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Bruins at Maple Leafs
NHL

Boston Bruins at Toronto Maple Leafs

NHL scoreboard
Boston Bruins
4
Toronto Maple Leafs
▸6
FinalTV NESN, SN·Scotiabank Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Toronto Maple Leafs beat the Boston Bruins 6-4. The Maple Leafs scored first and never trailed. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Matthew Knies's goal at 5:28 of the third period, which took the Maple Leafs' chances from 52% to 79%. Expected goals favored the Maple Leafs, 3.5 to 2.7; shots on goal were BOS 31, TOR 29. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Bruins win a replay of these chances 62% of the time. Jeremy Swayman stopped 23 of 27 (.852), 2.0 goals below expected; Joseph Woll stopped 27 of 31 (.871), 1.3 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Matthew Knies (3 G, 2 A), 2. Mitch Marner (1 G, 4 A), 3. Auston Matthews (1 G, 2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    TOR
    M. Knies3 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    TOR
    M. Marner1 G, 4 A
  3. ★★★
    TOR
    A. Matthews1 G, 2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
BOSBOS09212210431
TORTOR11111048629

Scoring

10 goals

1st period

  1. TOR
    J. McCabe(1)
    M. Marner (39), C. Tanev (11)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-1
    3:29

2nd period

  1. TOR
    M. Knies(12)
    A. Matthews (13), M. Marner (40)
    tip-inxG 0.05win prob +15 ptsVideo
    0-2
    3:37
  2. BOS
    M. Geekie(9)
    P. Zacha (10), C. Coyle (4)
    wristxG 0.52win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-2
    3:49
  3. BOS
    T. Frederic(6)
    C. McAvoy (13)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +22 ptsVideo
    2-2
    18:44

3rd period

  1. TOR
    M. Knies(13)
    J. Tavares (20), M. Marner (41)
    backhandxG 0.15win prob +26 ptsVideo
    2-3
    3:43
  2. BOS
    D. Pastrnak(14)
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.12win prob +26 ptsVideo
    3-3
    4:17
  3. TOR
    M. Knies(14)
    A. Matthews (14), J. McCabe (10)
    slapxG 0.20win prob +27 ptsVideo
    3-4
    5:28
  4. TOR
    M. Marner(14)EN
    M. Knies (9)
    wristxG 0.77win prob +6 ptsVideo
    3-5
    17:55
  5. BOS
    D. Pastrnak(15)
    P. Zacha (11), B. Marchand (17)
    snapxG 0.25win prob +4 ptsVideo
    4-5
    18:10
  6. TOR
    A. Matthews(12)EN
    M. Marner (42), M. Knies (10)
    pokexG 0.62win prob +2 ptsVideo
    4-6
    19:29

Penalties

BOS 4 PIM·TOR 4 PIM

1st

  • 12:12TORMatthew Knies · Holdingdrawn by Charlie McAvoy2 min

2nd

  • 15:15TORWilliam Nylander · Trippingdrawn by Mason Lohrei2 min
  • 15:35BOSElias Lindholm · High stickingdrawn by Jake McCabe2 min

3rd

  • 10:59BOSMorgan Geekie · High stickingdrawn by Oliver Ekman-Larsson2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
TOR goalBOS goalFinal: TOR 100%

Biggest swing: Matthew Knies, 3rd 5:28 — TOR 52% → 79%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Marner · Goal · xG 0.77A. Matthews · Goal · xG 0.62M. Knies · Goal · xG 0.20M. Knies · On goal · xG 0.17M. Pacioretty · Missed · xG 0.15M. Knies · Goal · xG 0.15B. McMann · Missed · xG 0.14J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.14M. Marner · Missed · xG 0.13A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.12J. McCabe · Goal · xG 0.09A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.08N. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.07C. Dewar · Missed · xG 0.07W. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.05M. Knies · Missed · xG 0.05M. Knies · Goal · xG 0.05A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.05N. Robertson · Missed · xG 0.04W. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.04M. Domi · Missed · xG 0.04M. Pacioretty · Missed · xG 0.04M. Marner · On goal · xG 0.03A. Matthews · Missed · xG 0.03M. Rielly · Missed · xG 0.03M. Knies · On goal · xG 0.02B. McMann · On goal · xG 0.02C. Tanev · Missed · xG 0.02W. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.02S. Benoit · On goal · xG 0.01B. McMann · On goal · xG 0.01P. Myers · Missed · xG 0.01J. McCabe · On goal · xG 0.01M. Marner · On goal · xG 0.01M. Knies · On goal · xG 0.01S. Benoit · On goal · xG 0.01M. Rielly · Missed · xG 0.01J. McCabe · On goal · xG 0.01P. Myers · On goal · xG 0.00A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.00J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.00P. Myers · On goal · xG 0.00
TOR6 G · 3.5 xG · 42 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

BOSvsTOR
2.74 G
All situations
4 G3.5
2.24 G
Even strength
4 G1.7
0.50 G
Power play
0 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 85 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
BOS62%38%TOR

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.61 – 1.99

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

BOSvsTOR
31
Shots on goal
29
45%
Faceoffs
55%
0/2
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
4
23
Hits
20
6
Blocked shots
14
17
Giveaways
20
13
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Boston Bruins skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
73C. McAvoyD011-210.01110—25:00
91N. ZadorovD000-110.04110—22:53
88D. PastrnakR202-450.4200010021:37
18P. ZachaC022-100.050004319:58
63B. MarchandL011-350.40000—18:30
6M. LohreiD000-120.01000—18:03
52A. PeekeD000020.01110—17:58
25B. CarloD000010.05000—17:42
28E. LindholmC000-310.072125017:10
82J. OesterleD000010.03010—16:25
39M. GeekieC101+110.58202016:09
11T. FredericC101+130.213003815:02
13C. CoyleC011+120.101003614:46
71O. WahlstromR000020.12100—12:37
55J. BrazeauR000+120.23300—12:35
19J. BeecherC000010.0531010011:16
47M. KastelicC000010.143004010:58
45C. KoepkeL000000.14200—09:22
Boston Bruins goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
1J. Swayman(L)27234.8522.00-2.0057:59

Season series

TOR leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).