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Islanders at Lightning
NHL

New York Islanders at Tampa Bay Lightning

FinalTV NBCSN, CBC·Amalie Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Tampa Bay Lightning beat the New York Islanders 8-0. The Lightning scored first and never trailed. The Lightning led 6-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Yanni Gourde's goal at 11:04 of the first period, which took the Lightning's chances from 67% to 81%. Expected goals favored the Lightning, 4.2 to 2.2; shots on goal were NYI 21, TBL 42. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Lightning win a replay of these chances 79% of the time. Ilya Sorokin stopped 21 of 26 (.808), 2.5 goals below expected; Andrei Vasilevskiy stopped 21 of 21 (1.000), 2.1 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Steven Stamkos (2 G, 1 A), 2. Alex Killorn (2 G, 1 A), 3. Andrei Vasilevskiy (21 saves, 1.000).

Three stars

  1. ★
    TBL
    S. Stamkos2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    TBL
    A. Killorn2 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    TBL
    A. Vasilevskiy21 saves, 1.000

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NYINYI050907021
TBLTBL31931429842

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. TBL
    wristxG 0.11win prob +11 pts
    0-1
    0:45
  2. TBL
    deflectedxG 0.11win prob +14 pts
    0-2
    11:04
  3. TBL
    deflectedxG 0.09win prob +9 pts
    0-3
    15:27

2nd period

  1. TBL
    slapxG 0.13win prob +3 pts
    0-4
    5:42
  2. TBL
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +1 pts
    0-5
    15:43
  3. TBL
    tip-inxG 0.10
    0-6
    17:53

3rd period

  1. TBL
    B. Point(13)PPG
    slapxG 0.14
    0-7
    1:59
  2. TBL
    deflectedxG 0.06
    0-8
    12:05

Penalties

NYI 57 PIM·TBL 28 PIM

2nd

  • 4:44NYIBrock Nelson · Hookingdrawn by Jan Rutta2 min
  • 9:33NYICal Clutterbuck · Interferencedrawn by Ondrej Palat2 min
  • 12:40NYIKyle Palmieri · Trippingdrawn by Blake Coleman2 min
  • 17:08NYIMatt Martin · Fightingdrawn by Luke Schenn5 min
  • 17:08TBLLuke Schenn · Fightingdrawn by Matt Martin5 min
  • 17:31NYIJean-Gabriel Pageau · Trippingdrawn by Victor Hedman2 min
  • 18:41TBLRyan McDonagh · Cross checkingdrawn by Brock Nelson2 min
  • 20:00NYIJean-Gabriel Pageau · Roughingdrawn by Anthony Cirelli2 min
  • 20:00TBLAnthony Cirelli · Roughingdrawn by Jean-Gabriel Pageau2 min
  • 20:00NYIMathew Barzal · Cross checkingdrawn by Jan Rutta5 min
  • 20:00NYIMathew Barzal · Game misconduct10 min

3rd

  • 16:30TBLBarclay Goodrow · Roughingdrawn by Matt Martin2 min
  • 16:30TBLBarclay Goodrow · Cross checkingdrawn by Casey Cizikas2 min
  • 16:30NYIMatt Martin · Roughingdrawn by Barclay Goodrow2 min
  • 16:30TBLYanni Gourde · Fightingdrawn by Adam Pelech5 min
  • 16:30NYIAdam Pelech · Fightingdrawn by Yanni Gourde5 min
  • 16:30TBLBarclay Goodrow · Misconduct10 min
  • 16:30NYIMatt Martin · Misconduct10 min
  • 16:30NYIScott Mayfield · Misconduct10 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
TBL goalNYI goalFinal: TBL 100%

Biggest swing: Yanni Gourde, 1st 11:04 — TBL 67% → 81%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
P. Maroon · On goal · xG 0.24A. Killorn · On goal · xG 0.21O. Palat · On goal · xG 0.19A. Cirelli · On goal · xG 0.18S. Stamkos · On goal · xG 0.16O. Palat · On goal · xG 0.15B. Point · Goal · xG 0.14Y. Gourde · On goal · xG 0.13S. Stamkos · Goal · xG 0.13T. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.13N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.13Y. Gourde · On goal · xG 0.12O. Palat · On goal · xG 0.12Y. Gourde · Goal · xG 0.11B. Goodrow · On goal · xG 0.11S. Stamkos · Goal · xG 0.11T. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.11A. Killorn · Goal · xG 0.10B. Point · Missed · xG 0.10R. Colton · On goal · xG 0.10B. Point · On goal · xG 0.09A. Killorn · Goal · xG 0.09N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.08Y. Gourde · On goal · xG 0.08O. Palat · Goal · xG 0.07P. Maroon · On goal · xG 0.06V. Hedman · On goal · xG 0.06J. Rutta · Missed · xG 0.06S. Stamkos · Missed · xG 0.06N. Kucherov · Missed · xG 0.06L. Schenn · Goal · xG 0.06T. Johnson · Missed · xG 0.05Y. Gourde · On goal · xG 0.05S. Stamkos · On goal · xG 0.05B. Coleman · On goal · xG 0.05B. Point · On goal · xG 0.04T. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.04S. Stamkos · On goal · xG 0.04V. Hedman · Missed · xG 0.04T. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.03R. Colton · Missed · xG 0.03N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.03R. Colton · On goal · xG 0.03R. Colton · On goal · xG 0.03M. Sergachev · Missed · xG 0.02B. Coleman · On goal · xG 0.02D. Savard · On goal · xG 0.01L. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.01O. Palat · On goal · xG 0.01R. McDonagh · Missed · xG 0.01B. Point · On goal · xG 0.01
TBL8 G · 4.2 xG · 51 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYIvsTBL
2.20 G
All situations
8 G4.2
1.50 G
Even strength
5 G3.3
0.50 G
Power play
3 G0.9
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 82 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYI21%79%TBL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.15 – 4.05

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYIvsTBL
21
Shots on goal
42
49%
Faceoffs
51%
0/2
Power play
3/6
57
Penalty minutes
28
40
Hits
41
7
Blocked shots
13
4
Giveaways
8
8
Takeaways
15

Box score

every player line
New York Islanders skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
2N. LeddyD000-200.01210—22:02
3A. PelechD000-100.00115—19:34
24S. MayfieldD000-100.003110—19:20
6R. PulockD000-400.00200—19:11
4A. GreeneD000-210.06110—18:14
8N. DobsonD000020.19200—17:50
18A. BeauvillierR000040.46100—16:43
7J. EberleR000-230.34400—16:29
29B. NelsonC000000.001024216:18
21K. PalmieriC000-200.00102015:46
12J. BaileyR000020.26200—15:13
14T. ZajacC000-210.064006015:06
53C. CizikasC000-120.251005714:32
15C. ClutterbuckR000-110.09412—14:19
44J. PageauC000-240.413245713:00
47L. KomarovR000-200.003003312:28
17M. MartinL000-110.023017—11:33
13M. BarzalC000-200.0020153310:35
New York Islanders goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30I. Sorokin26215.8082.52-2.4844:33
40S. Varlamov(L)16133.8131.63-1.3715:27

Series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).