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Sharks at Flames
NHL

San Jose Sharks at Calgary Flames

NHL scoreboard
San Jose Sharks
3
Calgary Flames
▸5
FinalTV NBCSCA, SN·Scotiabank Saddledome

Recap

written from the game data

The Calgary Flames beat the San Jose Sharks 5-3. The lead changed hands 2 times. It was tied 3-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Nazem Kadri's goal at 5:45 of the third period, which took the Flames' chances from 52% to 79%. Expected goals favored the Flames, 4.1 to 2.6; shots on goal were SJS 31, CGY 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flames win a replay of these chances 63% of the time. Kaapo Kahkonen stopped 25 of 29 (.862), 0.6 goals below expected; Jacob Markstrom stopped 28 of 31 (.903). Three stars: 1. Walker Duehr (1 G, 1 A), 2. MacKenzie Weegar (1 G), 3. Tyler Toffoli (2 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CGY
    W. Duehr1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    CGY
    M. Weegar1 G
  3. ★★★
    CGY
    T. Toffoli2 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
SJSSJS11028013331
CGYCGY27113210530

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. CGY
    M. Weegar(4)
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.20win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    4:09
  2. CGY
    T. Toffoli(30)
    E. Lindholm (41), J. Huberdeau (36)
    snapxG 0.15win prob +14 pts
    0-2
    7:13
  3. SJS
    L. Couture(25)
    E. Karlsson (67), A. Agozzino (2)
    deflectedxG 0.32win prob +14 pts
    1-2
    14:25

2nd period

  1. SJS
    N. Sturm(14)
    N. Gregor (5), E. Karlsson (68)
    tip-inxG 0.15win prob +17 pts
    2-2
    4:52
  2. SJS
    M. Kaut(3)
    S. Lorentz (8), O. Lindblom (9)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +17 pts
    3-2
    5:14
  3. CGY
    W. Duehr(5)
    T. Lewis (9)
    snapxG 0.16win prob +17 pts
    3-3
    5:39

3rd period

  1. CGY
    N. Kadri(23)
    W. Duehr (4), M. Lucic (12)
    wristxG 0.12win prob +27 pts
    3-4
    5:45
  2. CGY
    T. Toffoli(31)EN
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.71win prob +7 pts
    3-5
    18:50

Penalties

SJS 2 PIM·CGY 6 PIM

2nd

  • 9:30SJSMario Ferraro · Trippingdrawn by Mikael Backlund2 min
  • 12:34CGYAndrew Mangiapane · Interferencedrawn by Jacob Peterson2 min

3rd

  • 2:57CGYNikita Zadorov · Interferencedrawn by Logan Couture2 min
  • 16:10CGYJonathan Huberdeau · Slashingdrawn by Matt Benning2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CGY goalSJS goalFinal: CGY 100%

Biggest swing: Nazem Kadri, 3rd 5:45 — CGY 52% → 79%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Toffoli · Goal · xG 0.71W. Duehr · On goal · xG 0.28M. Weegar · Goal · xG 0.20D. Dube · Missed · xG 0.17M. Lucic · Missed · xG 0.17W. Duehr · Goal · xG 0.16T. Toffoli · Goal · xG 0.15A. Mangiapane · Missed · xG 0.14M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.14N. Kadri · Goal · xG 0.12D. Dube · On goal · xG 0.11E. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.11D. Dube · On goal · xG 0.11D. Dube · On goal · xG 0.10N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.09M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.08M. Lucic · On goal · xG 0.08M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.08W. Duehr · On goal · xG 0.07R. Andersson · On goal · xG 0.07W. Duehr · Missed · xG 0.07A. Mangiapane · Missed · xG 0.07N. Kadri · Missed · xG 0.06E. Lindholm · Missed · xG 0.06E. Lindholm · Missed · xG 0.06W. Duehr · Missed · xG 0.06D. Dube · On goal · xG 0.06A. Mangiapane · Missed · xG 0.05A. Mangiapane · Missed · xG 0.05M. Backlund · Missed · xG 0.05A. Mangiapane · Missed · xG 0.05N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.04M. Weegar · On goal · xG 0.03W. Duehr · On goal · xG 0.03N. Ritchie · Missed · xG 0.03D. Gilbert · Missed · xG 0.02M. Weegar · On goal · xG 0.02R. Andersson · On goal · xG 0.02J. Huberdeau · Missed · xG 0.02T. Stecher · On goal · xG 0.02N. Zadorov · On goal · xG 0.02D. Gilbert · Missed · xG 0.01N. Zadorov · Missed · xG 0.01D. Dube · On goal · xG 0.01D. Dube · On goal · xG 0.01M. Weegar · On goal · xG 0.01N. Zadorov · On goal · xG 0.01B. Coleman · Missed · xG 0.01N. Hanifin · Missed · xG 0.01M. Backlund · Missed · xG 0.00N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.00
CGY5 G · 4.1 xG · 51 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

SJSvsCGY
2.63 G
All situations
4 G4.1
2.33 G
Even strength
4 G3.1
0.20 G
Power play
0 G0.2
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 89 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
SJS37%63%CGY

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.53 – 3.32

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

SJSvsCGY
31
Shots on goal
30
52%
Faceoffs
48%
0/3
Power play
0/1
2
Penalty minutes
6
15
Hits
14
15
Blocked shots
16
14
Giveaways
12
5
Takeaways
15

Box score

every player line
San Jose Sharks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
65E. KarlssonD022-120.09010—25:42
5M. BenningD000010.01240—21:02
9J. MacDonaldD000-120.09010—20:23
39L. CoutureC101-130.451105620:09
48T. HertlC000-210.132105919:53
94A. BarabanovL000-100.00000—19:01
38M. FerraroD000010.01012—18:58
62K. LabancR000-140.10110—17:26
26A. AgozzinoL011-130.51110—16:16
73N. GregorL011-110.21120—15:50
44M. VlasicD000000.00020—15:35
7N. SturmC101030.181004314:46
20F. ZetterlundL000020.22000—14:44
24J. PetersonC000010.11100014:35
51R. SimekD000-100.00200—12:49
16S. LorentzC011010.191005010:55
23O. LindblomL011-130.11200—10:28
87M. KautR101030.16000—10:19
San Jose Sharks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
36K. Kahkonen(L)29254.8623.39-0.6159:09

Season series

CGY leads 4-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).