#3Shamari Brooks

RB·Tulsa·20172.3 pts line valueDay 3 (Rds 4–7)

Shamari Brooks is a Explosive Back for Tulsa. Shamari's 2017 season ranks in the 57th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 103 plays — a average rate for the RB.

What projects, and what doesn't · RBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

Usage share (volume)0.52
Beats guessing the RB average by 18%. n=4,219 RB seasons
EPA per play (efficiency)0.10
Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=3,575 RB seasons
Total EPA (value)0.41
Beats guessing the RB average by 9%. n=3,575 RB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Shamari Brooks's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

Recruiting Profile· Class of 2017

★★★★★

3-Star · Developmental

Stars: ★★★★★
247 composite: 0.8115
National rank: #1,843
High school: Tulsa Union
Hometown: Tulsa, OK

Recruiting data from CFBD/247Sports composite. Sourced from the player's signing-class team — transfers show original school's class.

2017 Production

Rushing

687 Rush yards10 Rush TD119 Carries5.8 Yards/carry

Receiving

1 Receptions4 Rec yards0 Rec TD4.0 Yards/rec

Performance Analysis · 2017 · vs RB peers

Efficiency57
Volume51
Explosiveness56
Consistency60
Receiving4

Player type

Explosive Back

Elite per-carry efficiency — breaks big runs and creates chunk plays at a top rate while in a limited role.

Big-play threatHigh EPA per carryCapitalises on opportunities

Peer percentiles

Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)57th %ile · average

Game-to-game consistency60th %ile · average

Key findings

▸3 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
▸Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
▸Strong second-half surge — EPA/play improved 0.11 from the first to second half of the season.
▸Peak game: 0.61 EPA/play in Wk 6 vs Tulane (SP+ -6).

Historical Comparables · RB · efficiency + volume + value

Players from 2013–2025 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.

Player	Team	Yr	Plays	WEPA/play	Line val	Total EPA
Travis Etienne	Clemson	2019	213	0.470	4.7	100.1
Clyde Edwards-Helaire	LSU	2019	216	0.490	5.0	105.8
Saquon Barkley	Penn State	2017	240	0.410	5.2	98.4
Nick Wilson	Arizona	2014	250	0.410	5.2	102.5
Dalvin Cook	Florida State	2015	228	0.450	5.8	102.6

Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost

Wk	Opponent	Result	Opp SP+	Car	Rush Yds	Avg	Rush TD	Rec	Rec Yds	Rec TD	EPA/play
1	@Oklahoma State	L24-59	19.1	8	28	3.5	0	—	—	—	0.16
2	vsLouisiana	W66-42	-15.8	12	79	6.6	1	—	—	—	0.37
3	@Toledo	L51-54	6.6	18	141	7.8	3	—	—	—	0.56
4	vsNew Mexico	L13-16	-12.4	9	28	3.1	0	—	—	—	-0.21
5	vsNavy	L21-31	-0.7	5	13	2.6	0	—	—	—	-0.23
6	@Tulane	L28-62	-5.7	12	104	8.7	2	—	—	—	0.61
7	vsHouston	W45-17	7.7	18	111	6.2	1	—	—	—	0.42
8	@UConn	L14-20	-19.2	31	164	5.3	2	1	4	0	0.19
9	@SMU	L34-38	-2.9	6	19	3.2	1	—	—	—	0.09

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy

Overall

17.9%

Passing plays

0.4%

Rushing plays

27.5%

Standard downs

21.5%

Passing downs

10.1%

EPA by down type

Standard downs: 0.23
Passing downs: 0.41
Pass / Rush EPA: -0.02 / 0.26

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

Career · rolling EPA, game by game

Per-game EPA5-game avg

EPA per play · 2017 · 9 games

Chart shows per-game EPA (bars) and rolling 5-game average (line). Season breaks marked with dashed lines. Line value = est. points over replacement per game.