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Florida Panthers at Boston Bruins

FinalTV BSFLX, NESN·TD Garden

Recap

written from the game data

The Boston Bruins beat the Florida Panthers 7-3. The Bruins scored first and never trailed. The Bruins led 5-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was David Krejci's goal at 11:50 of the second period, which took the Bruins' chances from 72% to 87%. Expected goals favored the Panthers, 2.7 to 2.3; shots on goal were FLA 39, BOS 26. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Panthers win a replay of these chances 57% of the time. Spencer Knight stopped 19 of 26 (.731), 4.7 goals below expected; Linus Ullmark stopped 36 of 39 (.923). Three stars: 1. Patrice Bergeron (2 G, 2 A), 2. Brad Marchand (3 A), 3. Brandon Carlo (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    BOS
    P. Bergeron2 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    BOS
    B. Marchand3 A
  3. ★★★
    BOS
    B. Carlo1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
FLAFLA09319011339
BOSBOS3122727726

Scoring

10 goals

1st period

  1. BOS
    T. Hall (13)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +13 pts
    0-1
    10:51
  2. BOS
    wristxG 0.05win prob +14 pts
    0-2
    14:04
  3. BOS
    wristxG 0.05win prob +9 pts
    0-3
    16:07

2nd period

  1. BOS
    wristxG 0.11win prob +3 pts
    0-4
    1:38
  2. FLA
    wristxG 0.09win prob +4 pts
    1-4
    3:02
  3. FLA
    snapxG 0.04win prob +8 pts
    2-4
    5:42
  4. FLA
    backhandxG 0.28win prob +15 pts
    3-4
    8:22
  5. BOS
    H. Lindholm (18), T. Hall (14)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +16 pts
    3-5
    11:50

3rd period

  1. BOS
    wristxG 0.01win prob +4 pts
    3-6
    8:52
  2. BOS
    snapxG 0.09
    3-7
    13:18

Penalties

FLA 10 PIM·BOS 8 PIM

1st

  • 16:40FLASam Bennett · Roughingdrawn by Brad Marchand2 min

2nd

  • 1:16FLAGustav Forsling · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 8:32BOSDavid Pastrnak · Illegal check to headdrawn by Gustav Forsling2 min

3rd

  • 4:12BOSCharlie McAvoy · Slashingdrawn by Eetu Luostarinen2 min
  • 4:12FLAEetu Luostarinen · Trippingdrawn by Charlie McAvoy2 min
  • 4:20BOSHampus Lindholm · Hookingdrawn by Carter Verhaeghe2 min
  • 11:37FLABrandon Montour · Slashingdrawn by Trent Frederic2 min
  • 17:25BOSTrent Frederic · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Spencer Knight2 min
  • 19:49FLAMatt Kiersted · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
BOS goalFLA goalFinal: BOS 100%

Biggest swing: David Krejci, 2nd 11:50 — BOS 72% → 87%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.16P. Bergeron · On goal · xG 0.12T. Frederic · On goal · xG 0.12P. Bergeron · On goal · xG 0.12J. DeBrusk · On goal · xG 0.11D. Pastrnak · Goal · xG 0.11J. DeBrusk · Missed · xG 0.11T. Frederic · On goal · xG 0.11C. Clifton · Goal · xG 0.10T. Hall · Missed · xG 0.10C. Coyle · Missed · xG 0.09P. Bergeron · Goal · xG 0.09P. Bergeron · On goal · xG 0.09H. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.08T. Nosek · Missed · xG 0.08H. Lindholm · Missed · xG 0.07N. Foligno · On goal · xG 0.07D. Pastrnak · Missed · xG 0.07C. Coyle · On goal · xG 0.07P. Zacha · Missed · xG 0.06C. Coyle · Goal · xG 0.05T. Nosek · On goal · xG 0.05B. Carlo · Goal · xG 0.05D. Krejci · Goal · xG 0.04D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.03M. Grzelcyk · Missed · xG 0.02C. Clifton · Missed · xG 0.02D. Forbort · On goal · xG 0.02T. Hall · Missed · xG 0.01D. Pastrnak · Missed · xG 0.01P. Bergeron · Goal · xG 0.01B. Marchand · On goal · xG 0.01T. Frederic · On goal · xG 0.01C. Coyle · On goal · xG 0.01H. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.01C. Smith · On goal · xG 0.01C. Coyle · On goal · xG 0.00
BOS7 G · 2.3 xG · 37 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

FLAvsBOS
2.73 G
All situations
7 G2.3
2.33 G
Even strength
5 G1.9
0.40 G
Power play
2 G0.4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 88 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
FLA57%43%BOS

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.66 – 2.28

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

FLAvsBOS
39
Shots on goal
26
44%
Faceoffs
56%
0/3
Power play
2/4
10
Penalty minutes
8
14
Hits
9
13
Blocked shots
15
10
Giveaways
7
11
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Florida Panthers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
5A. EkbladD000-360.13020—26:58
62B. MontourD011+120.13212—26:26
42G. ForslingD011-120.34132—25:57
13S. ReinhartC112+250.391003821:34
19M. TkachukL000-230.19000—20:58
9S. BennettC000-220.133122119:33
23C. VerhaegheC112+240.43000018:58
27E. LuostarinenC011+200.000027117:42
12E. StaalC101040.430105416:26
6C. WhiteC000-220.150005015:36
18M. StaalD000000.05020—14:48
28J. MahuraD000-200.00020—13:11
21N. CousinsC000020.092005010:26
94R. LombergL000020.11300—10:17
14G. DenisenkoL000-200.04100—09:48
3M. KierstedD011+120.03002—09:07
20A. HeponiemiC000-200.0000010008:01
22Z. DalpeC000-230.081105008:00
Florida Panthers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30S. Knight(L)26197.7312.30-4.7060:00

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).