San Jose Sharks at Calgary Flames
Recap
written from the game dataThe Calgary Flames beat the San Jose Sharks 3-1. The Sharks scored first; the Flames answered. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Nikita Zadorov's goal at 4:01 of the third period, which took the Flames' chances from 52% to 78%. Expected goals favored the Flames, 3.7 to 2.1; shots on goal were SJS 24, CGY 49. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flames win a replay of these chances 68% of the time. Kaapo Kahkonen stopped 46 of 48 (.958), 1.2 goals saved above expected; Dustin Wolf stopped 23 of 24 (.958), 1.1 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Nikita Zadorov (3 G), 2. Dustin Wolf (23 saves, .958), 3. Matt Coronato.
Three stars
- ★N. Zadorov3 G

- ★★D. Wolf23 saves, .958

- ★★★M. Coronato

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
4 goals1st period
1-010:26
2nd period
1-113:36
3rd period
1-24:01
1-319:00
Penalties
1st
- 18:43
Matt Coronato · Hookingdrawn by Tristen Robins2 min
2nd
- 3:36
Milan Lucic · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
3rd
- 6:16
Fabian Zetterlund · Holdingdrawn by Milan Lucic2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Nikita Zadorov, 3rd 4:01 — 52% → 78%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 2.11 G
- All situations
- 2 G3.7
- 1.61 G
- Even strength
- 2 G2.9
- 0.50 G
- Power play
- 0 G0.1
- 0.00 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.1
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 97 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 2.09 – 3.15
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 24
- Shots on goal
- 49
- 51%
- Faceoffs
- 49%
- 0/2
- Power play
- 0/1
- 2
- Penalty minutes
- 4
- 15
- Hits
- 14
- 23
- Blocked shots
- 17
- 8
- Giveaways
- 16
- 4
- Takeaways
- 11
Box score
every player line
Season series
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
