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Calgary Flames at San Jose Sharks

FinalTV NBCSCA, SNW·SAP Center at San Jose

Recap

written from the game data

The Calgary Flames beat the San Jose Sharks 4-2. The Flames scored first and never trailed. The Flames led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Elias Lindholm's goal at 13:28 of the second period, which took the Flames' chances from 68% to 85%. Expected goals favored the Flames, 4.9 to 2.4; shots on goal were CGY 41, SJS 33. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flames win a replay of these chances 67% of the time. Dan Vladar stopped 31 of 33 (.939); James Reimer stopped 32 of 35 (.914). Three stars: 1. Elias Lindholm (2 G), 2. Matthew Tkachuk (1 G, 2 A), 3. Noah Hanifin (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CGY
    E. Lindholm2 G
  2. ★★
    CGY
    M. Tkachuk1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    CGY
    N. Hanifin1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CGYCGY216115110441
SJSSJS112011110233

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. CGY
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.10win prob +13 pts
    1-0
    7:19
  2. SJS
    deflectedxG 0.07win prob +14 pts
    1-1
    14:29
  3. CGY
    wristxG 0.10win prob +16 pts
    2-1
    19:05

2nd period

  1. CGY
    wristxG 0.09win prob +17 pts
    3-1
    13:28

3rd period

  1. SJS
    T. Meier (38), M. Ferraro (11)
    deflectedxG 0.43win prob +15 pts
    3-2
    5:24
  2. CGY
    wristxG 0.93win prob +5 pts
    4-2
    19:28

Penalties

CGY 6 PIM·SJS 6 PIM

1st

  • 1:12SJSSasha Chmelevski · Slashingdrawn by Noah Hanifin2 min
  • 14:44CGYDillon Dube · Boardingdrawn by Mario Ferraro2 min

2nd

  • 10:16SJSNoah Gregor · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

3rd

  • 3:23CGYTrevor Lewis · Cross checkingdrawn by Alexander Barabanov2 min
  • 11:12CGYMikael Backlund · Hookingdrawn by Logan Couture2 min
  • 13:52SJSNick Bonino · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
SJS goalCGY goalFinal: SJS 0%

Biggest swing: Elias Lindholm, 2nd 13:28 — CGY 68% → 85%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
L. Couture · Goal · xG 0.43T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.16T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.14L. Couture · On goal · xG 0.13T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.12E. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.10T. Hertl · Missed · xG 0.08T. Meier · Missed · xG 0.08A. Barabanov · On goal · xG 0.07A. Barabanov · On goal · xG 0.07N. Bonino · Goal · xG 0.07E. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.07T. Meier · Missed · xG 0.06T. Meier · Missed · xG 0.06B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.06A. Barabanov · On goal · xG 0.06L. Couture · On goal · xG 0.05T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.05N. Bonino · On goal · xG 0.05M. Nieto · On goal · xG 0.05T. Meier · Missed · xG 0.04M. Ferraro · Missed · xG 0.04R. Balcers · On goal · xG 0.04B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.03R. Balcers · On goal · xG 0.03T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.03L. Couture · Missed · xG 0.03J. Dahlen · On goal · xG 0.03R. Balcers · On goal · xG 0.03B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.02S. Chmelevski · On goal · xG 0.02J. Megna · On goal · xG 0.02N. Gregor · Missed · xG 0.02B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.01J. Megna · On goal · xG 0.01N. Gregor · On goal · xG 0.01N. Meloche · On goal · xG 0.01T. Meier · Missed · xG 0.01M. Nieto · On goal · xG 0.01B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.00S. Chmelevski · On goal · xG 0.00S. Chmelevski · Missed · xG 0.00T. Hertl · On goal · xG 0.00S. Chmelevski · Missed · xG 0.00
SJS2 G · 2.4 xG · 44 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CGYvsSJS
4.93 G
All situations
2 G2.4
2.73 G
Even strength
2 G2.1
0.90 G
Power play
0 G0.2
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 105 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CGY67%33%SJS

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.47 – 2.43

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CGYvsSJS
41
Shots on goal
33
52%
Faceoffs
48%
0/3
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
6
24
Hits
34
10
Blocked shots
20
9
Giveaways
13
11
Takeaways
12

Box score

every player line
Calgary Flames skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
4R. AnderssonD011+210.17310—24:55
55N. HanifinD011+310.11200—23:05
8C. TanevD000+120.04240—20:00
26M. StoneD000-120.20120—19:07
28E. LindholmC202+372.091105018:46
19M. TkachukL123+330.34010—17:53
13J. GaudreauL022+340.38000—17:34
3C. MackeyD000020.08100—14:47
20B. ColemanL000050.56100—14:36
6J. VälimäkiD000-100.05100—14:32
73T. ToffoliC000-110.02100014:28
88A. MangiapaneL000000.06000—14:25
11M. BacklundC000-150.210027314:19
29D. DubeC000-100.001027514:14
22T. LewisC101030.23012014:01
18R. CarpenterC000000.002005612:42
17M. LucicL000010.1940010012:40
24B. RitchieR000040.14400—11:56
Calgary Flames goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
80D. Vladar(W)33312.9392.44+0.4460:00

Season series

SJS leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).