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Seattle Kraken at Colorado Avalanche

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Recap

written from the game data

The Seattle Kraken beat the Colorado Avalanche 3-1. The Kraken scored first and never trailed. The Kraken led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Morgan Geekie's goal at 4:03 of the third period, which took the Kraken's chances from 74% to 91%. Expected goals favored the Avalanche, 3.0 to 2.3; shots on goal were SEA 30, COL 35. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Avalanche win a replay of these chances 63% of the time. Philipp Grubauer stopped 34 of 35 (.971), 2.0 goals saved above expected; Alexandar Georgiev stopped 27 of 30 (.900), 0.7 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Alexander Wennberg (1 G, 1 A), 2. Philipp Grubauer (34 saves, .971), 3. Eeli Tolvanen (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    SEA
    A. Wennberg1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    SEA
    P. Grubauer34 saves, .971
  3. ★★★
    SEA
    E. Tolvanen1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
SEASEA11311215330
COLCOL18013014135

Scoring

4 goals

1st period

  1. SEA
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.17win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    3:26
  2. COL
    tip-inxG 0.11win prob +14 pts
    1-1
    12:35

2nd period

  1. SEA
    wristxG 0.04win prob +16 pts
    2-1
    1:20

3rd period

  1. SEA
    wristxG 0.13win prob +17 pts
    3-1
    4:03

Penalties

SEA 4 PIM·COL 6 PIM

1st

  • 10:24COLJosh Manson · Hookingdrawn by Brandon Tanev2 min
  • 16:55COLJosh Manson · Holdingdrawn by Ryan Donato2 min

2nd

  • 2:36SEAWill Borgen · High stickingdrawn by Lars Eller2 min
  • 11:00SEACarson Soucy · Hookingdrawn by Artturi Lehkonen2 min

3rd

  • 15:59COLArtturi Lehkonen · Slashingdrawn by Vince Dunn2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
COL goalSEA goalFinal: COL 0%

Biggest swing: Morgan Geekie, 3rd 4:03 — SEA 74% → 91%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
V. Nichushkin · On goal · xG 0.25N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.22A. Lehkonen · On goal · xG 0.17J. Compher · On goal · xG 0.16E. Rodrigues · On goal · xG 0.13J. Compher · On goal · xG 0.12M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.12A. Lehkonen · Missed · xG 0.12M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.11M. Rantanen · Goal · xG 0.11N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.09L. Eller · On goal · xG 0.08N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.08A. Lehkonen · Missed · xG 0.08C. Makar · Missed · xG 0.07M. Rantanen · Missed · xG 0.07J. Compher · Missed · xG 0.07E. Rodrigues · On goal · xG 0.07B. Byram · On goal · xG 0.06N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.06E. Rodrigues · On goal · xG 0.06D. Toews · On goal · xG 0.05N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.05V. Nichushkin · On goal · xG 0.04V. Nichushkin · Missed · xG 0.04B. Byram · On goal · xG 0.04L. Eller · Missed · xG 0.03E. Rodrigues · Missed · xG 0.03D. Toews · Missed · xG 0.03C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.03C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.03E. Rodrigues · On goal · xG 0.03B. Byram · On goal · xG 0.03N. MacKinnon · Missed · xG 0.03J. Manson · Missed · xG 0.03C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.03B. Byram · On goal · xG 0.03D. Malgin · On goal · xG 0.02N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.02E. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.02N. MacKinnon · Missed · xG 0.02E. Rodrigues · Missed · xG 0.02B. Byram · On goal · xG 0.01D. Toews · On goal · xG 0.01E. Rodrigues · On goal · xG 0.01E. Rodrigues · Missed · xG 0.01E. Rodrigues · On goal · xG 0.01N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.01D. Toews · Missed · xG 0.01V. Nichushkin · On goal · xG 0.01
COL1 G · 3.0 xG · 50 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

SEAvsCOL
2.33 G
All situations
1 G3.0
2.03 G
Even strength
1 G2.1
0.20 G
Power play
0 G0.8
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 94 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
SEA37%63%COL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.20 – 2.91

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

SEAvsCOL
30
Shots on goal
35
44%
Faceoffs
56%
0/3
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
6
40
Hits
29
23
Blocked shots
19
9
Giveaways
12
4
Takeaways
1

Box score

every player line
Seattle Kraken skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
6A. LarssonD000010.02540—27:41
29V. DunnD000030.09230—26:10
21A. WennbergC112+130.412105320:38
37Y. GourdeC000+130.313004720:04
17J. SchwartzL011+210.08200—17:24
24J. OleksiakD011+100.00220—17:18
4J. SchultzD011+110.07010—16:55
22O. BjorkstrandR000020.08000—16:44
7J. EberleR000010.102105016:18
20E. TolvanenR101040.41330—16:08
10M. BeniersC000010.191101816:02
19J. McCannL000010.0121010015:28
13B. TanevL000010.1442010015:12
28C. SoucyD000+120.05232—15:05
3W. BorgenD000+110.04312—13:50
67M. GeekieC101+210.142005010:35
91D. SprongR000010.04400—07:37
9R. DonatoC000030.081006706:51
Seattle Kraken goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31P. Grubauer(W)35341.9712.98+1.9860:00

Series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).