Calgary Flames at San Jose Sharks
Recap
written from the game dataThe San Jose Sharks beat the Calgary Flames 5-3. The Sharks came back from two goals down. The Sharks led 4-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Tomas Hertl's goal at 18:10 of the second period, which took the Sharks' chances from 53% to 75%. Expected goals favored the Flames, 3.4 to 2.8; shots on goal were CGY 43, SJS 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flames win a replay of these chances 68% of the time. Dan Vladar stopped 22 of 26 (.846), 1.8 goals below expected; Adin Hill stopped 40 of 43 (.930). Three stars: 1. Tomas Hertl (3 G), 2. Erik Karlsson (1 G, 1 A), 3. Adin Hill (40 saves, .930).
Three stars
- ★T. Hertl3 G

- ★★E. Karlsson1 G, 1 A

- ★★★A. Hill40 saves, .930

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
8 goals1st period
1-01:37
1-18:58
2-111:55
2nd period
3-14:31
3-210:08
3-314:27
3-418:10
3rd period
3-519:18
Penalties
1st
- 8:06
Erik Gudbranson · Cross checkingdrawn by Alexander Barabanov2 min
2nd
- 1:20
Jonathan Dahlen · High stickingdrawn by Elias Lindholm2 min
- 7:56
Erik Karlsson · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- 14:16
Nikita Zadorov · Cross checkingdrawn by Jasper Weatherby2 min
3rd
- 9:32
Nicolas Meloche · Trippingdrawn by Trevor Lewis2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Tomas Hertl, 2nd 18:10 — 53% → 75%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 3.43 G
- All situations
- 4 G2.8
- 2.93 G
- Even strength
- 2 G1.9
- 0.40 G
- Power play
- 2 G0.2
- 0.00 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.1
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 96 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 3.32 – 2.23
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 43
- Shots on goal
- 27
- 59%
- Faceoffs
- 41%
- 0/3
- Power play
- 2/2
- 4
- Penalty minutes
- 6
- 23
- Hits
- 21
- 16
- Blocked shots
- 22
- 10
- Giveaways
- 2
- 9
- Takeaways
- 12
Box score
every player line
Season series
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
