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Sharks at Flames
NHL

San Jose Sharks at Calgary Flames

NHL scoreboard
San Jose Sharks
▸4
Calgary Flames
3
FinalTV NBCSCA, SN1·Scotiabank Saddledome

Recap

written from the game data

The San Jose Sharks beat the Calgary Flames 4-3. The Sharks came back from two goals down. The Flames led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Logan Couture's goal at 11:35 of the third period, which took the Sharks' chances from 48% to 82%. Expected goals were close — SJS 3.7, CGY 3.6; shots on goal were SJS 38, CGY 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Sharks win a replay of these chances 50% of the time. James Reimer stopped 28 of 31 (.903), 0.6 goals saved above expected; Jacob Markstrom stopped 34 of 38 (.895). Three stars: 1. Timo Meier (1 G), 2. Matthew Tkachuk (2 A), 3. Alexander Barabanov (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    SJS
    T. Meier1 G
  2. ★★
    CGY
    M. Tkachuk2 A
  3. ★★★
    SJS
    A. Barabanov1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
SJSSJS114110214438
CGYCGY29112010331

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. CGY
    J. Gaudreau(29)PPG
    M. Tkachuk (46), E. Lindholm (34)
    wristxG 0.13win prob +9 pts
    0-1
    4:17
  2. CGY
    D. Dube(8)
    M. Tkachuk (47)
    snapxG 0.12win prob +14 pts
    0-2
    8:16
  3. SJS
    M. Vlasic(2)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.02win prob +14 pts
    1-2
    14:54

2nd period

  1. CGY
    M. Backlund(10)
    J. Gaudreau (53)
    backhandxG 0.27win prob +15 pts
    1-3
    4:08
  2. SJS
    T. Meier(27)
    B. Burns (35), A. Barabanov (24)
    wristxG 0.01win prob +15 pts
    2-3
    17:30

3rd period

  1. SJS
    A. Barabanov(10)
    T. Hertl (25)
    wristxG 0.12win prob +32 pts
    3-3
    11:07
  2. SJS
    L. Couture(21)
    N. Gregor (10), S. Chmelevski (1)
    wristxG 0.23win prob +34 pts
    4-3
    11:35

Penalties

SJS 16 PIM·CGY 6 PIM

1st

  • 3:52SJSNicolas Meloche · Slashingdrawn by Dillon Dube2 min
  • 12:19SJSTimo Meier · Boardingdrawn by Noah Hanifin2 min
  • 17:28CGYJacob Markstrom · Slashingdrawn by Nicolas Meloche2 min

2nd

  • 8:51CGYMilan Lucic · Hookingdrawn by Ryan Merkley2 min
  • 14:59SJSBrent Burns · Ps slash on breakawaydrawn by Johnny Gaudreau0 min

3rd

  • 6:17CGYErik Gudbranson · Roughingdrawn by Jeffrey Viel2 min
  • 6:17SJSJeffrey Viel · Misconduct10 min
  • 6:17SJSJeffrey Viel · Roughingdrawn by Erik Gudbranson2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CGY goalSJS goalFinal: CGY 0%

Biggest swing: Logan Couture, 3rd 11:35 — SJS 48% → 82%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Backlund · Goal · xG 0.27J. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.27M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.24C. Jarnkrok · On goal · xG 0.23B. Coleman · On goal · xG 0.21M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.21B. Coleman · On goal · xG 0.16J. Gaudreau · Goal · xG 0.13D. Dube · On goal · xG 0.13D. Dube · Goal · xG 0.12A. Mangiapane · On goal · xG 0.11E. Lindholm · Missed · xG 0.10T. Toffoli · Missed · xG 0.10T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.09A. Mangiapane · Missed · xG 0.09N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.08M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.07N. Zadorov · On goal · xG 0.07E. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.07T. Toffoli · Missed · xG 0.06E. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.06M. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.05M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.05C. Jarnkrok · Missed · xG 0.05C. Tanev · Missed · xG 0.05M. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.04C. Tanev · Missed · xG 0.04N. Hanifin · Missed · xG 0.04B. Coleman · Missed · xG 0.04B. Coleman · Missed · xG 0.03N. Hanifin · Missed · xG 0.03N. Zadorov · On goal · xG 0.03N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.03N. Zadorov · Missed · xG 0.03T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.03M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.02C. Tanev · Missed · xG 0.02E. Gudbranson · Missed · xG 0.02O. Kylington · Missed · xG 0.02M. Lucic · On goal · xG 0.02R. Andersson · On goal · xG 0.02N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.02N. Zadorov · Missed · xG 0.02N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.01M. Lucic · On goal · xG 0.01O. Kylington · Missed · xG 0.01E. Gudbranson · Missed · xG 0.01N. Zadorov · On goal · xG 0.01S. Monahan · On goal · xG 0.00E. Gudbranson · On goal · xG 0.00N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.00
CGY3 G · 3.6 xG · 51 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

SJSvsCGY
3.74 G
All situations
3 G3.6
2.64 G
Even strength
2 G2.5
1.10 G
Power play
1 G1.0
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 99 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
SJS50%50%CGY

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.59 – 3.57

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

SJSvsCGY
38
Shots on goal
31
45%
Faceoffs
55%
0/2
Power play
1/2
16
Penalty minutes
6
23
Hits
14
19
Blocked shots
10
13
Giveaways
14
2
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
San Jose Sharks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
88B. BurnsD011+110.06100—24:39
65E. KarlssonD000+120.18000—24:23
48T. HertlC011+250.433206721:47
24J. MegnaD000-110.02240—19:43
94A. BarabanovL112+220.27120—19:23
28T. MeierR101+340.41202—18:06
39L. CoutureC101+130.570002917:04
44M. VlasicD101+120.10020—16:59
6R. MerkleyD000+130.04020—16:43
13N. BoninoC000-120.120204316:36
53N. MelocheD000+110.04322—16:18
73N. GregorL011020.23300—15:16
54S. ReedyC000-120.260202513:58
92R. BalcersL000020.13100—13:57
43J. LeonardL000-110.37010—13:40
55S. ChmelevskiC011+120.110004010:32
42J. GadjovichL000010.28300—08:21
63J. VielL000020.094012—08:10
San Jose Sharks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
47J. Reimer(W)31283.9033.62+0.6260:00

Season series

SJS leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).