has produced enough football these are PROJECTIONS — last season regressed to the mean, plus talent, returning production, recruiting and whether the staff is the same one — and the season replaces them as it is played. Head coaches only — there is no free feed for coordinators, so on a program where the head coach does not call the offense this describes the staff he hired. Play-calling identity is a style, not a grade: throwing more than the situations warrant is not better than throwing less than they warrant.
2026 Season Projection
model win prob · 9 to playHow the season could finish · 2026 · chance of each final win total · 9 games left
Every remaining game simulated from the model's win probability for it. Tallest bar is the single likeliest finish, not a prediction that it happens.
Player Value
EPA contribution by position group + estimated NIL market value (derived from position rates and on-field production — not actual deal figures).
Total EPA produced by each positional group this season. OL value is captured via the rush/pass efficiency of skill players; OL-specific EPA isn't separately reported.
Estimated from position-group market rates and on-field EPA contribution. Actual NIL valuations depend on social media following, brand fit, and market negotiations — these figures are directional only.
The Five Factors
ranked vs. FBS · bar = betterOpponent-adjusted efficiency
EPA/play vs. schedulePass vs. rush (PPA)
Trenches & disruption
- Line yards (off)
- 3.39#36
- 2nd-level / open-field
- 1.47 / 1.07
- Power / stuff (off)
- 60.0% / 19.0%
- Havoc — total (def)
- 15.7%#67
- Havoc — front 7 / DB
- 6.7% / 9.0%
Standard vs. passing downs
ProPPA on each down type (off vs. def).
Opponent-adjusted by down
Pro| 1st | 2nd | 3rd | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offense | 0.23#27 | 0.56#16 | 0.48#81 |
| Defense | -0.28#18 | 0.34#109 | 0.26#53 |
Elo Trajectory
Team Fingerprint · 2026 · 43 opponent-adjusted metrics · percentile vs 138 FBS teams
Plot these →Efficiency
- Offense EPA/play0.3983rd
- Defense EPA/play allowed0.0361st
- Offense success rate50%72nd
- Defense success rate allowed38%50th
Downs
- Offense success — standard downs56%82nd
- Offense success — passing downs31%40th
- Defense success allowed — standard downs40%61st
- Defense success allowed — passing downs34%20th
Explosiveness
- Offense explosiveness1.245th
- Defense explosiveness allowed1.342nd
- Offense explosiveness — standard downs1.176th
- Offense explosiveness — passing downs1.514th
Trenches
- Offense line yards3.476th
- Defense line yards allowed2.469th
- Offense highlight yards1.048th
- Defense highlight yards allowed0.0298th
- Offense power success0.4811th
- Defense power success allowed0.8029th
- Offense stuff rate0.1840th
- Defense stuff rate0.2255th
Third down
- Third down conversion35%28th
- Third down distance faced7.136th
- Third down conversion allowed27%82nd
- Third down distance forced8.074th
Halves
- Net success rate — first half0.2081st
- Net success rate — second half0.0134th
Drives
- Points per drive3.787th
- Points per drive allowed1.865th
- Average starting field position4199th
- Opponent starting field position2482nd
- Available yards gained58%70th
- Available yards allowed41%74th
- Scoring opportunities per drive80%50th
- Scoring opportunities allowed58%96th
- Points per scoring opportunity4.691st
- Points allowed per opportunity3.047th
- Three-and-out rate20%64th
- Three-and-outs forced50%96th
Roster
- Returning usage14%10th
- Returning EPA-3.41st
- Team talent composite5267th
- Recruiting class rank11616th
- Recruiting class points16716th
Every metric is opponent-adjusted and ranked so that higher is always better — a defensive rate that is good when low is ranked accordingly. Sack and tackle-for-loss composition are deliberately absent: their relationship to team quality is a measured null, so they carry a style rather than a rank, and they appear in the pressure signature instead.
Intelligence Report
Offensive DNA
Pass efficiency edge: 0.457 EPA/play
Defensive Identity
Disruption comes primarily from the secondary.
Season Signature
2-0 record through 2 games.
Team Shape · percentile vs. FBS · dashed = 50th
Each axis = national percentile rank. 100th = best in FBS, 0th = worst. Defense and Havoc are oriented so higher = better.
