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Avalanche at Kraken
NHL

Colorado Avalanche at Seattle Kraken

NHL scoreboard
Colorado Avalanche
2
Seattle Kraken
▸3
Final/OTClimate Pledge Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Seattle Kraken beat the Colorado Avalanche 3-2 in overtime, Jordan Eberle scoring at 3:00. The Kraken scored first and never trailed. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jordan Eberle's goal at 3:00 of overtime, which took the Kraken's chances from 52% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Kraken, 3.6 to 2.0; shots on goal were COL 22, SEA 43. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Kraken win a replay of these chances 75% of the time. Alexandar Georgiev stopped 40 of 43 (.930), 0.6 goals saved above expected; Philipp Grubauer stopped 20 of 22 (.909). Three stars: 1. Jordan Eberle (1 G), 2. Mikko Rantanen (2 G), 3. Jaden Schwartz (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    SEA
    J. Eberle1 G
  2. ★★
    COL
    M. Rantanen2 G
  3. ★★★
    SEA
    J. Schwartz1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
COLCOL08260701222
SEASEA2180120914343

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. SEA
    W. Borgen(1)
    A. Larsson (1), B. Tanev (1)
    slapxG 0.06win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    3:56
  2. SEA
    D. Sprong(1)PPG
    J. Schultz (4)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +13 pts
    0-2
    10:09

2nd period

  1. COL
    M. Rantanen(4)
    N. MacKinnon (2), E. Rodrigues (3)
    wristxG 0.18win prob +15 pts
    1-2
    14:08
  2. COL
    M. Rantanen(5)PPG
    S. Girard (2), J. Compher (1)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +22 pts
    2-2
    19:10

Overtime

  1. SEA
    J. Eberle(1)PPG
    J. Schwartz (2), D. Sprong (1)
    wristxG 0.25win prob +48 pts
    2-3
    3:00

Penalties

COL 12 PIM·SEA 8 PIM

1st

  • 1:12COLMatt Nieto · Boardingdrawn by Jordan Eberle2 min
  • 4:04COLAlex Newhook · High stickingdrawn by Matty Beniers2 min
  • 7:23SEAYanni Gourde · Roughingdrawn by Bowen Byram2 min
  • 8:24COLCale Makar · Interferencedrawn by Jared McCann2 min
  • 20:00SEAVince Dunn · Roughingdrawn by Artturi Lehkonen2 min
  • 20:00COLArtturi Lehkonen · Roughingdrawn by Vince Dunn2 min
  • 20:00COLLogan O'Connor · Roughingdrawn by Alexander Wennberg2 min

2nd

  • 17:13SEAWill Borgen · Holdingdrawn by Mikko Rantanen2 min

3rd

  • 7:27SEAAdam Larsson · High stickingdrawn by Logan O'Connor2 min

OT

  • 1:59COLJosh Manson · Trippingdrawn by Jaden Schwartz2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
SEA goalCOL goalFinal: SEA 100%

Biggest swing: Jordan Eberle, OT 3:00 — SEA 52% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
R. Donato · On goal · xG 0.31J. Eberle · Goal · xG 0.25J. McCann · On goal · xG 0.24J. McCann · On goal · xG 0.17J. Schwartz · On goal · xG 0.16O. Bjorkstrand · Missed · xG 0.15V. Dunn · Missed · xG 0.15Y. Gourde · Missed · xG 0.15J. Schwartz · On goal · xG 0.14A. Wennberg · Missed · xG 0.13J. Schwartz · Missed · xG 0.10J. Schwartz · On goal · xG 0.10O. Bjorkstrand · On goal · xG 0.10Y. Gourde · On goal · xG 0.09M. Beniers · On goal · xG 0.09D. Sprong · Goal · xG 0.07J. Schwartz · On goal · xG 0.07R. Donato · On goal · xG 0.07J. Eberle · On goal · xG 0.07O. Bjorkstrand · On goal · xG 0.06J. Schwartz · On goal · xG 0.06J. Schwartz · On goal · xG 0.06W. Borgen · Goal · xG 0.06O. Bjorkstrand · On goal · xG 0.05M. Beniers · On goal · xG 0.05J. Schwartz · On goal · xG 0.05B. Tanev · On goal · xG 0.05Y. Gourde · Missed · xG 0.05R. Donato · On goal · xG 0.04D. Sprong · On goal · xG 0.04J. Schwartz · On goal · xG 0.03Y. Gourde · Missed · xG 0.03A. Larsson · On goal · xG 0.03R. Donato · Missed · xG 0.03R. Donato · On goal · xG 0.03J. Oleksiak · On goal · xG 0.02J. Schwartz · Missed · xG 0.02C. Soucy · Missed · xG 0.02D. Sprong · On goal · xG 0.02O. Bjorkstrand · On goal · xG 0.02D. Sprong · On goal · xG 0.02J. McCann · On goal · xG 0.02C. Soucy · On goal · xG 0.02J. Schwartz · On goal · xG 0.02J. Eberle · On goal · xG 0.01J. McCann · On goal · xG 0.01R. Donato · On goal · xG 0.01Y. Gourde · Missed · xG 0.01J. Schwartz · On goal · xG 0.01W. Borgen · Missed · xG 0.01V. Dunn · On goal · xG 0.01W. Borgen · On goal · xG 0.01J. Schwartz · On goal · xG 0.01A. Larsson · On goal · xG 0.01C. Soucy · On goal · xG 0.00
SEA3 G · 3.6 xG · 55 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

COLvsSEA
2.02 G
All situations
3 G3.6
1.51 G
Even strength
1 G2.3
0.51 G
Power play
2 G1.1
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 88 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
COL25%75%SEA

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.99 – 3.51

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

COLvsSEA
22
Shots on goal
43
44%
Faceoffs
56%
1/3
Power play
2/5
12
Penalty minutes
8
37
Hits
52
18
Blocked shots
26
4
Giveaways
3
9
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Colorado Avalanche skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8C. MakarD000040.17122—26:59
7D. ToewsD000010.06110—24:51
49S. GirardD011-120.18210—24:00
37J. CompherL011020.300304323:59
29N. MacKinnonC011+100.231004623:40
62A. LehkonenL000000.00412—22:36
4B. ByramD000020.06100—21:57
96M. RantanenR202020.320105020:45
9E. RodriguesC011+120.17300020:39
20L. EllerC000020.133105016:00
83M. NietoL000010.05302—14:29
25L. O'ConnorR000020.17312—13:41
42J. MansonD000000.00422—12:31
6E. JohnsonD000+110.01510—11:51
11A. CoglianoC000-100.0012010011:01
18A. NewhookC000-100.091022006:46
59B. MeyersC000000.00110005:27
81D. MalginC000010.07310005:02
Colorado Avalanche goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40A. Georgiev(L)43403.9303.58+0.5863:00

Series

SEA leads 4-3

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).