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Boston Bruins at Florida Panthers

Final/OTTV BSFLX, NESN·FLA Live Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Florida Panthers beat the Boston Bruins 4-3 in overtime, Sam Reinhart scoring at 0:17. The Bruins scored first; the Panthers answered. The Bruins led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Sam Reinhart's goal at 0:17 of overtime, which took the Panthers' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Bruins, 3.7 to 3.1; shots on goal were BOS 40, FLA 37. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Bruins win a replay of these chances 58% of the time. Jeremy Swayman stopped 33 of 37 (.892), 0.9 goals below expected; Alex Lyon stopped 38 of 40 (.950), 0.7 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Alex Lyon (38 saves, .950), 2. Aleksander Barkov (1 G, 2 A), 3. Sam Reinhart (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    FLA
    A. Lyon38 saves, .950
  2. ★★
    FLA
    A. Barkov1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    FLA
    S. Reinhart1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
BOSBOS1171171600340
FLAFLA0911421311437

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. BOS
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.10win prob +15 pts
    1-0
    16:50

2nd period

  1. FLA
    tip-inxG 0.08win prob +19 pts
    1-1
    8:55
  2. BOS
    Unassisted
    xG 0.01win prob +23 pts
    2-1
    17:55

3rd period

  1. FLA
    wristxG 0.03win prob +30 pts
    2-2
    8:29
  2. BOS
    wristxG 0.05win prob +47 pts
    3-2
    19:11
  3. FLA
    wristxG 0.07win prob +47 pts
    3-3
    19:57

Overtime

  1. FLA
    slapxG 0.08win prob +49 pts
    3-4
    0:17

Penalties

BOS 4 PIM·FLA 10 PIM

1st

  • 7:50BOSNick Foligno · Roughingdrawn by Brandon Montour2 min
  • 7:50FLARyan Lomberg · Roughingdrawn by Nick Foligno2 min
  • 8:26BOSBrad Marchand · Holdingdrawn by Aaron Ekblad2 min
  • 12:12FLASam Bennett · High sticking double minordrawn by Patrice Bergeron4 min

2nd

  • 6:20FLACarter Verhaeghe · Interferencedrawn by Brad Marchand2 min
  • 13:20FLAGivani Smith · High stickingdrawn by Nick Foligno2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
FLA goalBOS goalFinal: FLA 100%

Biggest swing: Sam Reinhart, OT 0:17 — FLA 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.21A. Barkov · Missed · xG 0.15E. Luostarinen · On goal · xG 0.14S. Reinhart · On goal · xG 0.14C. Verhaeghe · On goal · xG 0.13A. Ekblad · On goal · xG 0.13S. Reinhart · Missed · xG 0.12S. Reinhart · On goal · xG 0.11C. Verhaeghe · On goal · xG 0.10M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.09A. Barkov · Missed · xG 0.09A. Ekblad · On goal · xG 0.09S. Reinhart · Missed · xG 0.09R. Lomberg · On goal · xG 0.09A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.08M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.08B. Montour · Goal · xG 0.08S. Reinhart · On goal · xG 0.08S. Reinhart · Goal · xG 0.08M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.07A. Barkov · Goal · xG 0.07A. Lundell · Missed · xG 0.07E. Luostarinen · Missed · xG 0.07A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.06C. Verhaeghe · On goal · xG 0.06A. Barkov · Missed · xG 0.05E. Staal · Missed · xG 0.05R. Lomberg · On goal · xG 0.04S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.04A. Ekblad · On goal · xG 0.04S. Bennett · Goal · xG 0.03C. Verhaeghe · Missed · xG 0.03R. Gudas · Missed · xG 0.03A. Ekblad · Missed · xG 0.03S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.03A. Ekblad · On goal · xG 0.03J. Mahura · On goal · xG 0.02J. Mahura · Missed · xG 0.02C. Tierney · Missed · xG 0.02A. Ekblad · Missed · xG 0.02M. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.02G. Smith · Missed · xG 0.02M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.02B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.02B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.02J. Mahura · On goal · xG 0.02A. Lundell · Missed · xG 0.01G. Forsling · On goal · xG 0.01A. Ekblad · On goal · xG 0.01G. Forsling · On goal · xG 0.01G. Forsling · On goal · xG 0.01M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.01E. Luostarinen · On goal · xG 0.00C. Verhaeghe · On goal · xG 0.00
FLA4 G · 3.1 xG · 54 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

BOSvsFLA
3.73 G
All situations
4 G3.1
2.53 G
Even strength
4 G2.1
1.20 G
Power play
0 G0.9
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 107 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
BOS58%42%FLA

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.60 – 3.09

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

BOSvsFLA
40
Shots on goal
37
50%
Faceoffs
50%
0/4
Power play
0/1
4
Penalty minutes
10
13
Hits
24
20
Blocked shots
16
12
Giveaways
10
6
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
Boston Bruins skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
27H. LindholmD000-230.03110—23:03
88D. PastrnakR101-270.86200—21:52
73C. McAvoyD000+110.03040—21:34
37P. BergeronC000-140.260005220:49
63B. MarchandL000-240.28002—20:44
71T. HallL000+140.63110—18:29
25B. CarloD000-210.18230—17:53
48M. GrzelcykD011+200.04330—17:48
18P. ZachaC000-110.070007517:16
75C. CliftonD000020.07110—17:11
46D. KrejciC011-110.320102716:22
13C. CoyleC101+210.101105016:00
28D. ForbortD000000.02110—15:41
17N. FolignoL000+140.3401210015:06
12C. SmithC101030.29000014:12
10A. GreerL000+120.0702010010:44
26M. McLaughlinC000020.081005010:13
11T. FredericC000000.00010001:54
Boston Bruins goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
1J. Swayman(O)37334.8923.12-0.8860:17

Season series

Tied 2-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).