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Lightning at Islanders
NHL

Tampa Bay Lightning at New York Islanders

NHL scoreboard
Tampa Bay Lightning
2
New York Islanders
▸3
Final/OTTV NBCSN, CBC·Nassau Veterans Memorial Coliseum

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Islanders beat the Tampa Bay Lightning 3-2 in overtime, Anthony Beauvillier scoring at 1:08. The Islanders came back from two goals down. The Lightning led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Anthony Beauvillier's goal at 1:08 of overtime, which took the Islanders' chances from 52% to 100%. Expected goals were close — TBL 2.3, NYI 2.3; shots on goal were TBL 24, NYI 28. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Islanders win a replay of these chances 50% of the time. Andrei Vasilevskiy stopped 25 of 28 (.893), 0.7 goals below expected; Semyon Varlamov stopped 22 of 24 (.917). Three stars: 1. Anthony Beauvillier (1 G), 2. Mathew Barzal (2 A), 3. Scott Mayfield (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYI
    A. Beauvillier1 G
  2. ★★
    NYI
    M. Barzal2 A
  3. ★★★
    NYI
    S. Mayfield1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
TBLTBL16190900224
NYINYI071111911328

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. TBL
    B. Point(14)
    A. Cirelli (5)
    backhandxG 0.20win prob +15 pts
    1-0
    16:02

2nd period

  1. TBL
    A. Cirelli(4)
    O. Palat (5), B. Point (6)
    wristxG 0.20win prob +17 pts
    2-0
    12:36
  2. NYI
    J. Eberle(4)
    M. Barzal (7), A. Greene (1)
    backhandxG 0.03win prob +17 pts
    2-1
    14:22

3rd period

  1. NYI
    S. Mayfield(2)
    M. Barzal (8), A. Pelech (4)
    wristxG 0.16win prob +34 pts
    2-2
    11:16

Overtime

  1. NYI
    A. Beauvillier(5)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.08win prob +48 pts
    2-3
    1:08

Penalties

TBL 8 PIM·NYI 6 PIM

2nd

  • 6:23NYICal Clutterbuck · Roughingdrawn by Tyler Johnson2 min
  • 7:25TBLVictor Hedman · Trippingdrawn by Casey Cizikas2 min
  • 8:07TBLMikhail Sergachev · Interferencedrawn by Mathew Barzal2 min
  • 20:00TBLBlake Coleman · Roughingdrawn by Scott Mayfield2 min
  • 20:00NYIScott Mayfield · Roughingdrawn by Blake Coleman2 min

3rd

  • 8:15TBLAlex Killorn · Holdingdrawn by Jordan Eberle2 min
  • 14:03NYIMatt Martin · High stickingdrawn by Patrick Maroon2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYI goalTBL goalFinal: NYI 100%

Biggest swing: Anthony Beauvillier, OT 1:08 — NYI 52% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Bailey · On goal · xG 0.16K. Palmieri · Missed · xG 0.16S. Mayfield · Goal · xG 0.16B. Nelson · On goal · xG 0.15B. Nelson · On goal · xG 0.14J. Eberle · On goal · xG 0.12K. Palmieri · Missed · xG 0.11M. Barzal · Missed · xG 0.11A. Beauvillier · On goal · xG 0.10C. Cizikas · On goal · xG 0.09M. Barzal · On goal · xG 0.09M. Barzal · On goal · xG 0.08A. Beauvillier · Goal · xG 0.08K. Palmieri · Missed · xG 0.08M. Barzal · Missed · xG 0.07N. Dobson · On goal · xG 0.06J. Eberle · On goal · xG 0.06T. Zajac · Missed · xG 0.06K. Palmieri · Missed · xG 0.05J. Eberle · On goal · xG 0.05R. Pulock · On goal · xG 0.03J. Eberle · Goal · xG 0.03J. Eberle · On goal · xG 0.03N. Leddy · On goal · xG 0.02M. Martin · Missed · xG 0.02C. Clutterbuck · On goal · xG 0.02A. Greene · On goal · xG 0.02J. Bailey · Missed · xG 0.02A. Pelech · Missed · xG 0.02A. Pelech · On goal · xG 0.02C. Cizikas · On goal · xG 0.02S. Mayfield · On goal · xG 0.01A. Pelech · On goal · xG 0.01A. Beauvillier · On goal · xG 0.01S. Mayfield · On goal · xG 0.01N. Dobson · Missed · xG 0.01R. Pulock · Missed · xG 0.01K. Palmieri · Missed · xG 0.01A. Greene · On goal · xG 0.01C. Cizikas · On goal · xG 0.01K. Palmieri · On goal · xG 0.00
NYI3 G · 2.3 xG · 41 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

TBLvsNYI
2.32 G
All situations
3 G2.3
1.72 G
Even strength
3 G1.7
0.60 G
Power play
0 G0.7

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 74 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
TBL50%50%NYI

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.30 – 2.33

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

TBLvsNYI
24
Shots on goal
28
42%
Faceoffs
58%
0/2
Power play
0/3
8
Penalty minutes
6
25
Hits
34
19
Blocked shots
13
13
Giveaways
10
6
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Tampa Bay Lightning skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
77V. HedmanD000+120.04202—26:58
27R. McDonaghD000-210.03110—24:17
98M. SergachevD000000.02142—22:47
21B. PointC112+220.450006719:29
37Y. GourdeC000-220.20010019:24
71A. CirelliC112+210.210105018:22
18O. PalatL011+210.06310—18:11
44J. RuttaD000010.02030—17:45
17A. KillornL000-120.20302—17:35
19B. GoodrowC000-210.010005017:31
58D. SavardD000-110.00310—16:55
91S. StamkosC000-140.631205616:36
20B. ColemanL000-210.14242—16:16
9T. JohnsonC000-100.003002514:59
2L. SchennD000010.03400—10:39
79R. ColtonC000020.082103309:57
14P. MaroonL000020.21000—08:59
86N. KucherovR000000.00000—00:46
Tampa Bay Lightning goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
88A. Vasilevskiy(L)28253.8932.34-0.6660:36

Series

TBL leads 4-3

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).