#47Rahjai Harris

RB·East Carolina·20242.2 pts line valueDay 3 (Rds 4–7)

Rahjai Harris is a Featured Back for East Carolina. Rahjai's 2024 season ranks in the 15th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 200 plays — a developing rate for the RB.

What projects, and what doesn't · RBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

Usage share (volume)0.52
Beats guessing the RB average by 18%. n=4,219 RB seasons
EPA per play (efficiency)0.10
Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=3,575 RB seasons
Total EPA (value)0.41
Beats guessing the RB average by 9%. n=3,575 RB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Rahjai Harris's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2024 Production

Rushing

1166 Rush yards11 Rush TD206 Carries5.7 Yards/carry

Receiving

15 Receptions91 Rec yards0 Rec TD6.1 Yards/rec

Performance Analysis · 2024 · vs RB peers

Efficiency15
Volume72
Explosiveness54
Consistency46
Receiving28

Player type

Featured Back

The centerpiece of the run game — high carry volume, used in early downs and goal-line, true workhorse role.

Primary ball carrierHigh volumeGoal-line threat

Peer percentiles

Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)15th %ile · below avg

Game-to-game consistency46th %ile · average

Key findings

▸Below-average efficiency vs RB peers — value comes through volume, not per-play impact.
▸Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
▸Strong second-half surge — EPA/play improved 0.42 from the first to second half of the season.
▸Peak game: 0.80 EPA/play in Wk 11 vs Florida Atlantic (SP+ -13).

NIL Market Tier· 2024

On3 valuation ↗

Contributor

Rotational contributor. Smaller collective or local deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Historical Comparables · RB · efficiency + volume + value

Players from 2013–2025 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.

Player	Team	Yr	Plays	WEPA/play	Line val	Total EPA
Saquon Barkley	Penn State	2016	288	0.340	3.9	97.9
Dalvin Cook	Florida State	2016	292	0.340	4.3	99.3
James Flanders	Tulsa	2016	266	0.390	4.9	103.7
Breece Hall	Iowa State	2020	301	0.340	4.5	102.3
Hassan Haskins	Michigan	2021	280	0.380	4.8	106.4

Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost

Wk	Opponent	Result	Opp SP+	Car	Rush Yds	Avg	Rush TD	Rec	Rec Yds	Rec TD	EPA/play
1	vsNorfolk State	W42-3	—	6	24	4.0	0	1	6	0	-0.13
2	@Old Dominion	W20-14	-6.0	26	131	5.0	2	1	3	0	0.01
3	vsApp State	L19-21	-8.1	18	87	4.8	0	1	0	0	0.32
4	@Liberty	L24-35	0.2	13	47	3.6	1	2	8	0	-0.10
5	vsUTSA	W30-20	2.2	25	60	2.4	0	1	10	0	-0.15
6	@Charlotte	L24-55	-15.3	12	48	4.0	0	—	—	—	—
8	@Army	L28-45	9.2	9	34	3.8	0	4	24	0	-0.03
9	vsTemple	W56-34	-20.3	11	130	11.8	1	—	—	—	0.70
11	vsFlorida Atlantic	W49-14	-12.7	8	55	6.9	1	1	8	0	0.80
12	@Tulsa	W38-31	-20.6	18	114	6.3	2	2	11	0	0.24
13	@North Texas	W40-28	-4.5	24	128	5.3	3	—	—	—	0.35
14	vsNavy	L20-34	3.5	19	88	4.6	0	2	21	0	-0.05
20	vsNC State	W26-21	3.9	17	220	12.9	1	—	—	—	—

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy

Overall

25.1%

Passing plays

3.8%

Rushing plays

44.7%

Standard downs

29.0%

Passing downs

15.9%

EPA by down type

Standard downs: 0.11
Passing downs: 0.57
Pass / Rush EPA: 0.65 / 0.17

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

Career · rolling EPA, game by game

Per-game EPA5-game avg

EPA per play · 2024 · 12 games

Chart shows per-game EPA (bars) and rolling 5-game average (line). Season breaks marked with dashed lines. Line value = est. points over replacement per game.