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Bruins at Maple Leafs
NHL

Boston Bruins at Toronto Maple Leafs

FinalTV NESN, TSN4·Scotiabank Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Toronto Maple Leafs beat the Boston Bruins 4-0. The Maple Leafs scored first and never trailed. The Maple Leafs led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Morgan Rielly's goal at 8:44 of the second period, which took the Maple Leafs' chances from 58% to 71%. Expected goals favored the Maple Leafs, 2.7 to 2.2; shots on goal were BOS 29, TOR 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Bruins win a replay of these chances 50% of the time. Jeremy Swayman stopped 23 of 26 (.885), 0.8 goals below expected; Anthony Stolarz stopped 29 of 29 (1.000), 2.2 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Anthony Stolarz (29 saves, 1.000), 2. Mitch Marner (2 A), 3. Morgan Rielly (1 G, 2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    TOR
    A. Stolarz29 saves, 1.000
  2. ★★
    TOR
    M. Marner2 A
  3. ★★★
    TOR
    M. Rielly1 G, 2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
BOSBOS07012010029
TORTOR0721129427

Scoring

4 goals

2nd period

  1. TOR
    M. Rielly(4)PPG
    wristxG 0.06win prob +13 ptsVideo
    0-1
    8:44
  2. TOR
    wristxG 0.10win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-2
    9:58

3rd period

  1. TOR
    M. Knies(7)PPG
    tip-inxG 0.12win prob +1 ptsVideo
    0-3
    14:13
  2. TOR
    wristxG 0.52Video
    0-4
    15:58

Penalties

BOS 16 PIM·TOR 14 PIM

1st

  • 2:27TORserved by R. Reaves · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 3:04BOSCharlie McAvoy · Trippingdrawn by Mitch Marner2 min
  • 13:33BOSCharlie Coyle · Trippingdrawn by Matthew Knies2 min
  • 16:41TORChris Tanev · Roughingdrawn by Brad Marchand2 min
  • 16:41BOSBrad Marchand · Roughingdrawn by Chris Tanev2 min
  • 16:41TORChris Tanev · Boardingdrawn by David Pastrnak2 min

2nd

  • 2:27TORJake McCabe · High stickingdrawn by Matthew Poitras2 min
  • 8:29BOSNikita Zadorov · Interferencedrawn by Max Pacioretty2 min
  • 9:34BOSDavid Pastrnak · High stickingdrawn by Jake McCabe2 min
  • 10:43BOSCharlie McAvoy · Hookingdrawn by Nick Robertson2 min
  • 15:08TORPontus Holmberg · Slashingdrawn by David Pastrnak2 min
  • 19:00TORMax Domi · Slashingdrawn by David Pastrnak2 min

3rd

  • 0:43BOSBrad Marchand · Trippingdrawn by Chris Tanev2 min
  • 5:03TORMatthew Knies · Hookingdrawn by Charlie McAvoy2 min
  • 13:40BOSMark Kastelic · Roughingdrawn by Pontus Holmberg2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
TOR goalBOS goalFinal: TOR 100%

Biggest swing: Morgan Rielly, 2nd 8:44 — TOR 58% → 71%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
S. Lorentz · Goal · xG 0.52M. Knies · Missed · xG 0.20W. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.19J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.19D. Kampf · On goal · xG 0.19M. Domi · On goal · xG 0.14M. Pacioretty · On goal · xG 0.12M. Knies · Goal · xG 0.12W. Nylander · Goal · xG 0.10M. Domi · Missed · xG 0.10B. McMann · On goal · xG 0.09M. Pacioretty · Missed · xG 0.09M. Knies · On goal · xG 0.09J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.08P. Holmberg · On goal · xG 0.07M. Knies · Missed · xG 0.07M. Rielly · Goal · xG 0.06J. McCabe · On goal · xG 0.04N. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.04O. Ekman-Larsson · On goal · xG 0.04M. Pacioretty · On goal · xG 0.04O. Ekman-Larsson · Missed · xG 0.02M. Domi · Missed · xG 0.02M. Domi · On goal · xG 0.02N. Robertson · Missed · xG 0.01W. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.01J. McCabe · On goal · xG 0.01R. Reaves · Missed · xG 0.01D. Kampf · On goal · xG 0.01O. Ekman-Larsson · Missed · xG 0.01M. Rielly · On goal · xG 0.01S. Lorentz · Missed · xG 0.01M. Pacioretty · On goal · xG 0.00D. Kampf · On goal · xG 0.00M. Pacioretty · On goal · xG 0.00M. Pacioretty · On goal · xG 0.00P. Holmberg · On goal · xG 0.00
TOR4 G · 2.7 xG · 37 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

BOSvsTOR
2.20 G
All situations
3 G2.7
0.80 G
Even strength
0 G1.0
1.30 G
Power play
3 G1.0
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 80 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
BOS50%50%TOR

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.20 – 2.18

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

BOSvsTOR
29
Shots on goal
27
45%
Faceoffs
55%
0/6
Power play
3/7
16
Penalty minutes
14
32
Hits
19
10
Blocked shots
12
14
Giveaways
9
5
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Boston Bruins skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
73C. McAvoyD000040.17304—24:20
91N. ZadorovD000040.08322—23:00
88D. PastrnakR000-140.61002—22:18
27H. LindholmD000-120.06000—21:22
25B. CarloD000010.04120—21:00
28E. LindholmC000-120.221004819:53
63B. MarchandL000030.29204—19:32
13C. CoyleC000030.323024618:33
29P. WotherspoonD000-100.01020—16:31
18P. ZachaC000-100.070006715:25
90T. JohnsonC000010.04100013:51
47M. KastelicC000010.108024412:42
55J. BrazeauR000-130.17220—12:22
45C. KoepkeL000000.04200—12:17
51M. PoitrasC000000.001103311:41
19J. BeecherC000010.00200011:37
11T. FredericC000000.0020010010:04
52A. PeekeD000000.00110—04:49
Boston Bruins goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
1J. Swayman(L)26233.8852.20-0.8059:31

Season series

TOR leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).