#26Benny Snell Jr.

RB·Kentucky·2018 20173.0 pts line valueDay 2 (Rds 2–3)

Benny Snell Jr. is a 2-year Featured Back for Kentucky. Benny's 2017 season ranks in the 35th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 265 plays — a developing rate for the RB.

What projects, and what doesn't · RBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

Usage share (volume)0.52
Beats guessing the RB average by 18%. n=4,219 RB seasons
EPA per play (efficiency)0.10
Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=3,575 RB seasons
Total EPA (value)0.41
Beats guessing the RB average by 9%. n=3,575 RB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Benny Snell Jr.'s projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2017 Production

Rushing

1333 Rush yards19 Rush TD262 Carries5.1 Yards/carry

Receiving

10 Receptions72 Rec yards0 Rec TD7.2 Yards/rec

Returns

1 Kick returns-13 KR yards0 KR TD

Performance Analysis · 2017 · vs RB peers

Efficiency35
Volume95
Explosiveness42
Consistency0
Receiving25

Player type

Featured Back

The centerpiece of the run game — high carry volume, used in early downs and goal-line, true workhorse role.

Primary ball carrierHigh volumeGoal-line threat

Peer percentiles

Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)35th %ile · below avg

Game-to-game consistency0th %ile · below avg

Key findings

▸Below-average efficiency vs RB peers — value comes through volume, not per-play impact.
▸High-volume role — one of the team's most-used RBs by play share.
▸High game-to-game variance — boom-or-bust profile.
▸3 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
▸Strong second-half surge — EPA/play improved 0.25 from the first to second half of the season.
▸Peak game: 0.52 EPA/play in Wk 11 vs Vanderbilt (SP+ 1).

Historical Comparables · RB · efficiency + volume + value

Players from 2013–2025 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.

Player	Team	Yr	Plays	WEPA/play	Line val	Total EPA
Saquon Barkley	Penn State	2016	288	0.340	3.9	97.9
Dalvin Cook	Florida State	2016	292	0.340	4.3	99.3
Breece Hall	Iowa State	2020	301	0.340	4.5	102.3
Eno Benjamin	Arizona State	2018	316	0.330	4.6	104.3
Hassan Haskins	Michigan	2021	280	0.380	4.8	106.4

Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost

Wk	Opponent	Result	Opp SP+	Car	Rush Yds	Avg	Rush TD	Rec	Rec Yds	Rec TD	EPA/play
1	@Southern Miss	W24-17	-3.4	20	67	3.3	0	1	13	0	-0.36
2	vsEastern Kentucky	W27-16	—	19	103	5.4	1	2	5	0	0.33
3	@South Carolina	W23-13	7.8	32	102	3.2	2	—	—	—	-0.09
4	vsFlorida	L27-28	10.1	14	59	4.2	0	2	22	0	0.01
5	vsEastern Michigan	W24-20	-5.3	21	75	3.6	1	—	—	—	-0.04
6	vsMissouri	W40-34	11.1	20	117	5.8	2	3	-2	0	0.07
8	@Mississippi State	L7-45	16.0	7	18	2.6	0	1	14	0	-0.29
9	vsTennessee	W29-26	1.2	27	180	6.7	3	—	—	—	0.40
10	vsOle Miss	L34-37	11.6	28	176	6.3	3	—	—	—	0.34
11	@Vanderbilt	W44-21	0.6	17	116	6.8	3	1	20	0	0.52
12	@Georgia	L13-42	26.7	22	94	4.3	1	—	—	—	0.04
13	vsLouisville	L17-44	19.2	29	211	7.3	2	—	—	—	0.48
1	vsNorthwestern	L23-24	11.2	6	15	2.5	1	—	—	—	-0.36

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy

Overall

33.2%

Passing plays

4.5%

Rushing plays

57.1%

Standard downs

39.6%

Passing downs

18.8%

EPA by down type

Standard downs: 0.14
Passing downs: 0.08
Pass / Rush EPA: -0.02 / 0.14

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

Career · rolling EPA, game by game

Per-game EPA5-game avg

EPA per play · 2017 — 2018 · 25 games

Season	Team	Line value	WEPA/play	YoY Δ	Total EPA
2017	Kentucky	3.0	0.280	—	72.2
2018	Kentucky	3.9	0.330	+0.05	88.1

Chart shows per-game EPA (bars) and rolling 5-game average (line). Season breaks marked with dashed lines. Line value = est. points over replacement per game.