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Lightning at Panthers
NHL

Tampa Bay Lightning at Florida Panthers

NHL scoreboard
Tampa Bay Lightning
3
Florida Panthers
▸9
FinalTV BSSUN, BSFL·FLA Live Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Florida Panthers beat the Tampa Bay Lightning 9-3. The Panthers scored first and never trailed. The Panthers led 6-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Anthony Duclair's goal at 2:10 of the first period, which took the Panthers' chances from 54% to 66%. Expected goals were close — TBL 3.1, FLA 3.3; shots on goal were TBL 42, FLA 37. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Panthers win a replay of these chances 52% of the time. Maxime Lagace stopped 21 of 27 (.778), 3.5 goals below expected; Spencer Knight stopped 39 of 42 (.929). Three stars: 1. Jonathan Huberdeau (1 G, 4 A), 2. Anthony Duclair (2 G, 1 A), 3. Spencer Knight (39 saves, .929).

Three stars

  1. ★
    FLA
    J. Huberdeau1 G, 4 A
  2. ★★
    FLA
    A. Duclair2 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    FLA
    S. Knight39 saves, .929

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
TBLTBL119110113342
FLAFLA310317310937

Scoring

12 goals

1st period

  1. FLA
    A. Duclair(11)
    B. Montour (9), J. Huberdeau (24)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    2:10
  2. FLA
    J. Huberdeau(11)PPG
    A. Barkov (9), S. Reinhart (15)
    backhandxG 0.24win prob +11 pts
    0-2
    11:22
  3. FLA
    F. Vatrano(7)
    A. Lundell (8), M. Marchment (8)
    wristxG 0.12win prob +9 pts
    0-3
    14:21
  4. TBL
    Z. Bogosian(2)
    P. Bellemare (5), C. Perry (8)
    slapxG 0.02win prob +9 pts
    1-3
    15:31

2nd period

  1. FLA
    E. Luostarinen(8)
    R. Gudas (8), R. Lomberg (6)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +9 pts
    1-4
    3:02
  2. TBL
    S. Stamkos(15)
    O. Palat (11), R. Colton (10)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +8 pts
    2-4
    6:19
  3. FLA
    M. Mamin(4)
    C. Verhaeghe (16), E. Luostarinen (4)
    tip-inxG 0.12win prob +7 pts
    2-5
    17:26
  4. FLA
    A. Lundell(7)
    F. Vatrano (4), M. Weegar (16)
    backhandxG 0.13win prob +2 pts
    2-6
    19:23

3rd period

  1. TBL
    B. Point(10)PPG
    A. Killorn (19), O. Palat (12)
    wristxG 0.12win prob +1 pts
    3-6
    4:27
  2. FLA
    A. Duclair(12)
    J. Huberdeau (25), M. Weegar (17)
    backhandxG 0.13win prob +1 pts
    3-7
    4:38
  3. FLA
    A. Ekblad(9)
    J. Huberdeau (26), A. Duclair (9)
    slapxG 0.02
    3-8
    6:46
  4. FLA
    A. Barkov(11)SHG
    J. Huberdeau (27)
    snapxG 0.21
    3-9
    12:31

Penalties

TBL 42 PIM·FLA 24 PIM

1st

  • 10:34TBLRoss Colton · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Spencer Knight2 min
  • 10:34TBLRoss Colton · Misconduct10 min
  • 17:16FLAMacKenzie Weegar · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Alex Killorn2 min
  • 17:16TBLAlex Killorn · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by MacKenzie Weegar2 min
  • 18:27FLAAleksander Barkov · Roughingdrawn by Ryan McDonagh2 min

