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Jacob Bernard
Jacob Bernard

#4Jacob Bernard

WR·Louisiana·2024

Jacob Bernard is a Versatile WR for Louisiana.

What projects, and what doesn't · WRs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

  • Usage share (volume)0.47
    Beats guessing the WR average by 16%. n=6,302 WR seasons
  • EPA per play (efficiency)0.09
    Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=5,767 WR seasons
  • Total EPA (value)0.45
    Beats guessing the WR average by 12%. n=5,767 WR seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Jacob Bernard's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2024 Production

Receiving
28 Receptions375 Rec yards0 Rec TD13.4 Yards/rec
Returns
17 Punt returns97 PR yards0 PR TD

Performance Analysis · 2024 · vs WR peers

  • Efficiency100
  • Volume9
  • Explosiveness43
  • Consistency75
  • Pass-Down100
Player type
Versatile WR

Balanced profile without a single dominant trait — contributes across multiple dimensions.

Balanced usageMulti-role
Peer percentiles
Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)100th %ile · elite
Game-to-game consistency75th %ile · above avg
Key findings
  • ▸Top-10% efficiency among WRs — elite opponent-adjusted EPA rate.
  • ▸Limited usage share suggests a rotational or specialist role.
  • ▸High game-to-game consistency — reliable floor each week.
  • ▸9 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
  • ▸Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
  • ▸Production faded as the season progressed — 0.39 EPA/play decline from first to second half.
  • ▸Peak game: 2.02 EPA/play in Wk 2 vs Kennesaw State (SP+ -25).

NIL Market Tier· 2024

On3 valuation ↗
Elite

Top-3 player at position nationally. Collective + national brand deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

+2.020−2.02Wk 1 vs Grambling: +0.47 EPA/play1Wk 2 vs Kennesaw State: +2.02 EPA/play2Wk 4 vs Tulane: +1.03 EPA/play4Wk 5 vs Wake Forest: +0.06 EPA/play5Wk 6 vs Southern Miss: +1.92 EPA/play6Wk 8 vs Coastal Carolina: +1.14 EPA/play8Wk 10 vs Texas State: +1.12 EPA/play10Wk 11 vs Arkansas State: -0.24 EPA/play11Wk 12 vs South Alabama: -0.39 EPA/play12Wk 13 vs Troy: +1.76 EPA/play13Wk 14 vs UL Monroe: +1.08 EPA/play14Wk 15 vs Marshall: +0.94 EPA/play15
EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost
WkOpponentResultOpp SP+RecRec YdsAvgRec TDLongEPA/play
1vsGramblingW40-10—4287.00170.47
2@Kennesaw StateW34-10-25.148421.00522.02
4vsTulaneL33-415.722311.50151.03
5@Wake ForestW41-38-5.7155.0050.06
6@Southern MissW23-13-25.613030.00301.92
7vsApp StateW34-24-8.1122.002—
8@Coastal CarolinaW34-24-6.933010.00141.14
10@Texas StateW23-175.434615.30211.12
11vsArkansas StateW55-19-9.9133.003-0.24
12vsSouth AlabamaL22-242.8100.000-0.39
13vsTroyW51-30-6.625125.50461.76
14@UL MonroeW37-23-16.734214.00381.08
15vsMarshallL3-313.1166.0060.94
20vsTCUL3-3410.812525.0025—

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy
Overall
3.3%
Passing plays
6.8%
Rushing plays
0.0%
Standard downs
3.1%
Passing downs
3.8%
EPA by down type
Standard downs
1.05
Passing downs
1.42
Pass / Rush EPA
1.18 / —

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

EPA = expected points added (opponent-adjusted). NIL estimates are model-based ranges, not reported deals. Data: CollegeFootballData. Not betting advice.