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Golden Knights at Flames
NHL

Vegas Golden Knights at Calgary Flames

FinalTV SCRIPPS, SNW·Scotiabank Saddledome

Recap

written from the game data

The Calgary Flames beat the Vegas Golden Knights 4-1. The Golden Knights scored first; the Flames answered. The Golden Knights led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Blake Coleman's goal at 10:06 of the third period, which took the Flames' chances from 52% to 83%. Expected goals favored the Flames, 3.4 to 2.2; shots on goal were VGK 29, CGY 37. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flames win a replay of these chances 62% of the time. Adin Hill stopped 33 of 36 (.917); Dustin Wolf stopped 28 of 29 (.966), 1.2 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Dustin Wolf (28 saves, .966), 2. Dryden Hunt (2 A), 3. Blake Coleman (2 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CGY
    D. Wolf28 saves, .966
  2. ★★
    CGY
    D. Hunt2 A
  3. ★★★
    CGY
    B. Coleman2 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
VGKVGK06111012129
CGYCGY013012412437

Scoring

5 goals

2nd period

  1. VGK
    wristxG 0.15win prob +23 ptsVideo
    1-0
    17:56

3rd period

  1. CGY
    wristxG 0.18win prob +23 ptsVideo
    1-1
    4:00
  2. CGY
    wristxG 0.22win prob +31 ptsVideo
    1-2
    10:06
  3. CGY
    wristxG 0.11win prob +10 ptsVideo
    1-3
    14:45
  4. CGY
    wristxG 0.54Video
    1-4
    17:02

Penalties

VGK 4 PIM·CGY 6 PIM

1st

  • 3:30VGKAnthony Mantha · Hookingdrawn by Kevin Rooney2 min
  • 8:47CGYserved by M. Coronato · Too many men on the ice2 min

2nd

  • 11:35CGYJonathan Huberdeau · Trippingdrawn by Michael Amadio2 min

3rd

  • 1:48VGKNicolas Hague · Interferencedrawn by Nazem Kadri2 min
  • 10:55CGYOliver Kylington · Holdingdrawn by Chandler Stephenson2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CGY goalVGK goalFinal: CGY 100%

Biggest swing: Blake Coleman, 3rd 10:06 — CGY 52% → 83%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Coleman · Goal · xG 0.54B. Coleman · Goal · xG 0.22K. Rooney · On goal · xG 0.19N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.19Y. Sharangovich · Goal · xG 0.18N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.17M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.13M. Coronato · On goal · xG 0.11M. Coronato · Goal · xG 0.11A. Mangiapane · Missed · xG 0.10B. Coleman · On goal · xG 0.10A. Mangiapane · Missed · xG 0.09B. Coleman · On goal · xG 0.08M. Pospisil · On goal · xG 0.08M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.07A. Mangiapane · Missed · xG 0.07M. Pospisil · Missed · xG 0.06M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.06D. Hunt · Missed · xG 0.06M. Backlund · Missed · xG 0.06M. Backlund · Missed · xG 0.06N. Kadri · Missed · xG 0.06J. Huberdeau · On goal · xG 0.05N. Kadri · Missed · xG 0.05J. Huberdeau · On goal · xG 0.05A. Mangiapane · On goal · xG 0.04M. Pospisil · Missed · xG 0.03D. Miromanov · On goal · xG 0.03M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.03M. Weegar · On goal · xG 0.03N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.03B. Pachal · On goal · xG 0.02M. Coronato · On goal · xG 0.02Y. Sharangovich · On goal · xG 0.02R. Andersson · On goal · xG 0.02N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.02R. Andersson · On goal · xG 0.02M. Coronato · On goal · xG 0.01N. Okhotiuk · Missed · xG 0.01M. Backlund · Missed · xG 0.01B. Pachal · On goal · xG 0.01B. Pachal · On goal · xG 0.01R. Andersson · On goal · xG 0.01M. Pospisil · On goal · xG 0.01B. Coleman · On goal · xG 0.01B. Pachal · On goal · xG 0.01O. Kylington · On goal · xG 0.01N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.01M. Backlund · Missed · xG 0.01M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.00
CGY4 G · 3.4 xG · 50 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

VGKvsCGY
2.21 G
All situations
3 G3.4
1.51 G
Even strength
3 G2.3
0.60 G
Power play
0 G0.3
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 88 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
VGK38%62%CGY

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.15 – 2.81

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

VGKvsCGY
29
Shots on goal
37
51%
Faceoffs
49%
0/3
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
6
20
Hits
19
19
Blocked shots
30
5
Giveaways
10
15
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Vegas Golden Knights skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
15N. HanifinD000-120.07130—23:16
27S. TheodoreD011010.03010—22:26
7A. PietrangeloD000-210.09020—22:03
9J. EichelC000-250.360105020:55
49I. BarbashevL000-330.32120—19:44
3B. McNabbD000010.00410—18:45
71W. KarlssonC000-240.480006818:14
81J. MarchessaultR000-310.00310—18:01
10N. RoyC000010.080003216:31
55K. KolesarR000010.06500—14:44
14N. HagueD000-110.01032—14:43
39A. ManthaR101+110.16202—14:11
2Z. WhitecloudD000-110.02120—14:01
20C. StephensonC000-110.070006713:08
16P. DorofeyevR000-110.07000—12:42
21B. HowdenC000+120.19220011:48
28W. CarrierL000010.0811010010:53
22M. AmadioR000-110.0700010010:12
Vegas Golden Knights goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
33A. Hill(L)36333.9172.83-0.1759:43

Season series

CGY leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).