Kraken at Avalanche 2-1 — Recap, Win Probability & Shot Map

NHL scoreboard

Seattle Kraken

▸2

Colorado Avalanche

FinalBall Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Seattle Kraken beat the Colorado Avalanche 2-1. The Kraken scored first and never trailed. The Kraken led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Oliver Bjorkstrand's goal at 7:22 of the second period, which took the Kraken's chances from 65% to 82%. Expected goals favored the Avalanche, 2.5 to 1.5; shots on goal were SEA 27, COL 34. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Avalanche win a replay of these chances 69% of the time. Philipp Grubauer stopped 33 of 34 (.971), 1.5 goals saved above expected; Alexandar Georgiev stopped 25 of 27 (.926). Three stars: 1. Oliver Bjorkstrand (2 G), 2. Philipp Grubauer (33 saves, .971), 3. Nathan MacKinnon (1 A).

Three stars

★
O. Bjorkstrand2 G
★★
P. Grubauer33 saves, .971
★★★
N. MacKinnon1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath

Goals and shots on goal by period
Team	1st	2nd	3rd	T
SEA	06	211	010	227
COL	016	112	06	134

Scoring

3 goals

2nd period

O. Bjorkstrand(1)
Y. Gourde (4), A. Larsson (2)
backhandxG 0.01win prob +17 pts
1-0
3:24
O. Bjorkstrand(2)
E. Tolvanen (2), Y. Gourde (5)
wristxG 0.08win prob +17 pts
2-0
7:22
M. Rantanen(7)PPG
N. MacKinnon (4), D. Toews (8)
deflectedxG 0.15win prob +15 pts
2-1
19:32

Penalties

2 PIM·

0 PIM

2nd

18:10Vince Dunn · Trippingdrawn by Denis Malgin2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game

Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number

goal

goalFinal: COL

Biggest swing: Oliver Bjorkstrand, 2nd 7:22 — SEA 65% → 82%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG

1 G · 2.5 xG · 50 att

←

attacks

attacks →

2 G · 1.5 xG · 40 att COL

1 G · 2.5 xG · 50 att

Tap a shot for who, when and how likely

GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

1.52 G
All situations: 1 G2.5; 1.52 G
Even strength: 0 G2.3; 0.00 G
Power play: 1 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 90 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created

31%69%

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.53 – 2.51

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

27
Shots on goal: 34; 42%
Faceoffs: 58%; 0/0
Power play: 1/1; 2
Penalty minutes: 0; 46
Hits: 23; 29
Blocked shots: 11; 7
Giveaways: 11; 7
Takeaways: 7

Box score

every player line

Seattle Kraken skaters
Skater	G	A	P	+/-	SOG	ixG	Hit	Blk	PIM	FO%	TOI
6A. LarssonD	0	1	1	+2	3	0.05	10	3	0	—	27:37
24J. OleksiakD	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	8	4	0	—	24:18
29V. DunnD	0	0	0	+2	1	0.02	1	0	2	—	22:44
37Y. GourdeC	0	2	2	+2	1	0.03	5	1	0	55	20:24
21A. WennbergC	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	2	0	50	20:19
3W. BorgenD	0	0	0	0	0	0.02	4	4	0	—	19:17
22O. BjorkstrandR	2	0	2	+2	6	0.39	2	3	0	—	18:57
20E. TolvanenR	0	1	1	+1	3	0.20	1	1	0	—	18:09
17J. SchwartzL	0	0	0	0	1	0.14	0	3	0	—	17:07
10M. BeniersC	0	0	0	0	3	0.18	0	0	0	0	15:00
13B. TanevL	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	4	1	0	—	14:24
7J. EberleR	0	0	0	0	3	0.17	1	0	0	100	14:01
28C. SoucyD	0	0	0	0	0	0.01	3	2	0	—	13:58
67M. GeekieC	0	0	0	0	0	0.06	2	1	0	43	12:41
4J. SchultzD	0	0	0	0	1	0.07	1	1	0	—	12:16
52T. KartyeL	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	1	0	—	11:45
9R. DonatoC	0	0	0	0	2	0.08	1	1	0	25	09:04
91D. SprongR	0	0	0	0	2	0.10	1	1	0	—	06:37

Seattle Kraken goalies
Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	xGA	GSAx	TOI
31P. Grubauer(W)	34	33	1	.971	2.54	+1.54	60:00

Series

SEA leads 4-3

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).

Seattle Kraken at Colorado Avalanche

2nd period

2nd

Box score