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Florida Panthers at Boston Bruins

FinalTV NESN, BSFL·TD Garden

Recap

written from the game data

The Boston Bruins beat the Florida Panthers 5-3. The Bruins scored first and never trailed. The Bruins led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Patrice Bergeron's goal at 12:35 of the second period, which took the Bruins' chances from 53% to 72%. Expected goals favored the Bruins, 3.8 to 2.9; shots on goal were FLA 41, BOS 34. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Panthers win a replay of these chances 57% of the time. Sergei Bobrovsky stopped 29 of 33 (.879), 1.5 goals below expected; Linus Ullmark stopped 38 of 41 (.927). Three stars: 1. Jake DeBrusk (2 G, 1 A), 2. David Pastrnak (1 G), 3. Patrice Bergeron (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    BOS
    J. DeBrusk2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    BOS
    D. Pastrnak1 G
  3. ★★★
    BOS
    P. Bergeron1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
FLAFLA011110220341
BOSBOS11219313534

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. BOS
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.22win prob +11 pts
    0-1
    0:21

2nd period

  1. FLA
    wristxG 0.11win prob +17 pts
    1-1
    4:32
  2. BOS
    wristxG 0.10win prob +20 pts
    1-2
    12:35

3rd period

  1. BOS
    wristxG 0.16win prob +14 pts
    1-3
    7:01
  2. BOS
    wrap-aroundxG 0.01win prob +3 pts
    1-4
    12:31
  3. FLA
    wristxG 0.02win prob +2 pts
    2-4
    12:58
  4. FLA
    snapxG 0.06win prob +6 pts
    3-4
    18:23
  5. BOS
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.24win prob +6 pts
    3-5
    18:57

Penalties

FLA 10 PIM·BOS 12 PIM

1st

  • 0:42FLAAaron Ekblad · High stickingdrawn by Trent Frederic2 min
  • 8:38BOSHampus Lindholm · Interferencedrawn by Sam Bennett2 min
  • 10:16BOSCharlie Coyle · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 18:52FLAAaron Ekblad · Trippingdrawn by David Pastrnak2 min

2nd

  • 10:26BOSTomas Nosek · Kneeingdrawn by Rudolfs Balcers2 min
  • 10:26BOSNick Foligno · Roughingdrawn by Matthew Tkachuk2 min
  • 10:26FLAMatthew Tkachuk · Roughingdrawn by Nick Foligno2 min
  • 10:26FLAMatthew Tkachuk · Roughingdrawn by Nick Foligno2 min
  • 14:49BOSDerek Forbort · Holdingdrawn by Carter Verhaeghe2 min

3rd

  • 4:52FLAGustav Forsling · Interferencedrawn by David Pastrnak2 min
  • 14:06BOSDavid Pastrnak · Trippingdrawn by Anton Lundell2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
BOS goalFLA goalFinal: BOS 100%

Biggest swing: Patrice Bergeron, 2nd 12:35 — BOS 53% → 72%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
D. Pastrnak · Missed · xG 0.55H. Lindholm · Missed · xG 0.47J. DeBrusk · Goal · xG 0.24J. DeBrusk · Goal · xG 0.22D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.18D. Pastrnak · Goal · xG 0.16J. DeBrusk · On goal · xG 0.15D. Krejci · On goal · xG 0.14P. Bergeron · Missed · xG 0.12P. Zacha · On goal · xG 0.12T. Hall · On goal · xG 0.10P. Bergeron · Goal · xG 0.10D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.10J. DeBrusk · On goal · xG 0.08C. Smith · Missed · xG 0.08T. Hall · On goal · xG 0.08D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.08D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.08N. Foligno · On goal · xG 0.06D. Renouf · On goal · xG 0.05P. Bergeron · Missed · xG 0.05A. Greer · Missed · xG 0.05J. DeBrusk · Missed · xG 0.05D. Pastrnak · Missed · xG 0.04M. Reilly · Missed · xG 0.04J. DeBrusk · On goal · xG 0.04M. Reilly · Missed · xG 0.03M. Reilly · On goal · xG 0.03D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.03N. Foligno · On goal · xG 0.03D. Renouf · On goal · xG 0.03D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.03D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.03P. Zacha · On goal · xG 0.02J. Zboril · On goal · xG 0.02P. Bergeron · Missed · xG 0.02D. Renouf · On goal · xG 0.02J. Zboril · Missed · xG 0.02H. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.02D. Renouf · On goal · xG 0.01T. Frederic · Goal · xG 0.01C. Clifton · On goal · xG 0.01C. Clifton · Missed · xG 0.01M. Reilly · On goal · xG 0.01T. Frederic · On goal · xG 0.00C. Clifton · On goal · xG 0.00D. Renouf · On goal · xG 0.00
BOS5 G · 3.8 xG · 47 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

FLAvsBOS
2.93 G
All situations
4 G3.8
1.53 G
Even strength
4 G1.7
1.40 G
Power play
0 G0.7
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 103 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
FLA57%43%BOS

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.91 – 2.51

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

FLAvsBOS
41
Shots on goal
34
36%
Faceoffs
64%
0/4
Power play
0/3
10
Penalty minutes
12
22
Hits
18
19
Blocked shots
22
3
Giveaways
11
1
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Florida Panthers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
42G. ForslingD112050.12212—28:14
13S. ReinhartC000-220.36010023:18
16A. BarkovC000-320.230002523:03
7R. GudasD000-220.02220—22:29
18M. StaalD000000.17560—21:47
19M. TkachukL011-260.32114—21:36
28J. MahuraD000+120.04220—19:37
9S. BennettC112-150.332003119:08
15A. LundellC000030.110306417:49
23C. VerhaegheC000-130.11000017:30
5A. EkbladD000-120.23004—15:10
70P. HornqvistR000-150.57000—13:38
27E. LuostarinenC011+100.04100013:31
6C. WhiteC112+230.29110012:53
38R. BalcersL011000.00210—11:53
21N. CousinsC000-100.002004009:08
94R. LombergL000010.01210—08:06
Florida Panthers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
72S. Bobrovsky(L)33294.8792.52-1.4855:10

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).