Skip to content
Trey Benson

#3Trey Benson

RB·Florida State·202320222.1 pts line valueDay 3 (Rds 4–7)

Trey Benson is a 2-year Committee Back for Florida State. Trey's 2023 season ranks in the 40th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 177 plays — a developing rate for the RB.

What projects, and what doesn't · RBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

  • Usage share (volume)0.52
    Beats guessing the RB average by 18%. n=4,219 RB seasons
  • EPA per play (efficiency)0.10
    Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=3,575 RB seasons
  • Total EPA (value)0.41
    Beats guessing the RB average by 9%. n=3,575 RB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Trey Benson's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2023 Production

Rushing
905 Rush yards14 Rush TD156 Carries5.8 Yards/carry
Receiving
20 Receptions227 Rec yards1 Rec TD11.3 Yards/rec
Returns
1 Kick returns0 KR yards0 KR TD

Performance Analysis · 2023 · vs RB peers

  • Efficiency40
  • Volume61
  • Explosiveness56
  • Consistency40
  • Receiving46
Player type
Committee Back

Part of a rotation — contributes in a complementary role and keeps the featured back fresh.

Rotational roleSituational use
Peer percentiles
Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)40th %ile · below avg
Game-to-game consistency40th %ile · below avg
Key findings
  • 4 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
  • Production faded as the season progressed — 0.13 EPA/play decline from first to second half.
  • Peak game: 0.79 EPA/play in Wk 6 vs Virginia Tech (SP+ 6).

NIL Market Tier· 2023

On3 valuation ↗
Contributor

Rotational contributor. Smaller collective or local deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Historical Comparables · RB · efficiency + volume + value

Players from 2013–2025 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.

PlayerTeamWEPA/playLine valTotal EPA
Saquon BarkleyPenn State0.3403.997.9
Travis EtienneClemson0.4704.7100.1
Dalvin CookFlorida State0.3404.399.3
Saquon BarkleyPenn State0.4105.298.4
James FlandersTulsa0.3904.9103.7

Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

+0.7900.79Wk 1 vs LSU: -0.09 EPA/play1Wk 2 vs Southern Miss: +0.74 EPA/play2Wk 3 vs Boston College: -0.13 EPA/play3Wk 4 vs Clemson: +0.44 EPA/play4Wk 6 vs Virginia Tech: +0.79 EPA/play6Wk 7 vs Syracuse: -0.14 EPA/play7Wk 8 vs Duke: -0.18 EPA/play8Wk 9 vs Wake Forest: +0.64 EPA/play9Wk 10 vs Pittsburgh: +0.02 EPA/play10Wk 11 vs Miami: +0.19 EPA/play11Wk 12 vs North Alabama: +0.13 EPA/play12Wk 13 vs Florida: +0.05 EPA/play13Wk 14 vs Louisville: -0.20 EPA/play14
EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost
WkOpponentResultOpp SP+CarRush YdsAvgRush TDRecRec YdsRec TDEPA/play
1vsLSUW45-2419.112473.90170-0.09
2vsSouthern MissW66-13-14.49798.8312000.74
3@Boston CollegeW31-29-5.912383.21110-0.13
4@ClemsonW31-2410.57253.6035000.44
6vsVirginia TechW39-175.81120018.2231500.79
7vsSyracuseW41-3-4.414745.30160-0.14
8vsDukeW38-209.410262.602-20-0.18
9@Wake ForestW41-16-7.910555.51410010.64
10@PittsburghW24-7-7.312978.110.02
11vsMiamiW27-209.616805.0211700.19
12vsNorth AlabamaW58-136223.710.13
13@FloridaW24-156.819955.031-200.05
14vsLouisvilleW16-68.018673.702150-0.20

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy
Overall
21.2%
Passing plays
5.4%
Rushing plays
37.5%
Standard downs
27.0%
Passing downs
8.9%
EPA by down type
Standard downs
0.14
Passing downs
0.20
Pass / Rush EPA
0.57 / 0.08

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

Career · rolling EPA, game by game

Per-game EPA5-game avg
+0.900−0.352023
EPA per play · 2022 — 2023 · 26 games
SeasonTeamLine valueTotal EPA
2022Florida State
2.3
46.8
2023Florida State
2.1
46.7

Chart shows per-game EPA (bars) and rolling 5-game average (line). Season breaks marked with dashed lines. Line value = est. points over replacement per game.

EPA = expected points added (opponent-adjusted). NIL estimates are model-based ranges, not reported deals. Data: CollegeFootballData. Not betting advice.