Vegas Golden Knights at Calgary Flames
Recap
written from the game dataThe Calgary Flames beat the Vegas Golden Knights 4-1. The Golden Knights scored first; the Flames answered. The Golden Knights led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Blake Coleman's goal at 10:06 of the third period, which took the Flames' chances from 52% to 83%. Expected goals favored the Flames, 3.4 to 2.2; shots on goal were VGK 29, CGY 37. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flames win a replay of these chances 62% of the time. Adin Hill stopped 33 of 36 (.917); Dustin Wolf stopped 28 of 29 (.966), 1.2 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Dustin Wolf (28 saves, .966), 2. Dryden Hunt (2 A), 3. Blake Coleman (2 G).
Three stars
- ★D. Wolf28 saves, .966

- ★★D. Hunt2 A

- ★★★B. Coleman2 G

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
5 goals2nd period
1-017:56
3rd period
1-14:00
1-210:06
1-314:45
1-417:02
Penalties
1st
- 3:30
Anthony Mantha · Hookingdrawn by Kevin Rooney2 min
- 8:47
served by M. Coronato · Too many men on the ice2 min
2nd
- 11:35
Jonathan Huberdeau · Trippingdrawn by Michael Amadio2 min
3rd
- 1:48
Nicolas Hague · Interferencedrawn by Nazem Kadri2 min
- 10:55
Oliver Kylington · Holdingdrawn by Chandler Stephenson2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Blake Coleman, 3rd 10:06 — 52% → 83%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 2.21 G
- All situations
- 3 G3.4
- 1.51 G
- Even strength
- 3 G2.3
- 0.60 G
- Power play
- 0 G0.3
- 0.00 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.2
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 88 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 2.15 – 2.81
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 29
- Shots on goal
- 37
- 51%
- Faceoffs
- 49%
- 0/3
- Power play
- 0/2
- 4
- Penalty minutes
- 6
- 20
- Hits
- 19
- 19
- Blocked shots
- 30
- 5
- Giveaways
- 10
- 15
- Takeaways
- 7
Box score
every player line
Season series
CGY leads 3-1
1@
2OTFinal
4@
5OTFinal
3@
1Final
1@
4this game
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
