#25Ayo Adeyi

RB·North Texas·2023

Ayo Adeyi is a Explosive Back for North Texas. Ayo's 2023 season ranks in the 80th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 143 plays — a above-average rate for the RB.

What projects, and what doesn't · RBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

Usage share (volume)0.52
Beats guessing the RB average by 18%. n=4,219 RB seasons
EPA per play (efficiency)0.10
Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=3,575 RB seasons
Total EPA (value)0.41
Beats guessing the RB average by 9%. n=3,575 RB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Ayo Adeyi's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2023 Production

Rushing

1017 Rush yards6 Rush TD143 Carries7.1 Yards/carry

Receiving

7 Receptions52 Rec yards0 Rec TD7.4 Yards/rec

Performance Analysis · 2023 · vs RB peers

Efficiency80
Volume47
Explosiveness82
Consistency70
Receiving19

Player type

Explosive Back

Elite per-carry efficiency — breaks big runs and creates chunk plays at a top rate while in a limited role.

Big-play threatHigh EPA per carryCapitalises on opportunities

Peer percentiles

Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)80th %ile · above avg

Game-to-game consistency70th %ile · average

Key findings

▸Above-average efficiency for the RB position (80th percentile).
▸High game-to-game consistency — reliable floor each week.
▸6 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
▸Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
▸Peak game: 0.56 EPA/play in Wk 3 vs Louisiana Tech (SP+ -13).

NIL Market Tier· 2023

On3 valuation ↗

Star

Top-10 nationally. Multiple mid-to-large collective deals expected.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Historical Comparables · RB · efficiency + volume + value

Players from 2013–2025 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.

Player	Team	Yr	Plays	WEPA/play	Line val	Total EPA
Travis Etienne	Clemson	2019	213	0.470	4.7	100.1
Saquon Barkley	Penn State	2016	288	0.340	3.9	97.9
Clyde Edwards-Helaire	LSU	2019	216	0.490	5.0	105.8
Dalvin Cook	Florida State	2016	292	0.340	4.3	99.3
Saquon Barkley	Penn State	2017	240	0.410	5.2	98.4

Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost

Wk	Opponent	Result	Opp SP+	Car	Rush Yds	Avg	Rush TD	Rec	Rec Yds	Rec TD	EPA/play
1	vsCalifornia	L21-58	-0.1	2	8	4.0	0	1	5	0	-0.04
2	@Florida International	L39-46	-21.2	8	26	3.3	0	—	—	—	-0.27
3	@Louisiana Tech	W40-37	-12.9	19	148	7.8	2	1	7	0	0.56
5	vsAbilene Christian	W45-31	—	13	110	8.5	0	1	15	0	0.50
6	@Navy	L24-27	-13.7	14	125	8.9	1	—	—	—	0.54
7	vsTemple	W45-14	-21.0	8	64	8.0	0	—	—	—	0.47
8	@Tulane	L28-35	2.8	7	26	3.7	1	—	—	—	-0.06
9	vsMemphis	L42-45	3.5	10	104	10.4	0	—	—	—	0.50
10	vsUTSA	L29-37	5.4	17	105	6.2	0	1	15	0	0.30
11	@SMU	L21-45	10.1	11	48	4.4	0	1	2	0	0.08
12	@Tulsa	W35-28	-13.7	16	121	7.6	0	1	3	0	0.26
13	vsUAB	W45-42	-14.7	18	132	7.3	2	1	5	0	0.41

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy

Overall

16.5%

Passing plays

1.7%

Rushing plays

34.3%

Standard downs

19.6%

Passing downs

10.0%

EPA by down type

Standard downs: 0.31
Passing downs: 0.56
Pass / Rush EPA: 0.23 / 0.37

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).