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Flames at Golden Knights
NHL

Calgary Flames at Vegas Golden Knights

NHL scoreboard
Calgary Flames
▸3
Vegas Golden Knights
1
FinalTV SCRIPPS, CBC·T-Mobile Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Calgary Flames beat the Vegas Golden Knights 3-1. The Flames scored first and never trailed. The Flames led 3-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Nazem Kadri's goal at 13:04 of the first period, which took the Flames' chances from 60% to 76%. Expected goals were close — CGY 2.7, VGK 2.9; shots on goal were CGY 26, VGK 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Golden Knights win a replay of these chances 59% of the time. Jacob Markstrom stopped 31 of 32 (.969), 1.9 goals saved above expected; Logan Thompson stopped 23 of 26 (.885), 0.6 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Jacob Markstrom (31 saves, .969), 2. Nazem Kadri (1 G), 3. Chandler Stephenson (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CGY
    J. Markstrom31 saves, .969
  2. ★★
    CGY
    N. Kadri1 G
  3. ★★★
    VGK
    C. Stephenson1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CGYCGY2121707326
VGKVGK0809115132

Scoring

4 goals

1st period

  1. CGY
    B. Coleman(19)PPG
    M. Backlund (14), R. Andersson (17)
    wristxG 0.31win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-0
    11:06
  2. CGY
    N. Kadri(14)
    C. Zary (13)
    wristxG 0.42win prob +16 ptsVideo
    2-0
    13:04

2nd period

  1. CGY
    M. Backlund(10)
    A. Mangiapane (17), B. Coleman (18)
    backhandxG 0.17win prob +9 ptsVideo
    3-0
    17:09

3rd period

  1. VGK
    C. Stephenson(7)
    M. Stone (29), A. Martinez (3)
    snapxG 0.15win prob +4 ptsVideo
    3-1
    8:54

Penalties

CGY 4 PIM·VGK 4 PIM

1st

  • 3:44CGYMacKenzie Weegar · Hookingdrawn by Mark Stone2 min
  • 5:32VGKAlec Martinez · Trippingdrawn by A.J. Greer2 min
  • 9:48VGKIvan Barbashev · Slashingdrawn by Nazem Kadri2 min

3rd

  • 12:18CGYMartin Pospisil · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Mark Stone2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
VGK goalCGY goalFinal: VGK 0%

Biggest swing: Nazem Kadri, 1st 13:04 — CGY 60% → 76%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
P. Dorofeyev · On goal · xG 0.20I. Barbashev · Missed · xG 0.19C. Stephenson · Goal · xG 0.15M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.15N. Roy · On goal · xG 0.14I. Barbashev · On goal · xG 0.14B. Howden · On goal · xG 0.11P. Dorofeyev · On goal · xG 0.10J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.10K. Kolesar · Missed · xG 0.09N. Roy · Missed · xG 0.09M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.09P. Cotter · Missed · xG 0.09B. McNabb · Missed · xG 0.08N. Roy · On goal · xG 0.08P. Dorofeyev · Missed · xG 0.08J. Marchessault · Missed · xG 0.07J. Rondbjerg · Missed · xG 0.07N. Roy · On goal · xG 0.07I. Barbashev · On goal · xG 0.06M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.06P. Dorofeyev · On goal · xG 0.06P. Cotter · Missed · xG 0.05P. Dorofeyev · Missed · xG 0.04P. Dorofeyev · Missed · xG 0.04N. Roy · On goal · xG 0.03P. Dorofeyev · On goal · xG 0.03N. Roy · On goal · xG 0.03J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.03A. Martinez · Missed · xG 0.03J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.03B. Froese · Missed · xG 0.03N. Hague · On goal · xG 0.03P. Dorofeyev · Missed · xG 0.02J. Rondbjerg · Missed · xG 0.02I. Barbashev · On goal · xG 0.02P. Dorofeyev · On goal · xG 0.02J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.02N. Hague · On goal · xG 0.02J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.02Z. Whitecloud · Missed · xG 0.01J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.01K. Korczak · On goal · xG 0.01B. McNabb · On goal · xG 0.01K. Korczak · Missed · xG 0.01I. Barbashev · Missed · xG 0.01K. Korczak · On goal · xG 0.01K. Kolesar · Missed · xG 0.01C. Stephenson · Missed · xG 0.01Z. Whitecloud · Missed · xG 0.01A. Martinez · Missed · xG 0.01P. Cotter · Missed · xG 0.01K. Korczak · On goal · xG 0.00A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.00J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.00
VGK1 G · 2.9 xG · 55 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CGYvsVGK
2.73 G
All situations
1 G2.9
1.72 G
Even strength
1 G2.2
0.61 G
Power play
0 G0.6
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 98 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CGY41%59%VGK

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.35 – 2.86

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CGYvsVGK
26
Shots on goal
32
55%
Faceoffs
45%
1/2
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
4
20
Hits
41
23
Blocked shots
17
6
Giveaways
4
9
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
Calgary Flames skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
55N. HanifinD000+140.07110—23:38
8C. TanevD000000.00230—21:30
52M. WeegarD000020.12122—21:01
4R. AnderssonD011+110.07220—20:58
11M. BacklundC112+130.240106119:49
20B. ColemanL112+120.70120—18:13
28E. LindholmC000020.400005917:45
88A. MangiapaneL011+120.23030—17:24
91N. KadriC101+130.590203816:44
17Y. SharangovichC000000.01000016:07
10J. HuberdeauL000010.04020—15:54
57N. DeSimoneD000000.01210—15:27
47C. ZaryC011+100.00010015:20
82J. OesterleD000020.01220—15:18
76M. PospisilC000+110.063026713:47
29D. DubeC000-120.08300009:46
63A. RuzickaC000-110.062105008:46
18A. GreerL000-100.05100—08:33
Calgary Flames goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
25J. Markstrom(W)32311.9692.87+1.8760:00

Season series

CGY leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).