Vegas Golden Knights at Calgary Flames
Recap
written from the game dataThe Calgary Flames beat the Vegas Golden Knights 2-1 in overtime, MacKenzie Weegar scoring at 4:55. The Golden Knights scored first; the Flames answered. The Golden Knights led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was MacKenzie Weegar's goal at 4:55 of overtime, which took the Flames' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Flames, 3.1 to 2.5; shots on goal were VGK 28, CGY 34. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flames win a replay of these chances 61% of the time. Adin Hill stopped 32 of 34 (.941), 1.1 goals saved above expected; Dan Vladar stopped 27 of 28 (.964), 1.5 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Dan Vladar (27 saves, .964), 2. Adin Hill (32 saves, .941), 3. MacKenzie Weegar (1 G).
Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
3 goalsPenalties
1st
- 2:35
William Carrier · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Dan Vladar2 min
- 13:23
Andrew Mangiapane · Hookingdrawn by Nicolas Hague2 min
- 15:05
Connor Zary · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- 18:43
MacKenzie Weegar · Hookingdrawn by William Karlsson2 min
2nd
- 0:57
Nicolas Hague · High stickingdrawn by Nazem Kadri2 min
3rd
- 19:05
Nicolas Roy · Trippingdrawn by Nazem Kadri2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: MacKenzie Weegar, OT 4:55 — 51% → 100%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 2.51 G
- All situations
- 2 G3.1
- 1.80 G
- Even strength
- 2 G1.7
- 0.51 G
- Power play
- 0 G1.3
- 0.20 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.1
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 99 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 2.43 – 3.04
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 28
- Shots on goal
- 34
- 45%
- Faceoffs
- 55%
- 1/3
- Power play
- 0/3
- 6
- Penalty minutes
- 6
- 21
- Hits
- 30
- 26
- Blocked shots
- 10
- 10
- Giveaways
- 14
- 10
- Takeaways
- 4
Box score
every player line
Season series
CGY leads 3-1
1@
2OTthis game
4@
5OTFinal
3@
1Final
1@
4Final
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