2nd

  • 10:11TBLPatrick Maroon · Trippingdrawn by Anthony Duclair2 min

3rd

  • 2:44FLALucas Carlsson · Slashingdrawn by Riley Nash2 min
  • 12:20FLACarter Verhaeghe · High sticking double minordrawn by Ross Colton4 min
  • 15:43TBLAlex Killorn · Interferencedrawn by Radko Gudas2 min
  • 18:54FLARyan Lomberg · Roughingdrawn by Corey Perry2 min
  • 18:54FLARyan Lomberg · Roughingdrawn by Corey Perry2 min
  • 18:54FLARyan Lomberg · Misconduct10 min
  • 18:54TBLCorey Perry · Roughingdrawn by Ryan Lomberg2 min
  • 18:54TBLCorey Perry · Roughingdrawn by Ryan Lomberg2 min
  • 18:54TBLCorey Perry · Misconduct10 min
  • 18:54TBLPatrick Maroon · Misconduct10 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
FLA goalTBL goalFinal: FLA 100%

Biggest swing: Anthony Duclair, 1st 2:10 — FLA 54% → 66%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Huberdeau · Goal · xG 0.24A. Barkov · Goal · xG 0.21C. Verhaeghe · On goal · xG 0.19M. Marchment · On goal · xG 0.16S. Reinhart · On goal · xG 0.15A. Duclair · Goal · xG 0.14A. Lundell · Goal · xG 0.13M. Mamin · On goal · xG 0.13A. Duclair · Goal · xG 0.13A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.13F. Vatrano · Goal · xG 0.12F. Vatrano · Missed · xG 0.12M. Mamin · Goal · xG 0.11A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.11P. Hornqvist · On goal · xG 0.11M. Marchment · On goal · xG 0.11M. Marchment · On goal · xG 0.09A. Barkov · Missed · xG 0.08R. Lomberg · On goal · xG 0.08P. Hornqvist · On goal · xG 0.07A. Lundell · On goal · xG 0.07S. Reinhart · On goal · xG 0.06F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.06J. Huberdeau · On goal · xG 0.06R. Lomberg · On goal · xG 0.06M. Weegar · On goal · xG 0.05G. Forsling · Missed · xG 0.04E. Luostarinen · Goal · xG 0.04M. Weegar · On goal · xG 0.03R. Gudas · On goal · xG 0.03P. Hornqvist · On goal · xG 0.03R. Gudas · Missed · xG 0.03G. Forsling · On goal · xG 0.03A. Ekblad · Goal · xG 0.02B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.01P. Hornqvist · On goal · xG 0.01G. Forsling · On goal · xG 0.01J. Huberdeau · On goal · xG 0.01A. Ekblad · On goal · xG 0.01G. Forsling · On goal · xG 0.00F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.00
FLA9 G · 3.3 xG · 41 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

TBLvsFLA
3.13 G
All situations
9 G3.3
2.42 G
Even strength
7 G2.3
0.61 G
Power play
1 G0.6
0.10 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 93 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
TBL48%52%FLA

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.06 – 3.20

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

TBLvsFLA
42
Shots on goal
37
56%
Faceoffs
44%
1/4
Power play
1/3
42
Penalty minutes
24
29
Hits
40
13
Blocked shots
11
6
Giveaways
10
11
Takeaways
13

Box score

every player line
Tampa Bay Lightning skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
27R. McDonaghD000020.15220—24:27
77V. HedmanD000-650.26000—23:58
44J. RuttaD000-430.21130—21:04
17A. KillornL011-210.12304—20:53
21B. PointC101-330.451003320:06
91S. StamkosC101-350.522005018:48
10C. PerryR011030.270014—16:02
18O. PalatL022-320.14200—15:55
43D. RaddyshD000-120.04130—14:57
7M. JosephR000-210.17200—14:53
20R. NashC000-240.230008014:43
74S. DayD000-120.04220—14:43
24Z. BogosianD101+120.04220—13:39
14P. MaroonL000020.061012—13:18
41P. BellemareL011010.081005313:18
38R. ElieL000-220.14300—10:57
13B. KatchoukL000-200.00410—10:54
79R. ColtonC011020.16201210010:39
Tampa Bay Lightning goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
33M. Lagace(L)27216.7782.46-3.5439:58
60H. Alnefelt1073.7000.80-2.2020:00

Season series

Tied 2-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).