#3Brady White

QB·Memphis·2020 20198.3 pts line valueDay 3 (Rds 4–7)

Brady White is a 2-year Dual-Threat QB for Memphis. Brady's 2020 season ranks in the 48th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 468 plays — a average rate for the QB.

What projects, and what doesn't · QBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

Usage share (volume)0.46
Beats guessing the QB average by 16%. n=2,421 QB seasons
EPA per play (efficiency)0.05
Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=1,965 QB seasons
Total EPA (value)0.51
Beats guessing the QB average by 20%. n=1,965 QB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Brady White's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2020 Production

Passing

252/418 Comp/Att3376 Pass yards31 Pass TD10 INT60.3% Comp %

Rushing

86 Rush yards2 Rush TD63 Carries1.4 Yards/carry

Punting

1 Punts44 Punt yards44.0 Yards/punt44 Long0 Inside 20

Performance Analysis · 2020 · vs QB peers

Efficiency48
Volume100
Dual-Threat81
Consistency83
Clutch100

Player type

Dual-Threat QB

A genuine rushing threat who stresses defenses horizontally. Extends plays with legs and forces extra gap assignments.

Rushing threatScrambles for valueStresses defensive structure

Peer percentiles

Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)48th %ile · average

Game-to-game consistency83th %ile · above avg

Key findings

▸High-volume role — one of the team's most-used QBs by play share.
▸High game-to-game consistency — reliable floor each week.
▸5 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
▸Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
▸Production faded as the season progressed — 0.15 EPA/play decline from first to second half.
▸Peak game: 0.70 EPA/play in Wk 7 vs UCF (SP+ 14).

Historical Comparables · QB · efficiency + volume + value

Players from 2013–2025 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.

Player	Team	Yr	Plays	WEPA/play	Line val	Total EPA
Stetson Bennett	Georgia	2022	509	0.635	12.5	323.0
Kyle McCord	Syracuse	2024	632	0.509	12.1	321.4
Sam Hartman	Wake Forest	2021	647	0.556	11.8	359.6
Jordan Travis	Florida State	2021	690	0.476	10.1	328.3
Trace McSorley	Penn State	2017	626	0.513	12.7	321.0

Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost

Wk	Opponent	Result	Opp SP+	C/ATT	Pass Yds	Pass TD	INT	Rush Yds	Rush TD	EPA/play
1	vsArkansas State	W37-24	-6.5	26/36	275	4	1	39	0	0.61
5	@SMU	L27-30	9.2	28/41	297	3	2	7	0	0.26
7	vsUCF	W50-49	13.6	34/50	486	6	0	30	1	0.70
8	vsTemple	W41-29	-10.0	17/36	313	4	1	0	0	0.42
9	@Cincinnati	L10-49	18.6	18/35	316	1	0	-33	0	0.15
10	vsSouth Florida	W34-33	-11.4	30/50	437	4	1	14	0	0.27
12	vsStephen F. Austin	W56-14	—	18/31	269	1	1	9	1	0.17
13	@Navy	W10-7	-9.3	18/32	205	1	0	12	0	0.14
14	@Tulane	L21-35	4.2	19/38	248	2	2	-16	0	0.13
15	vsHouston	W30-27	3.3	22/35	246	2	1	12	0	0.42
1	vsFlorida Atlantic	W25-10	-0.3	22/34	284	3	1	12	0	0.51

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy

Overall

59.2%

Passing plays

99.5%

Rushing plays

12.0%

Standard downs

50.7%

Passing downs

76.0%

EPA by down type

Standard downs: 0.20
Passing downs: 0.60
Pass / Rush EPA: 0.38 / 0.31

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

Career · rolling EPA, game by game

Per-game EPA5-game avg

EPA per play · 2019 — 2020 · 25 games

Season	Team	Line value	WEPA/play	YoY Δ	Total EPA
2019	Memphis	11.9	0.640	—	289.9
2020	Memphis	8.3	0.476	-0.16	225.6

Chart shows per-game EPA (bars) and rolling 5-game average (line). Season breaks marked with dashed lines. Line value = est. points over replacement per game.