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Calgary Flames at San Jose Sharks

FinalTV NBCSCA, SNW·SAP Center at San Jose

Recap

written from the game data

The Calgary Flames beat the San Jose Sharks 5-2. The Flames scored first and never trailed. The Flames led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Milan Lucic's goal at 6:01 of the second period, which took the Flames' chances from 47% to 65%. Expected goals favored the Flames, 3.0 to 2.2; shots on goal were CGY 25, SJS 26. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flames win a replay of these chances 58% of the time. Jacob Markstrom stopped 24 of 26 (.923); Kaapo Kahkonen stopped 20 of 25 (.800), 2.5 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Elias Lindholm (2 G, 1 A), 2. Nazem Kadri (2 A), 3. Rasmus Andersson (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CGY
    E. Lindholm2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    CGY
    N. Kadri2 A
  3. ★★★
    CGY
    R. Andersson1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CGYCGY1101738525
SJSSJS13013110226

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. CGY
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.16win prob +13 pts
    1-0
    7:13
  2. SJS
    T. Meier(16)PPG
    slapxG 0.12win prob +9 pts
    1-1
    11:11

2nd period

  1. CGY
    snapxG 0.05win prob +18 pts
    2-1
    6:01

3rd period

  1. CGY
    wristxG 0.09win prob +13 pts
    3-1
    0:16
  2. CGY
    wristxG 0.04win prob +8 pts
    4-1
    0:35
  3. CGY
    N. Kadri (13), T. Toffoli (12)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +2 pts
    5-1
    2:10
  4. SJS
    T. Hertl(11)PPG
    backhandxG 0.21win prob +1 pts
    5-2
    7:56

Penalties

CGY 21 PIM·SJS 13 PIM

1st

  • 11:06CGYAdam Ruzicka · Trippingdrawn by Erik Karlsson2 min
  • 15:00SJSJaycob Megna · High stickingdrawn by Tyler Toffoli2 min

2nd

  • 1:11SJSTimo Meier · High stickingdrawn by Nikita Zadorov2 min
  • 8:30CGYBlake Coleman · Trippingdrawn by Tomas Hertl2 min
  • 11:09SJSJonah Gadjovich · Fightingdrawn by Dennis Gilbert5 min
  • 11:09CGYDennis Gilbert · Fightingdrawn by Jonah Gadjovich5 min
  • 18:09CGYJonathan Huberdeau · Slashingdrawn by Nico Sturm2 min

3rd

  • 0:06SJSTomas Hertl · High stickingdrawn by Elias Lindholm2 min
  • 7:50CGYElias Lindholm · Trippingdrawn by Evgeny Svechnikov2 min
  • 8:12CGYMacKenzie Weegar · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 14:58CGYJonathan Huberdeau · Interferencedrawn by Matt Benning2 min
  • 16:46SJSKevin Labanc · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Jacob Markstrom2 min
  • 19:44CGYMikael Backlund · High sticking double minordrawn by Evgeny Svechnikov4 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
SJS goalCGY goalFinal: SJS 0%

Biggest swing: Milan Lucic, 2nd 6:01 — CGY 47% → 65%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
S. Lorentz · On goal · xG 0.21T. Hertl · Goal · xG 0.21M. Vlasic · Missed · xG 0.14N. Gregor · On goal · xG 0.13T. Meier · Goal · xG 0.12E. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.11T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.11N. Sturm · On goal · xG 0.10E. Svechnikov · Missed · xG 0.10J. Gadjovich · Missed · xG 0.09M. Nieto · Missed · xG 0.09N. Sturm · On goal · xG 0.08S. Lorentz · On goal · xG 0.08E. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.06L. Couture · On goal · xG 0.06N. Gregor · Missed · xG 0.05A. Barabanov · On goal · xG 0.05N. Sturm · Missed · xG 0.04E. Svechnikov · Missed · xG 0.04N. Gregor · On goal · xG 0.04E. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.04T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.03N. Sturm · Missed · xG 0.03T. Hertl · On goal · xG 0.02T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.02T. Hertl · On goal · xG 0.02M. Benning · On goal · xG 0.02T. Hertl · On goal · xG 0.02T. Hertl · On goal · xG 0.01N. Gregor · On goal · xG 0.01J. Megna · On goal · xG 0.01J. Megna · On goal · xG 0.01E. Svechnikov · Missed · xG 0.01N. Sturm · On goal · xG 0.00M. Benning · On goal · xG 0.00
SJS2 G · 2.2 xG · 35 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CGYvsSJS
3.05 G
All situations
2 G2.2
2.04 G
Even strength
0 G1.2
0.61 G
Power play
2 G0.9

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 76 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CGY58%42%SJS

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.54 – 2.13

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CGYvsSJS
25
Shots on goal
26
45%
Faceoffs
55%
1/4
Power play
2/7
21
Penalty minutes
13
23
Hits
26
6
Blocked shots
14
6
Giveaways
10
10
Takeaways
12

Box score

every player line
Calgary Flames skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
4R. AnderssonD011+410.15010—24:26
55N. HanifinD011+400.00120—23:31
28E. LindholmC213+330.732026321:07
16N. ZadorovD000010.08010—20:49
52M. WeegarD000020.07302—20:28
91N. KadriC022+140.332003818:31
11M. BacklundC000020.210142917:55
73T. ToffoliC112+310.3000010017:55
88A. MangiapaneL000000.30000—17:52
29D. DubeC101+320.22000016:59
10J. HuberdeauL011000.00204—16:42
26M. StoneD000000.00310—15:14
22T. LewisC011+120.05400013:59
17M. LucicL101+140.21300—13:05
20B. ColemanL000010.11102—12:20
63A. RuzickaC000020.150024008:57
3C. MackeyD000000.10200—07:52
48D. GilbertD000000.00005—03:51
Calgary Flames goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
25J. Markstrom(W)26242.9232.15+0.1560:00

Season series

CGY leads 4-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).