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TreVeyon Henderson
TreVeyon Henderson

#32TreVeyon Henderson

RB·Ohio State·2024202320213.1 pts line valueDay 2 (Rds 2–3)

TreVeyon Henderson is a 3-year Pass-Catching Back for Ohio State. TreVeyon's 2024 season ranks in the 93th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 164 plays — a elite rate for the RB. A five-star recruit in the class of 2021, TreVeyon has lived up to his recruiting pedigree.

What projects, and what doesn't · RBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

  • Usage share (volume)0.52
    Beats guessing the RB average by 18%. n=4,219 RB seasons
  • EPA per play (efficiency)0.10
    Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=3,575 RB seasons
  • Total EPA (value)0.41
    Beats guessing the RB average by 9%. n=3,575 RB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So TreVeyon Henderson's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

Recruiting Profile· Class of 2021

5-Star · Blue chip
Stars
247 composite
0.9872
National rank
#23
High school
Hopewell
Hometown
Hopewell, VA

Recruiting data from CFBD/247Sports composite. Sourced from the player's signing-class team — transfers show original school's class.

2024 Production

Rushing
1016 Rush yards10 Rush TD144 Carries7.1 Yards/carry
Receiving
27 Receptions284 Rec yards1 Rec TD10.5 Yards/rec
Returns
8 Kick returns67 KR yards0 KR TD

Performance Analysis · 2024 · vs RB peers

  • Efficiency93
  • Volume51
  • Explosiveness82
  • Consistency77
  • Receiving71
Player type
Pass-Catching Back

Third-down weapon out of the backfield. Routes, hands, and separation in coverage define this role as much as rushing.

3rd-down backReceiving threatPass protection
Peer percentiles
Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)93th %ile · elite
Game-to-game consistency77th %ile · above avg
Career trajectory:→ Stable
Key findings
  • Top-10% efficiency among RBs — elite opponent-adjusted EPA rate.
  • High game-to-game consistency — reliable floor each week.
  • 5 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
  • Peak game: 0.90 EPA/play in Wk 11 vs Purdue (SP+ -16).

NIL Market Tier· 2024

On3 valuation ↗
Starter

Meaningful starter. Local collective + position-group deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Historical Comparables · RB · efficiency + volume + value

Players from 2013–2025 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.

PlayerTeamWEPA/playLine valTotal EPA
Travis EtienneClemson0.4704.7100.1
Clyde Edwards-HelaireLSU0.4905.0105.8
Saquon BarkleyPenn State0.4105.298.4
Nick WilsonArizona0.4105.2102.5
Tyjae SpearsTulane0.4505.7105.3

Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

+0.9000.90Wk 1 vs Akron: +0.52 EPA/play1Wk 2 vs Western Michigan: +0.63 EPA/play2Wk 4 vs Marshall: +0.83 EPA/play4Wk 5 vs Michigan State: +0.20 EPA/play5Wk 6 vs Iowa: +0.05 EPA/play6Wk 7 vs Oregon: +0.06 EPA/play7Wk 9 vs Nebraska: +0.30 EPA/play9Wk 10 vs Penn State: +0.24 EPA/play10Wk 11 vs Purdue: +0.90 EPA/play11Wk 12 vs Northwestern: +0.47 EPA/play12Wk 13 vs Indiana: +0.18 EPA/play13Wk 14 vs Michigan: +0.08 EPA/play14
EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost
WkOpponentResultOpp SP+CarRush YdsAvgRush TDRecRec YdsRec TDEPA/play
1vsAkronW52-6-17.98658.1021800.52
2vsWestern MichiganW56-0-10.210666.620.63
4vsMarshallW49-143.167612.720.83
5@Michigan StateW38-7-4.67699.902-100.20
6vsIowaW35-715.811615.502200.05
7@OregonL31-3226.010878.702400.06
9vsNebraskaW21-175.510252.500.30
10@Penn StateW20-1324.610545.4012000.24
11vsPurdueW45-0-16.268514.2134300.90
12vsNorthwesternW31-7-8.211746.7021900.47
13vsIndianaW38-1520.19687.613500.18
14vsMichiganL10-1310.610212.1022500.08
20vsOregonW41-2126.089411.823200
20vsNotre DameW34-2323.912494.10
20vsTennesseeW42-1722.010808.024540
20vsTexasW28-1424.16427.001751

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy
Overall
17.9%
Passing plays
7.0%
Rushing plays
27.9%
Standard downs
18.2%
Passing downs
17.0%
EPA by down type
Standard downs
0.35
Passing downs
0.34
Pass / Rush EPA
0.44 / 0.33

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

Career · rolling EPA, game by game

Per-game EPA5-game avg
+2.920−0.4420232024
EPA per play · 2021 — 2024 · 39 games
SeasonTeamLine valueTotal EPA
2021Ohio State
4.6
87.1
2023Ohio State
2.9
55.6
2024Ohio State
3.1
69.3

Chart shows per-game EPA (bars) and rolling 5-game average (line). Season breaks marked with dashed lines. Line value = est. points over replacement per game.

EPA = expected points added (opponent-adjusted). NIL estimates are model-based ranges, not reported deals. Data: CollegeFootballData. Not betting advice.