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Flames at Sharks
NHL

Calgary Flames at San Jose Sharks

NHL scoreboard
Calgary Flames
▸7
San Jose Sharks
3
FinalTV NBCSCA, SNW·SAP Center at San Jose

Recap

written from the game data

The Calgary Flames beat the San Jose Sharks 7-3. The Flames scored first and never trailed. The Flames led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Nazem Kadri's goal at 10:04 of the third period, which took the Flames' chances from 48% to 81%. Expected goals favored the Flames, 3.8 to 2.4; shots on goal were CGY 39, SJS 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flames win a replay of these chances 62% of the time. Jacob Markstrom stopped 24 of 27 (.889), 0.6 goals below expected; James Reimer stopped 32 of 38 (.842), 2.9 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Elias Lindholm (3 A), 2. Timo Meier (1 G, 1 A), 3. Nazem Kadri (2 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CGY
    E. Lindholm3 A
  2. ★★
    SJS
    T. Meier1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    CGY
    N. Kadri2 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CGYCGY212112415739
SJSSJS1915113327

Scoring

10 goals

1st period

  1. CGY
    T. Toffoli(12)
    D. Dube (12), E. Lindholm (18)
    wristxG 0.12win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    0:15
  2. CGY
    D. Dube(7)
    E. Lindholm (19), T. Toffoli (13)
    wristxG 0.26win prob +15 pts
    2-0
    0:30
  3. SJS
    N. Sturm(9)
    T. Meier (15)
    wristxG 0.17win prob +15 pts
    2-1
    14:58

2nd period

  1. CGY
    T. Lewis(7)
    A. Ruzicka (12), R. Andersson (18)
    wristxG 0.12win prob +17 pts
    3-1
    10:04
  2. SJS
    A. Barabanov(4)
    S. Harrington (4), M. Nieto (6)
    backhandxG 0.08win prob +17 pts
    3-2
    19:23

3rd period

  1. SJS
    T. Meier(17)
    E. Karlsson (30)
    snapxG 0.10win prob +26 pts
    3-3
    3:58
  2. CGY
    N. Kadri(12)
    M. Lucic (6), J. Huberdeau (15)
    snapxG 0.14win prob +32 pts
    4-3
    10:04
  3. CGY
    M. Lucic(2)
    J. Huberdeau (16)
    wristxG 0.16win prob +10 pts
    5-3
    16:43
  4. CGY
    T. Toffoli(13)EN
    E. Lindholm (20)
    wristxG 0.71win prob +1 pts
    6-3
    18:22
  5. CGY
    N. Kadri(13)
    J. Huberdeau (17)
    wristxG 0.13
    7-3
    18:42

Penalties

CGY 11 PIM·SJS 9 PIM

1st

  • 15:13CGYBrett Ritchie · Fightingdrawn by Nico Sturm5 min
  • 15:13SJSNico Sturm · Fightingdrawn by Brett Ritchie5 min
  • 17:01CGYMacKenzie Weegar · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

2nd

  • 3:17SJSRadim Simek · Hookingdrawn by Nazem Kadri2 min
  • 5:44CGYBlake Coleman · Hookingdrawn by Timo Meier2 min
  • 11:09SJSNoah Gregor · Trippingdrawn by Nazem Kadri2 min

3rd

  • 7:28CGYMilan Lucic · Kneeingdrawn by Radim Simek2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
SJS goalCGY goalFinal: SJS 0%

Biggest swing: Nazem Kadri, 3rd 10:04 — CGY 48% → 81%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Meier · Missed · xG 0.19N. Sturm · Goal · xG 0.17K. Labanc · On goal · xG 0.14A. Barabanov · Missed · xG 0.14N. Sturm · Missed · xG 0.13L. Couture · On goal · xG 0.11T. Meier · Goal · xG 0.10N. Bonino · On goal · xG 0.10M. Nieto · On goal · xG 0.09O. Lindblom · On goal · xG 0.09K. Labanc · On goal · xG 0.09A. Barabanov · On goal · xG 0.09O. Lindblom · Missed · xG 0.08L. Couture · On goal · xG 0.08A. Barabanov · Goal · xG 0.08E. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.08E. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.07E. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.06T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.06L. Couture · On goal · xG 0.05T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.05S. Harrington · On goal · xG 0.04T. Meier · Missed · xG 0.04A. Barabanov · On goal · xG 0.04M. Benning · On goal · xG 0.04R. Simek · Missed · xG 0.03M. Benning · On goal · xG 0.03M. Ferraro · On goal · xG 0.03K. Labanc · On goal · xG 0.02M. Ferraro · On goal · xG 0.01N. Bonino · On goal · xG 0.01J. Gadjovich · On goal · xG 0.01R. Simek · Missed · xG 0.00T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.00
SJS3 G · 2.4 xG · 34 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CGYvsSJS
3.86 G
All situations
3 G2.4
2.96 G
Even strength
3 G1.6
0.10 G
Power play
0 G0.8
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 87 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CGY62%38%SJS

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.03 – 2.35

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CGYvsSJS
39
Shots on goal
27
55%
Faceoffs
45%
0/2
Power play
0/3
11
Penalty minutes
9
16
Hits
21
15
Blocked shots
20
7
Giveaways
8
9
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Calgary Flames skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
4R. AnderssonD011+410.10010—23:54
55N. HanifinD000+330.06120—23:35
8C. TanevD000-120.07030—21:53
52M. WeegarD000-100.02212—21:28
11M. BacklundC000060.320005918:45
28E. LindholmC033+120.090006017:35
29D. DubeC112040.35100017:19
88A. MangiapaneL000020.151006716:46
73T. ToffoliC213+140.92010016:32
10J. HuberdeauL033+320.15010—15:58
91N. KadriC202+320.262004415:33
20B. ColemanL000+120.37132—15:07
16N. ZadorovD000+210.00100—13:47
17M. LucicL112+420.27202—12:48
26M. StoneD000+110.02110—12:09
22T. LewisC101030.483106711:24
63A. RuzickaC011020.170005010:23
24B. RitchieR000-100.00115—09:09
Calgary Flames goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
25J. Markstrom(W)27243.8892.36-0.6459:55

Season series

CGY leads 4-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).