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Maple Leafs at Bruins
NHL

Toronto Maple Leafs at Boston Bruins

Final/OTTV NESN, TVAS·TD Garden

Recap

written from the game data

The Toronto Maple Leafs beat the Boston Bruins 5-4 in overtime, Mitch Marner scoring at 4:08. The Maple Leafs came back from three goals down. The Bruins led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Mitch Marner's goal at 4:08 of overtime, which took the Maple Leafs' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Bruins, 4.4 to 3.5; shots on goal were TOR 29, BOS 36. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Bruins win a replay of these chances 60% of the time. Anthony Stolarz stopped 32 of 36 (.889); Jeremy Swayman stopped 24 of 29 (.828), 1.4 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. David Pastrnak (2 G, 1 A), 2. Brad Marchand (1 G, 1 A), 3. Morgan Rielly (1 G, 3 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    BOS
    D. Pastrnak2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    BOS
    B. Marchand1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    TOR
    M. Rielly1 G, 3 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
TORTOR081631312529
BOSBOS2151101902436

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. BOS
    M. Lohrei (23), P. Zacha (22)
    wristxG 0.13win prob +11 ptsVideo
    0-1
    0:29
  2. BOS
    snapxG 0.25win prob +11 ptsVideo
    0-2
    13:59

2nd period

  1. BOS
    M. Geekie(19)PPG
    snapxG 0.34win prob +6 ptsVideo
    0-3
    10:00
  2. TOR
    wristxG 0.03win prob +7 ptsVideo
    1-3
    13:52

3rd period

  1. TOR
    M. Marner(17)PPG
    wristxG 0.12win prob +13 ptsVideo
    2-3
    0:59
  2. TOR
    wristxG 0.05win prob +27 ptsVideo
    3-3
    6:40
  3. BOS
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.12win prob +32 ptsVideo
    3-4
    10:33
  4. TOR
    snapxG 0.14win prob +46 ptsVideo
    4-4
    19:14

Overtime

  1. TOR
    wristxG 0.56win prob +51 ptsVideo
    5-4
    4:08

Penalties

TOR 12 PIM·BOS 8 PIM

1st

  • 4:32BOSserved by O. Wahlstrom · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 12:45TORMatthew Knies · Holdingdrawn by Brad Marchand2 min
  • 15:23BOSJohn Beecher · Holdingdrawn by Max Domi2 min

2nd

  • 2:10TORMax Domi · Cross checkingdrawn by Matthew Poitras2 min
  • 5:08TORPontus Holmberg · Trippingdrawn by Cole Koepke2 min
  • 5:30BOSMason Lohrei · Cross checkingdrawn by Mitch Marner2 min
  • 9:53TORJake McCabe · Interferencedrawn by Cole Koepke2 min
  • 14:21TORMax Domi · Roughingdrawn by Matthew Poitras2 min
  • 17:22TORMatthew Knies · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 19:04BOSOliver Wahlstrom · High stickingdrawn by David Kampf2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
BOS goalTOR goalFinal: BOS 0%

Biggest swing: Mitch Marner, OT 4:08 — TOR 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Geekie · Goal · xG 0.34M. Lohrei · On goal · xG 0.33B. Marchand · Goal · xG 0.25E. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.23N. Zadorov · On goal · xG 0.18E. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.16M. Geekie · On goal · xG 0.14M. Geekie · On goal · xG 0.14D. Pastrnak · Goal · xG 0.13M. Lohrei · On goal · xG 0.13B. Marchand · Missed · xG 0.13D. Pastrnak · Goal · xG 0.12M. Geekie · On goal · xG 0.12M. Geekie · Missed · xG 0.11M. Geekie · Missed · xG 0.10M. Geekie · On goal · xG 0.09E. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.09M. Geekie · Missed · xG 0.09C. Coyle · On goal · xG 0.09B. Marchand · Missed · xG 0.08B. Marchand · On goal · xG 0.08T. Frederic · Missed · xG 0.08N. Zadorov · On goal · xG 0.07E. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.07B. Marchand · Missed · xG 0.06M. Poitras · Missed · xG 0.06D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.06D. Pastrnak · Missed · xG 0.06E. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.06D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.06M. Poitras · Missed · xG 0.05P. Zacha · Missed · xG 0.05D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.05M. Lohrei · Missed · xG 0.05B. Marchand · Missed · xG 0.05E. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.04D. Pastrnak · Missed · xG 0.04M. Lohrei · On goal · xG 0.04M. Kastelic · On goal · xG 0.04D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.04M. Lohrei · On goal · xG 0.03D. Pastrnak · Missed · xG 0.03M. Poitras · Missed · xG 0.02E. Lindholm · Missed · xG 0.02B. Marchand · On goal · xG 0.02M. Poitras · On goal · xG 0.01N. Zadorov · Missed · xG 0.01A. Peeke · On goal · xG 0.01M. Geekie · Missed · xG 0.01A. Peeke · Missed · xG 0.01P. Wotherspoon · On goal · xG 0.01B. Marchand · On goal · xG 0.01M. Lohrei · On goal · xG 0.01D. Pastrnak · Missed · xG 0.01M. Lohrei · On goal · xG 0.01C. Koepke · On goal · xG 0.00C. Coyle · On goal · xG 0.00
BOS4 G · 4.4 xG · 57 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

TORvsBOS
3.55 G
All situations
4 G4.4
2.84 G
Even strength
2 G2.5
0.51 G
Power play
2 G1.6
0.30 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 106 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
TOR40%60%BOS

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.54 – 4.23

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

TORvsBOS
29
Shots on goal
36
52%
Faceoffs
48%
1/4
Power play
2/6
12
Penalty minutes
8
30
Hits
20
11
Blocked shots
13
19
Giveaways
22
9
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Toronto Maple Leafs skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
44M. RiellyD134+320.08030—27:42
95O. Ekman-LarssonD022+310.01310—27:25
16M. MarnerR202+140.7601010025:41
22J. McCabeD000-100.02332—25:17
34A. MatthewsC011+140.651004422:41
88W. NylanderR000-110.12100—21:21
91J. TavaresC011-230.491005320:55
2S. BenoitD000020.05200—17:24
23M. KniesL011+310.17214—17:21
25C. TimminsD000-110.11000—16:52
11M. DomiC000+330.341146714:41
74B. McMannC000000.00000012:58
29P. HolmbergR101-110.2530210012:56
89N. RobertsonL112+240.28200—12:10
64D. KampfC000000.001005611:22
18S. LorentzC000020.23700011:03
46A. SteevesC000000.00310005:41
8C. TanevD000-100.00000—00:49
Toronto Maple Leafs goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
41A. Stolarz(W)36324.8894.37+0.3762:52

Season series

TOR leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).