#12Brent Stockstill

QB·Middle Tennessee·2018 20153.1 pts line valueDay 3 (Rds 4–7)

Brent Stockstill is a 2-year Clutch Passer for Middle Tennessee. Brent's 2018 season ranks in the 3th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 547 plays — a developing rate for the QB.

What projects, and what doesn't · QBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

Usage share (volume)0.46
Beats guessing the QB average by 16%. n=2,421 QB seasons
EPA per play (efficiency)0.05
Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=1,965 QB seasons
Total EPA (value)0.51
Beats guessing the QB average by 20%. n=1,965 QB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Brent Stockstill's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2018 Production

Passing

323/461 Comp/Att3522 Pass yards29 Pass TD10 INT70.1% Comp %

Rushing

125 Rush yards2 Rush TD126 Carries1.0 Yards/carry

Performance Analysis · 2018 · vs QB peers

Efficiency3
Volume100
Dual-Threat34
Consistency66
Clutch100

Player type

Clutch Passer

Elevates on passing downs — 3rd-and-medium, two-minute drills, and pressure situations are where this QB is best.

3rd-down precisionLate-game valueHigh passing-down EPA

Peer percentiles

Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)3th %ile · below avg

Game-to-game consistency66th %ile · average

Key findings

▸Below-average efficiency vs QB peers — value comes through volume, not per-play impact.
▸High-volume role — one of the team's most-used QBs by play share.
▸Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
▸Peak game: 0.59 EPA/play in Wk 7 vs Florida International (SP+ -7).

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost

Wk	Opponent	Result	Opp SP+	C/ATT	Pass Yds	Pass TD	INT	Rush Yds	Rush TD	EPA/play
1	@Vanderbilt	L7-35	7.6	24/36	178	1	1	10	0	0.07
2	vsUT Martin	W61-37	—	23/32	396	5	0	-10	0	0.57
3	@Georgia	L7-49	32.9	19/29	138	1	1	19	0	-0.30
5	vsFlorida Atlantic	W25-24	-0.8	27/40	259	1	1	56	0	0.17
6	@Marshall	W34-24	1.0	25/40	317	2	0	31	1	0.34
7	@Florida International	L21-24	-7.4	6/7	28	0	0	39	0	0.59
8	vsCharlotte	W21-13	-18.5	14/20	111	3	1	3	0	-0.09
9	@Old Dominion	W51-17	-14.1	25/32	280	2	1	-7	1	0.34
10	vsWestern Kentucky	W29-10	-16.1	24/42	228	2	0	6	0	0.11
11	@UTEP	W48-32	-26.6	31/40	352	4	0	18	0	0.37
12	@Kentucky	L23-34	13.1	30/33	293	3	1	-30	0	0.03
13	vsUAB	W27-3	-0.3	22/29	261	2	0	-3	0	0.40
14	vsUAB	L25-27	-0.3	29/45	362	2	2	2	0	0.27
1	vsApp State	L13-45	11.9	24/36	319	1	2	-9	0	0.12

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy

Overall

57.9%

Passing plays

95.3%

Rushing plays

18.8%

Standard downs

51.4%

Passing downs

71.0%

EPA by down type

Standard downs: 0.07
Passing downs: 0.44
Pass / Rush EPA: 0.24 / 0.07

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

Career · rolling EPA, game by game

Per-game EPA5-game avg

EPA per play · 2015 — 2018 · 27 games

Season	Team	Line value	WEPA/play	YoY Δ	Total EPA
2015	Middle Tennessee	11.2	0.540	—	266.2
2018	Middle Tennessee	3.1	0.344	-0.20	192.6

Chart shows per-game EPA (bars) and rolling 5-game average (line). Season breaks marked with dashed lines. Line value = est. points over replacement per game.