CORE efficiency · situation and opponent removed
Points per 100 plays above average, after the game state is regressed out of every snap and the schedule is solved out across the whole league. The version of this team’s efficiency that can be compared to a team it never played.
What a possession is worth · 10 drives
Play-calling identity
Against what the league calls from the same down, distance, field position, score and clock — so this is the staff, not the game script.
- Pass rate
- 38.3%
- Expected, given the spots
- 39.4%
- Over expected
- -1.0
- Fourth down vs peers
- -10
- Fourth down vs the model
- -33
National Landscape · 2026 FBS · offense vs. defense EPA/play
Each dot = one FBS team. Massachusetts is highlighted. Tap or hover a dot for details.
Similar Programs
Teams with the closest offense + defense efficiency profile to Massachusetts in 2026
Similarity = normalized Euclidean distance on season offensive and defensive EPA/play. Teams within ±0.02 EPA/play on both units score >90%.
Program Trajectory · CORE rating · 2015–2026 · points per game vs an average FBS team
Program History
recent seasons| Year | Overall | Conf | Win % | xW | Luck |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 2-0 | 0-0 | 100% | 2.0 | +0.0 |
| 2025 | 0-12 | 0-8 | 0% | 1.6 | -1.6 |
| 2024 | 2-10 | 0-1 | 17% | 4.8 | -2.8 |
| 2023 | 3-9 | 1-1 | 25% | 4.2 | -1.2 |
| 2022 | 1-11 | 0-3 | 8% | 1.7 | -0.7 |
| 2021 | 1-11 | 0-0 | 8% | 1.3 | -0.3 |
| 2020 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0% | 0.0 | -0.0 |
| 2019 | 1-11 | 0-0 | 8% | 1.0 | -0.0 |
| 2018 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 33% | 4.5 | -0.5 |
| 2017 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 33% | 4.7 | -0.7 |
xW = expected wins from per-game dominance. Luck = actual − expected (positive = won close games).
1-0 so far, projected to finish 6.7-5.4. Wins the Mid-American in 1.4%.
If they finish with…
Their chance of making it at each final loss count.
up 0.1 points since preseason — won 37-21 over Rutgers against an expected margin of −38, so +54.0 against the number.
- At 1 loss they are 5.7% where the average Mid-American team is 39%.
- The Mid-American takes 0.07 bids in an average season.
- One bid goes to the best champion outside the P4. They take it in 0.1% of seasons, having won their league in 89% of those.
Massachusetts’s own turning points
Points of playoff probability between winning and losing.
- wk11at Toledo0.7
- wk8at UConn0.5
- wk6vs Miami (OH)0.5
- wk7at Buffalo0.4
- wk13at Bowling Green0.3
- wk5vs Eastern Michigan0.3
Who to root for
Games Massachusetts is not in that move its odds most. Same units, much smaller scale.
- wk13Michigan over Ohio State0.2
- wk7Rutgers over Maryland0.1
- wk11Rutgers over Nebraska0.1
- wk6North Dakota State over UNLV0.1
- wk3Oklahoma over New Mexico0.1
- wk6Ohio State over Maryland0.1
Mid-American
0-0 in league play, projected 3.5-4.58 of 13 by title oddsThe Mid-American sends its top two by conference winning percentage, head-to-head breaking a tie. The last berth is level on percentage in 46% of simulated seasons, so a tiebreaker decides it about that often.
- wk11Massachusetts at Toledo5.0
- wk6Miami (OH) at Massachusetts3.6
- wk7Massachusetts at Buffalo3.2
- wk13Massachusetts at Bowling Green2.7
Points of title probability riding on each result. The whole Mid-American race →
If not the playoff, then
Massachusetts is 2-0 and needs 4 more wins from 10 games to reach the six that make a team eligible — at most one of which may come against an FCS opponent.
- Arizona Bowl10%
- Famous Idaho Potato Bowl7.6%
- Myrtle Beach Bowl7.0%
- GameAbove Sports Bowl6.4%
- Boca Raton Bowl6.1%
- Cure Bowl4.9%
Recruiting Pipelines
since 2010Of the 170 high-school programs with a pipeline page here, 4 have sent Massachusetts a player since 2010 — 7 signees between them. Where they signed, not where they were offered, and not a complete list of Massachusetts's feeder schools: only these 170 have the outcome history to measure.