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Panthers at Lightning
NHL

Florida Panthers at Tampa Bay Lightning

NHL scoreboard
Florida Panthers
▸4
Tampa Bay Lightning
1
FinalTV BSSUN, BSFL·Amalie Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Florida Panthers beat the Tampa Bay Lightning 4-1. The Panthers scored first and never trailed. The Panthers led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Aleksander Barkov's goal at 3:40 of the third period, which took the Panthers' chances from 48% to 74%. Expected goals favored the Panthers, 3.5 to 2.6; shots on goal were FLA 32, TBL 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Lightning win a replay of these chances 58% of the time. Spencer Knight stopped 30 of 31 (.968), 1.6 goals saved above expected; Andrei Vasilevskiy stopped 28 of 31 (.903), 0.8 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Anton Lundell (1 G, 1 A), 2. Spencer Knight (30 saves, .968), 3. Brayden Point (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    FLA
    A. Lundell1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    FLA
    S. Knight30 saves, .968
  3. ★★★
    TBL
    B. Point1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
FLAFLA01219311432
TBLTBL01006115131

Scoring

5 goals

2nd period

  1. FLA
    B. Montour(1)PPG
    S. Reinhart (1), A. Lundell (1)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +17 pts
    1-0
    6:12

3rd period

  1. TBL
    B. Point(1)
    V. Hedman (6), J. Rutta (1)
    slapxG 0.06win prob +25 pts
    1-1
    2:36
  2. FLA
    A. Barkov(2)
    C. Verhaeghe (2)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +27 pts
    2-1
    3:40
  3. FLA
    A. Lundell(1)
    S. Reinhart (2), M. Marchment (1)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +13 pts
    3-1
    13:19
  4. FLA
    A. Duclair(3)EN
    A. Barkov (3), G. Forsling (4)
    backhandxG 0.45win prob +1 pts
    4-1
    17:54

Penalties

FLA 12 PIM·TBL 6 PIM

1st

  • 4:35TBLErik Cernak · Slashingdrawn by Aleksander Barkov2 min
  • 15:10FLAJoe Thornton · Slashingdrawn by Boris Katchouk2 min
  • 15:36FLAAnton Lundell · Holdingdrawn by Ondrej Palat2 min

2nd

  • 4:11TBLAlex Killorn · Holdingdrawn by Radko Gudas2 min
  • 7:01TBLBrayden Point · Hookingdrawn by Sam Reinhart2 min
  • 10:57FLAOwen Tippett · Elbowingdrawn by Jan Rutta2 min
  • 16:38FLASam Reinhart · Slashingdrawn by Mathieu Joseph2 min

3rd

  • 9:49FLACarter Verhaeghe · Trippingdrawn by Alex Killorn2 min
  • 14:02FLAKevin Connauton · Cross checkingdrawn by Anthony Cirelli2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
TBL goalFLA goalFinal: TBL 0%

Biggest swing: Aleksander Barkov, 3rd 3:40 — FLA 48% → 74%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
S. Stamkos · On goal · xG 0.21C. Perry · On goal · xG 0.17B. Point · On goal · xG 0.16B. Point · Missed · xG 0.15S. Stamkos · Missed · xG 0.15S. Stamkos · On goal · xG 0.13S. Stamkos · Missed · xG 0.12B. Katchouk · On goal · xG 0.11O. Palat · On goal · xG 0.11B. Point · On goal · xG 0.10B. Point · Missed · xG 0.10S. Stamkos · On goal · xG 0.09S. Stamkos · On goal · xG 0.08A. Cirelli · On goal · xG 0.07T. Raddysh · Missed · xG 0.06R. Colton · On goal · xG 0.06B. Point · Goal · xG 0.06C. Perry · On goal · xG 0.06V. Hedman · Missed · xG 0.05R. Colton · Missed · xG 0.05S. Stamkos · On goal · xG 0.05V. Hedman · On goal · xG 0.05P. Maroon · On goal · xG 0.04M. Sergachev · On goal · xG 0.04V. Hedman · On goal · xG 0.03O. Palat · On goal · xG 0.03E. Cernak · Missed · xG 0.03V. Hedman · On goal · xG 0.02R. Colton · On goal · xG 0.02J. Rutta · On goal · xG 0.02E. Cernak · On goal · xG 0.02J. Rutta · On goal · xG 0.02M. Joseph · On goal · xG 0.02A. Sustr · On goal · xG 0.01R. McDonagh · On goal · xG 0.01R. Colton · On goal · xG 0.01R. McDonagh · Missed · xG 0.01A. Sustr · Missed · xG 0.01E. Cernak · On goal · xG 0.01E. Cernak · On goal · xG 0.01S. Stamkos · On goal · xG 0.01A. Cirelli · Missed · xG 0.01
TBL1 G · 2.6 xG · 42 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

FLAvsTBL
3.53 G
All situations
1 G2.6
1.62 G
Even strength
1 G1.4
0.51 G
Power play
0 G1.2
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 83 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
FLA42%58%TBL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.14 – 2.58

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

FLAvsTBL
32
Shots on goal
31
39%
Faceoffs
61%
1/3
Power play
0/6
12
Penalty minutes
6
25
Hits
26
10
Blocked shots
15
3
Giveaways
5
4
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Florida Panthers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
5A. EkbladD000+150.07000—25:04
52M. WeegarD000+120.05610—22:56
42G. ForslingD011+110.07110—22:54
16A. BarkovC112+210.211003722:17
7R. GudasD000+110.04400—20:50
11J. HuberdeauL000010.13110—17:45
15A. LundellC112+130.281325617:32
9S. BennettC000020.313002317:26
13S. ReinhartC022+120.06112016:44
23C. VerhaegheC011+220.8400210015:37
17M. MarchmentL011+110.32200—14:21
10A. DuclairL101+220.53010—12:03
74O. TippettR000010.07102—11:47
62B. MontourD101010.04100—11:31
70P. HornqvistR000-110.12110—10:37
44K. ConnautonD000030.22102—10:36
19J. ThorntonC000-110.021022510:13
77F. VatranoR000-120.13010—07:47
Florida Panthers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30S. Knight(W)31301.9682.58+1.5859:31

Season series

Tied 2-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).