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Panthers at Lightning
NHL

Florida Panthers at Tampa Bay Lightning

NHL scoreboard
Florida Panthers
2
Tampa Bay Lightning
▸3
Final/OTTV BSSUN, BSFL·Amalie Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Tampa Bay Lightning beat the Florida Panthers 3-2 in overtime, Brayden Point scoring at 2:13. The Lightning scored first and never trailed. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Brayden Point's goal at 2:13 of overtime, which took the Lightning's chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Panthers, 3.2 to 2.7; shots on goal were FLA 28, TBL 24. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Panthers win a replay of these chances 56% of the time. Sergei Bobrovsky stopped 21 of 24 (.875); Andrei Vasilevskiy stopped 26 of 28 (.929), 1.2 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Brayden Point (1 G), 2. Andrei Vasilevskiy (26 saves, .929), 3. Victor Hedman (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    TBL
    B. Point1 G
  2. ★★
    TBL
    A. Vasilevskiy26 saves, .929
  3. ★★★
    TBL
    V. Hedman1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
FLAFLA062110902228
TBLTBL16190712324

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. TBL
    P. Maroon(2)PPG
    R. Colton (1), A. Killorn (6)
    wristxG 0.19win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    12:17

2nd period

  1. TBL
    V. Hedman(2)
    B. Katchouk (1), Z. Bogosian (1)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +7 pts
    0-2
    9:02
  2. FLA
    J. Huberdeau(4)
    A. Barkov (7), L. Carlsson (1)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +12 pts
    1-2
    12:59
  3. FLA
    E. Luostarinen(5)
    A. Ekblad (7), R. Lomberg (1)
    tip-inxG 0.08win prob +20 pts
    2-2
    13:35

Overtime

  1. TBL
    B. Point(5)
    O. Palat (5)
    backhandxG 0.29win prob +49 pts
    2-3
    2:13

Penalties

FLA 11 PIM·TBL 11 PIM

1st

  • 5:20TBLJan Rutta · Roughingdrawn by Ryan Lomberg2 min
  • 5:20FLARyan Lomberg · Roughingdrawn by Jan Rutta2 min
  • 10:49FLAMacKenzie Weegar · Interferencedrawn by Anthony Cirelli2 min
  • 18:33TBLVictor Hedman · Trippingdrawn by Carter Verhaeghe2 min

2nd

  • 8:46TBLBrayden Point · Fightingdrawn by Patric Hornqvist5 min
  • 8:46FLAPatric Hornqvist · Fightingdrawn by Brayden Point5 min
  • 18:27TBLAlex Killorn · Holdingdrawn by MacKenzie Weegar2 min
  • 18:27FLAMacKenzie Weegar · Embellishment2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
TBL goalFLA goalFinal: TBL 100%

Biggest swing: Brayden Point, OT 2:13 — TBL 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Point · Goal · xG 0.29P. Maroon · Goal · xG 0.19V. Hedman · On goal · xG 0.18B. Point · Missed · xG 0.16B. Point · On goal · xG 0.15A. Cirelli · On goal · xG 0.15A. Killorn · Missed · xG 0.14B. Point · On goal · xG 0.14R. Colton · On goal · xG 0.13O. Palat · On goal · xG 0.12S. Stamkos · On goal · xG 0.11B. Point · On goal · xG 0.09A. Cirelli · On goal · xG 0.09O. Palat · On goal · xG 0.09P. Bellemare · On goal · xG 0.08S. Stamkos · Missed · xG 0.08A. Cirelli · Missed · xG 0.06M. Joseph · Missed · xG 0.06P. Bellemare · Missed · xG 0.05A. Cirelli · Missed · xG 0.04R. Colton · On goal · xG 0.04Z. Bogosian · On goal · xG 0.04A. Killorn · On goal · xG 0.03T. Raddysh · On goal · xG 0.03M. Sergachev · Missed · xG 0.03J. Rutta · On goal · xG 0.03S. Stamkos · Missed · xG 0.03V. Hedman · Goal · xG 0.02V. Hedman · On goal · xG 0.02C. Foote · On goal · xG 0.02V. Hedman · On goal · xG 0.02M. Sergachev · On goal · xG 0.01B. Katchouk · On goal · xG 0.01
TBL3 G · 2.7 xG · 33 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

FLAvsTBL
3.22 G
All situations
3 G2.7
3.22 G
Even strength
2 G2.4
0.00 G
Power play
1 G0.4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 73 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
FLA56%44%TBL

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.10 – 2.74

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

FLAvsTBL
28
Shots on goal
24
54%
Faceoffs
46%
0/1
Power play
1/1
11
Penalty minutes
11
25
Hits
30
6
Blocked shots
16
0
Giveaways
0
8
Takeaways
10

Box score

every player line
Florida Panthers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
5A. EkbladD011010.37110—26:45
42G. ForslingD000-140.17100—24:22
52M. WeegarD000+120.19404—23:48
16A. BarkovC011+110.071006922:14
23C. VerhaegheC000-110.16100019:16
7R. GudasD000-130.13420—18:47
11J. HuberdeauL101+130.31100—18:43
9S. BennettC000040.782007818:09
10A. DuclairL000+130.37100—16:49
62B. MontourD000+100.01000—16:24
13S. ReinhartC000-220.29000015:55
15A. LundellC000-110.080006714:20
74O. TippettR000+110.1101010012:53
77F. VatranoR000-100.00110—11:06
32L. CarlssonD011+100.00200—10:50
70P. HornqvistR000010.02105—10:36
94R. LombergL011+100.00202—10:20
27E. LuostarinenC101+110.103102009:54
Florida Panthers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
72S. Bobrovsky(O)24213.8752.74-0.2662:13

Season series

Tied 2-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).