#1Jamal Haynes

RB·Georgia Tech·20241.9 pts line valueDay 3 (Rds 4–7)

Jamal Haynes is a Explosive Back for Georgia Tech. Jamal's 2024 season ranks in the 20th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 192 plays — a developing rate for the RB.

What projects, and what doesn't · RBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

Usage share (volume)0.52
Beats guessing the RB average by 18%. n=4,219 RB seasons
EPA per play (efficiency)0.10
Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=3,575 RB seasons
Total EPA (value)0.41
Beats guessing the RB average by 9%. n=3,575 RB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Jamal Haynes's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2024 Production

Rushing

944 Rush yards9 Rush TD168 Carries5.6 Yards/carry

Receiving

27 Receptions154 Rec yards3 Rec TD5.7 Yards/rec

Performance Analysis · 2024 · vs RB peers

Efficiency20
Volume62
Explosiveness52
Consistency48
Receiving59

Player type

Explosive Back

Elite per-carry efficiency — breaks big runs and creates chunk plays at a top rate while in a limited role.

Big-play threatHigh EPA per carryCapitalises on opportunities

Peer percentiles

Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)20th %ile · below avg

Game-to-game consistency48th %ile · average

Key findings

▸Below-average efficiency vs RB peers — value comes through volume, not per-play impact.
▸4 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
▸Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
▸Strong second-half surge — EPA/play improved 0.16 from the first to second half of the season.
▸Peak game: 2.24 EPA/play in Wk 11 vs Miami (SP+ 22).

NIL Market Tier· 2024

On3 valuation ↗

Contributor

Rotational contributor. Smaller collective or local deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Historical Comparables · RB · efficiency + volume + value

Players from 2013–2025 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.

Player	Team	Yr	Plays	WEPA/play	Line val	Total EPA
Saquon Barkley	Penn State	2016	288	0.340	3.9	97.9
Dalvin Cook	Florida State	2016	292	0.340	4.3	99.3
Travis Etienne	Clemson	2019	213	0.470	4.7	100.1
James Flanders	Tulsa	2016	266	0.390	4.9	103.7
Breece Hall	Iowa State	2020	301	0.340	4.5	102.3

Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost

Wk	Opponent	Result	Opp SP+	Car	Rush Yds	Avg	Rush TD	Rec	Rec Yds	Rec TD	EPA/play
0	vsFlorida State	W24-21	-3.2	11	75	6.8	2	2	16	0	—
1	vsGeorgia State	W35-12	-17.9	17	84	4.9	1	1	-6	0	0.71
2	@Syracuse	L28-31	5.5	11	35	3.2	1	5	26	0	0.08
3	vsVMI	W59-7	—	7	19	2.7	0	1	5	0	0.45
4	@Louisville	L19-31	13.6	12	25	2.1	1	1	11	0	-0.10
6	vsDuke	W24-14	5.6	19	128	6.7	0	3	12	1	0.24
7	@North Carolina	W41-34	5.0	19	170	8.9	2	1	9	0	0.65
8	vsNotre Dame	L13-31	23.9	8	15	1.9	1	2	12	0	0.02
9	@Virginia Tech	L6-21	10.0	18	47	2.6	0	—	—	—	-0.35
11	vsMiami	W28-23	21.6	3	83	27.7	1	—	—	—	2.24
13	vsNC State	W30-29	3.9	13	36	2.8	0	4	34	0	-0.02
14	@Georgia	L42-44	24.3	13	91	7.0	0	2	3	1	0.31
20	vsVanderbilt	L27-35	4.9	17	136	8.0	0	5	32	1	—

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy

Overall

21.7%

Passing plays

7.0%

Rushing plays

34.5%

Standard downs

25.7%

Passing downs

11.8%

EPA by down type

Standard downs: 0.19
Passing downs: 0.49
Pass / Rush EPA: 0.51 / 0.19

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

Career · rolling EPA, game by game

Per-game EPA5-game avg

EPA per play · 2024 · 13 games

Chart shows per-game EPA (bars) and rolling 5-game average (line). Season breaks marked with dashed lines. Line value = est. points over replacement per game.