#12Brent Stockstill

QB·Middle Tennessee·2018 201511.2 pts line valueDay 2 (Rds 2–3)

Brent Stockstill is a 2-year Clutch Passer for Middle Tennessee. Brent's 2015 season ranks in the 68th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 485 plays — a average rate for the QB.

What projects, and what doesn't · QBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

Usage share (volume)0.46
Beats guessing the QB average by 16%. n=2,421 QB seasons
EPA per play (efficiency)0.05
Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=1,965 QB seasons
Total EPA (value)0.51
Beats guessing the QB average by 20%. n=1,965 QB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Brent Stockstill's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2015 Production

Passing

327/490 Comp/Att4005 Pass yards30 Pass TD9 INT66.7% Comp %

Rushing

37 Rush yards2 Rush TD60 Carries0.6 Yards/carry

Punting

1 Punts41 Punt yards41.0 Yards/punt41 Long0 Inside 20

Performance Analysis · 2015 · vs QB peers

Efficiency68
Volume100
Dual-Threat25
Consistency82
Clutch100

Player type

Clutch Passer

Elevates on passing downs — 3rd-and-medium, two-minute drills, and pressure situations are where this QB is best.

3rd-down precisionLate-game valueHigh passing-down EPA

Peer percentiles

Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)68th %ile · average

Game-to-game consistency82th %ile · above avg

Key findings

▸High-volume role — one of the team's most-used QBs by play share.
▸High game-to-game consistency — reliable floor each week.
▸6 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
▸Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
▸Peak game: 0.99 EPA/play in Wk 1 vs Jackson State.

Historical Comparables · QB · efficiency + volume + value

Players from 2013–2025 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.

Player	Team	Yr	Plays	WEPA/play	Line val	Total EPA
Stetson Bennett	Georgia	2022	509	0.635	12.5	323.0
Tanner Mordecai	SMU	2021	510	0.630	14.0	321.5
Ryan Higgins	Louisiana Tech	2016	571	0.586	13.7	334.6
Baker Mayfield	Oklahoma	2015	577	0.561	14.1	323.7
J.T. Barrett	Ohio State	2017	576	0.593	14.1	341.6

Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost

Wk	Opponent	Result	Opp SP+	C/ATT	Pass Yds	Pass TD	INT	QBR	Rush Yds	Rush TD	EPA/play
1	vsJackson State	W70-14	—	24/30	348	4	1	98.5	-7	0	0.99
2	@Alabama	L10-37	29.0	22/42	174	0	1	48.4	29	0	0.00
3	vsCharlotte	W73-14	-21.7	23/27	369	5	0	97.2	-14	0	0.57
4	@Illinois	L25-27	2.7	29/42	330	3	0	63.9	-30	0	0.49
5	vsVanderbilt	L13-17	-1.6	32/51	286	1	0	39.7	11	0	0.16
6	@Western Kentucky	L28-58	10.8	28/43	296	3	1	59.6	-1	0	0.37
7	vsFlorida International	W42-34	-16.6	17/26	261	0	1	83.2	8	1	0.55
8	@Louisiana Tech	L16-45	8.3	36/56	381	2	2	35.3	-19	0	0.12
10	vsMarshall	W27-24	3.5	21/34	353	3	0	77.3	6	0	0.32
11	@Florida Atlantic	W24-17	-9.8	18/32	301	2	1	81.4	21	1	0.49
12	vsNorth Texas	W41-7	-25.0	27/38	322	3	1	95.0	0	0	0.54
13	@UTSA	W42-7	-17.7	24/30	257	1	0	90.6	11	0	0.31
1	vsWestern Michigan	L31-45	4.9	26/39	327	3	1	61.1	22	0	0.34

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy

Overall

54.1%

Passing plays

97.6%

Rushing plays

10.1%

Standard downs

43.7%

Passing downs

79.7%

EPA by down type

Standard downs: 0.23
Passing downs: 0.64
Pass / Rush EPA: 0.44 / 0.03

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

Career · rolling EPA, game by game

Per-game EPA5-game avg

EPA per play · 2015 — 2018 · 27 games

Season	Team	Line value	WEPA/play	YoY Δ	Total EPA
2015	Middle Tennessee	11.2	0.540	—	266.2
2018	Middle Tennessee	3.1	0.344	-0.20	192.6

Chart shows per-game EPA (bars) and rolling 5-game average (line). Season breaks marked with dashed lines. Line value = est. points over replacement per game.