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San Jose Sharks at Calgary Flames

FinalTV NBCSCA, SN1·Scotiabank Saddledome

Recap

written from the game data

The San Jose Sharks beat the Calgary Flames 4-1. The Sharks scored first and never trailed. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Logan Couture's goal at 4:18 of the third period, which took the Sharks' chances from 48% to 75%. Expected goals favored the Flames, 3.8 to 3.5; shots on goal were SJS 26, CGY 38. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flames win a replay of these chances 73% of the time. Adin Hill stopped 37 of 38 (.974), 2.8 goals saved above expected; Jacob Markstrom stopped 22 of 24 (.917). Three stars: 1. Adin Hill (37 saves, .974), 2. Brent Burns (2 A), 3. Milan Lucic (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    SJS
    A. Hill37 saves, .974
  2. ★★
    SJS
    B. Burns2 A
  3. ★★★
    CGY
    M. Lucic1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
SJSSJS0418314426
CGYCGY08119011138

Scoring

5 goals

2nd period

  1. SJS
    B. Burns (9), A. Hill (1)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +15 pts
    1-0
    0:47
  2. CGY
    M. Lucic (2), D. Dube (6)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +16 pts
    1-1
    1:17

3rd period

  1. SJS
    wristxG 0.02win prob +27 pts
    2-1
    4:18
  2. SJS
    B. Burns (10), A. Hill (2)
    wristxG 0.81win prob +7 pts
    3-1
    18:57
  3. SJS
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.40
    4-1
    19:19

Penalties

SJS 6 PIM·CGY 4 PIM

1st

  • 1:43CGYErik Gudbranson · Holdingdrawn by Nick Merkley2 min
  • 18:35CGYChris Tanev · Trippingdrawn by Rudolfs Balcers2 min

2nd

  • 1:17SJSserved by N. Merkley · Delaying game unsuccessful challenge2 min
  • 5:30SJSAndrew Cogliano · High stickingdrawn by Rasmus Andersson2 min
  • 15:47SJSJaycob Megna · Cross checkingdrawn by Trevor Lewis2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CGY goalSJS goalFinal: CGY 0%

Biggest swing: Logan Couture, 3rd 4:18 — SJS 48% → 75%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Lucic · On goal · xG 0.38M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.25E. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.19A. Mangiapane · On goal · xG 0.17D. Dube · On goal · xG 0.13A. Mangiapane · Missed · xG 0.13D. Dube · On goal · xG 0.12M. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.11J. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.11T. Lewis · Missed · xG 0.10M. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.10J. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.10S. Monahan · On goal · xG 0.10S. Monahan · Missed · xG 0.09E. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.09M. Backlund · Missed · xG 0.08A. Mangiapane · Goal · xG 0.08O. Kylington · On goal · xG 0.08M. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.07D. Dube · Missed · xG 0.07M. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.07M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.07T. Lewis · Missed · xG 0.07T. Pitlick · On goal · xG 0.07M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.06E. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.06D. Dube · On goal · xG 0.05N. Zadorov · On goal · xG 0.05O. Kylington · On goal · xG 0.05E. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.05A. Mangiapane · On goal · xG 0.04B. Coleman · On goal · xG 0.04D. Dube · On goal · xG 0.04A. Mangiapane · Missed · xG 0.04R. Andersson · Missed · xG 0.04N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.04R. Andersson · On goal · xG 0.04R. Andersson · On goal · xG 0.03J. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.03R. Andersson · On goal · xG 0.03M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.03R. Andersson · On goal · xG 0.03N. Zadorov · On goal · xG 0.02E. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.02E. Gudbranson · On goal · xG 0.02N. Zadorov · On goal · xG 0.02E. Gudbranson · On goal · xG 0.02T. Lewis · On goal · xG 0.02E. Gudbranson · Missed · xG 0.01M. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.01E. Gudbranson · On goal · xG 0.01N. Hanifin · Missed · xG 0.01N. Hanifin · Missed · xG 0.01T. Pitlick · Missed · xG 0.01B. Coleman · On goal · xG 0.00
CGY1 G · 3.8 xG · 55 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

SJSvsCGY
3.52 G
All situations
1 G3.8
1.92 G
Even strength
1 G2.8
0.20 G
Power play
0 G1.0
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 98 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
SJS27%73%CGY

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.25 – 3.69

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

SJSvsCGY
26
Shots on goal
38
48%
Faceoffs
52%
0/2
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
4
17
Hits
16
15
Blocked shots
10
9
Giveaways
10
9
Takeaways
13

Box score

every player line
San Jose Sharks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
88B. BurnsD022+210.21020—27:44
38M. FerraroD000+210.04040—26:18
92R. BalcersL000+120.362003318:56
13N. BoninoC000+210.180205618:30
53N. MelocheD011+100.00330—18:08
48T. HertlC101+171.420004717:56
39L. CoutureC101+230.151104017:45
94A. BarabanovL101010.09000—17:04
61S. HatakkaD011010.00110—15:59
24J. MegnaD000+100.00112—15:19
76J. DahlenC101+220.45000014:21
10N. MerkleyR000000.0320010014:10
26J. WeatherbyC000010.170005613:24
6R. MerkleyD000020.03100—12:35
11A. CoglianoC000+110.06112012:27
43J. LeonardL000020.07100—11:30
42J. GadjovichL000000.17200—11:02
18L. PedersonC000010.032003310:52
San Jose Sharks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
33A. Hill(W)38371.9743.80+2.8060:00

Season series

SJS leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).