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Flames at Golden Knights
NHL

Calgary Flames at Vegas Golden Knights

NHL scoreboard
Calgary Flames
4
Vegas Golden Knights
▸5
Final/OTTV SCRIPPS, SN·T-Mobile Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Vegas Golden Knights beat the Calgary Flames 5-4 in overtime, Mark Stone scoring at 1:11. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Flames led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Mark Stone's goal at 1:11 of overtime, which took the Golden Knights' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Golden Knights, 2.8 to 2.4; shots on goal were CGY 31, VGK 39. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Golden Knights win a replay of these chances 59% of the time. Dustin Wolf stopped 34 of 39 (.872), 2.2 goals below expected; Logan Thompson stopped 27 of 31 (.871), 1.6 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Mark Stone (2 G, 2 A), 2. William Karlsson (1 G, 1 A), 3. Chandler Stephenson (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    VGK
    M. Stone2 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    VGK
    W. Karlsson1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    VGK
    C. Stephenson1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
CGYCGY1152411200431
VGKVGK1141152911539

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. CGY
    M. Weegar(7)
    M. Backlund (9), B. Coleman (11)
    slapxG 0.01win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-0
    6:27
  2. VGK
    C. Stephenson(5)PPG
    J. Marchessault (7), M. Stone (18)
    backhandxG 0.18win prob +11 ptsVideo
    1-1
    13:33

2nd period

  1. CGY
    N. Kadri(8)
    C. Zary (8), M. Pospisil (3)
    deflectedxG 0.11win prob +16 ptsVideo
    2-1
    2:37
  2. VGK
    I. Barbashev(6)
    M. Stone (19)
    wristxG 0.13win prob +17 ptsVideo
    2-2
    5:20
  3. CGY
    Y. Sharangovich(8)
    E. Lindholm (11)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +23 ptsVideo
    3-2
    17:58

3rd period

  1. VGK
    M. Stone(9)PPG
    W. Karlsson (15), J. Marchessault (8)
    backhandxG 0.20win prob +21 ptsVideo
    3-3
    6:00
  2. VGK
    W. Karlsson(13)
    C. Stephenson (12), J. Marchessault (9)
    snapxG 0.13win prob +40 ptsVideo
    3-4
    16:14
  3. CGY
    Y. Sharangovich(9)
    N. Hanifin (10), N. Kadri (14)
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +44 ptsVideo
    4-4
    19:00

Overtime

  1. VGK
    M. Stone(10)
    J. Eichel (21), A. Pietrangelo (13)
    snapxG 0.16win prob +49 ptsVideo
    4-5
    1:11

Penalties

CGY 8 PIM·VGK 4 PIM

1st

  • 7:13CGYAndrew Mangiapane · Hookingdrawn by William Karlsson2 min
  • 10:32VGKJack Eichel · Trippingdrawn by Blake Coleman2 min
  • 12:19CGYAndrew Mangiapane · Hookingdrawn by Mark Stone2 min

2nd

  • 10:19CGYNoah Hanifin · Trippingdrawn by Mark Stone2 min

3rd

  • 5:27CGYMacKenzie Weegar · Trippingdrawn by Michael Amadio2 min
  • 10:10VGKBrett Howden · Hookingdrawn by Blake Coleman2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
VGK goalCGY goalFinal: VGK 100%

Biggest swing: Mark Stone, OT 1:11 — VGK 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Stephenson · On goal · xG 0.25J. Eichel · On goal · xG 0.20M. Stone · Goal · xG 0.20C. Stephenson · Goal · xG 0.18M. Stone · Goal · xG 0.16J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.13W. Karlsson · Goal · xG 0.13I. Barbashev · Goal · xG 0.13W. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.12W. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.11I. Barbashev · On goal · xG 0.09C. Stephenson · On goal · xG 0.08M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.08J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.08P. Cotter · On goal · xG 0.07J. Marchessault · Missed · xG 0.07J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.06A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.06I. Barbashev · On goal · xG 0.06N. Hague · On goal · xG 0.05P. Cotter · On goal · xG 0.04W. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.04P. Cotter · On goal · xG 0.03P. Cotter · Missed · xG 0.03Z. Whitecloud · On goal · xG 0.03A. Pietrangelo · Missed · xG 0.03M. Amadio · Missed · xG 0.03M. Amadio · On goal · xG 0.03Z. Whitecloud · On goal · xG 0.03Z. Whitecloud · Missed · xG 0.02K. Kolesar · Missed · xG 0.02J. Eichel · Missed · xG 0.02N. Hague · Missed · xG 0.02W. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.02N. Hague · On goal · xG 0.01B. Pachal · On goal · xG 0.01Z. Whitecloud · On goal · xG 0.01Z. Whitecloud · On goal · xG 0.01A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.01N. Hague · On goal · xG 0.01N. Roy · On goal · xG 0.01W. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.01J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.01A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.01B. Pachal · On goal · xG 0.01B. Pachal · On goal · xG 0.00A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.00N. Hague · On goal · xG 0.00
VGK5 G · 2.8 xG · 48 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CGYvsVGK
2.44 G
All situations
5 G2.8
1.44 G
Even strength
3 G1.6
0.90 G
Power play
2 G0.8
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 91 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CGY41%59%VGK

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.33 – 2.81

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CGYvsVGK
31
Shots on goal
39
58%
Faceoffs
42%
0/2
Power play
2/4
8
Penalty minutes
4
22
Hits
24
17
Blocked shots
16
4
Giveaways
5
10
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Calgary Flames skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
55N. HanifinD011+220.09112—24:16
4R. AnderssonD000+220.16020—23:13
52M. WeegarD101-130.04322—23:01
28E. LindholmC011020.311204020:41
11M. BacklundC011040.553107019:56
17Y. SharangovichC202040.13110019:31
91N. KadriC112+140.280005817:55
82J. OesterleD000010.02210—17:50
47C. ZaryC011+200.00000017:47
20B. ColemanL011+100.00200—16:31
10J. HuberdeauL000010.06000—16:15
48D. GilbertD000000.06210—15:47
88A. MangiapaneL000010.05104—14:29
57N. DeSimoneD000020.02140—13:48
76M. PospisilC011+120.3622010011:57
18A. GreerL000000.00200—09:08
29D. DubeC000000.00100008:20
63A. RuzickaC000030.210006708:06
Calgary Flames goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32D. Wolf(O)39345.8722.82-2.1860:26

Season series

CGY leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).