Boston Bruins at Florida Panthers
Recap
written from the game dataThe Florida Panthers beat the Boston Bruins 5-2. The Panthers scored first and never trailed. The Panthers led 4-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Anton Lundell's goal at 4:41 of the second period, which took the Panthers' chances from 53% to 70%. Expected goals favored the Bruins, 3.5 to 3.1; shots on goal were BOS 39, FLA 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Bruins win a replay of these chances 62% of the time. Jeremy Swayman stopped 26 of 30 (.867), 1.3 goals below expected; Spencer Knight stopped 37 of 39 (.949), 1.5 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Aleksander Barkov (1 G, 2 A), 2. Spencer Knight (37 saves, .949), 3. Aaron Ekblad (1 G, 2 A).
Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
7 goals1st period
0-11:49
1-117:14
2nd period
1-24:41
1-315:31
1-419:46
3rd period
2-46:20
2-517:50
Penalties
1st
- 1:20
Charlie Coyle · Trippingdrawn by Gustav Forsling2 min
- 16:13
Ryan Lomberg · Slashingdrawn by Jakub Zboril2 min
- 17:08
Anton Lundell · High sticking double minordrawn by David Pastrnak4 min
2nd
- 5:35
Nick Foligno · Interferencedrawn by Brandon Montour2 min
- 6:14
Charlie McAvoy · Trippingdrawn by Brandon Montour2 min
- 14:15
Connor Clifton · Holdingdrawn by Sam Bennett2 min
- 18:44
Hampus Lindholm · Cross checkingdrawn by Radko Gudas2 min
3rd
- 5:00
Colin White · Holdingdrawn by Craig Smith2 min
- 5:26
Eetu Luostarinen · High sticking double minordrawn by Charlie McAvoy4 min
- 8:01
Brad Marchand · Interferencedrawn by Sam Bennett2 min
- 11:53
David Krejci · Hookingdrawn by Patric Hornqvist2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Anton Lundell, 2nd 4:41 — 53% → 70%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 3.52 G
- All situations
- 4 G3.1
- 2.60 G
- Even strength
- 1 G1.5
- 0.92 G
- Power play
- 3 G1.2
- 0.10 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.0
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 89 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 3.47 – 2.72
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 39
- Shots on goal
- 31
- 59%
- Faceoffs
- 41%
- 2/6
- Power play
- 3/7
- 14
- Penalty minutes
- 12
- 21
- Hits
- 28
- 11
- Blocked shots
- 18
- 6
- Giveaways
- 10
- 3
- Takeaways
- 13
Box score
every player line
Season series
Tied 2-2
3@
5Final
2@
5this game
3@
7Final
3@
4OTFinal
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
