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Maple Leafs at Bruins
NHL

Toronto Maple Leafs at Boston Bruins

Final/OTTV NHLN, NESN·TD Garden

Recap

written from the game data

The Boston Bruins beat the Toronto Maple Leafs 4-3 in overtime, Brad Marchand scoring at 2:26. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Bruins led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Brad Marchand's goal at 2:26 of overtime, which took the Bruins' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Bruins, 4.0 to 3.2; shots on goal were TOR 23, BOS 34. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Bruins win a replay of these chances 56% of the time. Anthony Stolarz stopped 30 of 34 (.882); Jeremy Swayman stopped 20 of 23 (.870). Three stars: 1. Brad Marchand (1 G, 1 A), 2. Auston Matthews (1 G, 1 A), 3. Mark Kastelic (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    BOS
    B. Marchand1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    TOR
    A. Matthews1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    BOS
    M. Kastelic1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
TORTOR052111601323
BOSBOS01031201012434

Scoring

7 goals

2nd period

  1. TOR
    wristxG 0.16win prob +16 ptsVideo
    1-0
    0:35
  2. BOS
    snapxG 0.14win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-1
    2:57
  3. TOR
    snapxG 0.11win prob +14 ptsVideo
    2-1
    7:44
  4. BOS
    wristxG 0.24win prob +19 ptsVideo
    2-2
    12:38
  5. BOS
    wristxG 0.34win prob +20 ptsVideo
    2-3
    13:14

3rd period

  1. TOR
    tip-inxG 0.21win prob +44 ptsVideo
    3-3
    18:43

Overtime

  1. BOS
    backhandxG 0.74win prob +49 ptsVideo
    3-4
    2:26

Penalties

TOR 12 PIM·BOS 8 PIM

1st

  • 3:40TORRyan Reaves · Interferencedrawn by Hampus Lindholm2 min
  • 10:34BOSMorgan Geekie · Interferencedrawn by Ryan Reaves2 min
  • 12:03BOSJohn Beecher · Hookingdrawn by Max Domi2 min

2nd

  • 2:31TORJake McCabe · Interferencedrawn by John Beecher2 min
  • 7:11TOROliver Ekman-Larsson · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Charlie Coyle2 min
  • 7:11BOSCharlie Coyle · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Oliver Ekman-Larsson2 min
  • 8:24TORWilliam Nylander · High sticking double minordrawn by David Pastrnak4 min
  • 19:47BOSTrent Frederic · Cross checkingdrawn by Nick Robertson2 min

3rd

  • 9:58TORNick Robertson · Trippingdrawn by Nikita Zadorov2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
BOS goalTOR goalFinal: BOS 100%

Biggest swing: Brad Marchand, OT 2:26 — BOS 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Marchand · Goal · xG 0.74M. Kastelic · Goal · xG 0.34B. Marchand · Missed · xG 0.31B. Marchand · On goal · xG 0.27J. Brazeau · Goal · xG 0.24P. Zacha · Missed · xG 0.19M. Poitras · Missed · xG 0.18J. Brazeau · Missed · xG 0.16D. Pastrnak · Goal · xG 0.14J. Brazeau · On goal · xG 0.14T. Frederic · On goal · xG 0.13M. Poitras · On goal · xG 0.12J. Brazeau · On goal · xG 0.10E. Lindholm · Missed · xG 0.09B. Marchand · On goal · xG 0.09D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.07M. Geekie · On goal · xG 0.07C. Koepke · Missed · xG 0.06M. Poitras · Missed · xG 0.05B. Marchand · On goal · xG 0.05E. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.05P. Zacha · Missed · xG 0.05M. Poitras · On goal · xG 0.04M. Lohrei · On goal · xG 0.03C. Koepke · On goal · xG 0.02E. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.02D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.02P. Zacha · On goal · xG 0.02J. Beecher · On goal · xG 0.02H. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.02H. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.02H. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.02M. Lohrei · On goal · xG 0.01T. Frederic · On goal · xG 0.01C. McAvoy · On goal · xG 0.01M. Kastelic · Missed · xG 0.01J. Beecher · Missed · xG 0.01C. McAvoy · Missed · xG 0.01C. Koepke · On goal · xG 0.01M. Poitras · On goal · xG 0.01M. Lohrei · On goal · xG 0.01D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.01A. Peeke · On goal · xG 0.01B. Marchand · Missed · xG 0.00N. Zadorov · On goal · xG 0.00H. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.00
BOS4 G · 4.0 xG · 46 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

TORvsBOS
3.23 G
All situations
4 G4.0
1.93 G
Even strength
3 G3.2
1.30 G
Power play
1 G0.8

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 86 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
TOR44%56%BOS

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.15 – 3.48

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

TORvsBOS
23
Shots on goal
34
60%
Faceoffs
40%
0/3
Power play
1/5
12
Penalty minutes
8
27
Hits
20
18
Blocked shots
19
12
Giveaways
11
7
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Toronto Maple Leafs skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
16M. MarnerR033+240.24200—26:12
22J. McCabeD000+210.15032—24:48
44M. RiellyD101040.30000—24:14
34A. MatthewsC112+230.941305223:36
8C. TanevD011+100.02060—21:07
95O. Ekman-LarssonD000-100.00302—19:28
23M. KniesL101+220.34300—19:03
88W. NylanderR000020.130045018:00
11M. DomiC000-100.210206017:01
91J. TavaresC011010.083106714:52
2S. BenoitD000-100.02310—14:31
64D. KampfC000010.2111010013:14
18S. LorentzC000000.05200012:48
51P. MyersD000-100.00100—12:11
89N. RobertsonL000-110.05002—11:00
67M. PaciorettyL000-140.47300—09:51
74B. McMannC000-100.00210008:14
75R. ReavesR000000.00302—07:19
Toronto Maple Leafs goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
41A. Stolarz(O)34304.8824.000.0061:49

Season series

TOR leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).