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Utah Mammoth at San Jose Sharks

Final/OTTV BSAZ+, NBCSCA·SAP Center at San Jose

Recap

written from the game data

The Utah Mammoth beat the San Jose Sharks 5-4 in overtime, Phil Kessel scoring at 2:30. The lead changed hands 3 times. It was tied 3-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Phil Kessel's goal at 2:30 of overtime, which took the Coyotes' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Sharks, 3.9 to 2.5; shots on goal were ARI 32, SJS 48. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Sharks win a replay of these chances 72% of the time. Adin Hill stopped 44 of 48 (.917); Alexei Melnichuk stopped 27 of 32 (.844), 2.5 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Phil Kessel (1 G, 2 A), 2. Christian Dvorak (2 G), 3. Kevin Labanc (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    ARI
    P. Kessel1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    ARI
    C. Dvorak2 G
  3. ★★★
    SJS
    K. Labanc1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
ARIARI281171413532
SJSSJS21911411401448

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. ARI
    wristxG 0.08win prob +9 pts
    1-0
    3:32
  2. SJS
    slapxG 0.10win prob +13 pts
    1-1
    6:44
  3. ARI
    C. Dvorak(17)PPG
    wristxG 0.09win prob +10 pts
    2-1
    11:36
  4. SJS
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.08win prob +15 pts
    2-2
    15:28

2nd period

  1. SJS
    wristxG 0.14win prob +17 pts
    2-3
    5:26
  2. ARI
    wristxG 0.03win prob +17 pts
    3-3
    6:20

3rd period

  1. ARI
    wristxG 0.19win prob +41 pts
    4-3
    16:07
  2. SJS
    T. Hertl (24), E. Kane (27)
    wristxG 0.37win prob +46 pts
    4-4
    19:11

Overtime

  1. ARI
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.12win prob +51 pts
    5-4
    2:30

Penalties

ARI 6 PIM·SJS 6 PIM

1st

  • 2:59ARIJakob Chychrun · Roughingdrawn by Jeffrey Viel2 min
  • 2:59SJSJeffrey Viel · Roughingdrawn by Jakob Chychrun2 min
  • 11:29SJSJeffrey Viel · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Jakob Chychrun2 min
  • 15:37SJSSasha Chmelevski · Slashingdrawn by Jordan Oesterle2 min
  • 19:07ARIOliver Ekman-Larsson · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

3rd

  • 7:25ARIIlya Lyubushkin · Interferencedrawn by Rudolfs Balcers2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
SJS goalARI goalFinal: SJS 0%

Biggest swing: Phil Kessel, OT 2:30 — ARI 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Barabanov · Goal · xG 0.37B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.22T. Hertl · On goal · xG 0.20T. Hertl · On goal · xG 0.15T. Meier · Goal · xG 0.14T. Hertl · On goal · xG 0.13B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.12A. Barabanov · Missed · xG 0.12I. Chekhovich · On goal · xG 0.12E. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.12E. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.11T. Hertl · Missed · xG 0.11T. Hertl · On goal · xG 0.11R. Balcers · Goal · xG 0.10A. Barabanov · On goal · xG 0.10D. Gambrell · Missed · xG 0.10S. Chmelevski · On goal · xG 0.09N. Gregor · On goal · xG 0.08K. Labanc · Goal · xG 0.08I. Chekhovich · On goal · xG 0.07T. Hertl · Missed · xG 0.07E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.07T. Hertl · On goal · xG 0.07A. Barabanov · On goal · xG 0.07P. Marleau · Missed · xG 0.06R. Balcers · On goal · xG 0.06T. Hertl · On goal · xG 0.06N. Gregor · On goal · xG 0.06T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.05A. Barabanov · On goal · xG 0.05K. Labanc · Missed · xG 0.05T. Meier · Missed · xG 0.05S. Chmelevski · On goal · xG 0.05N. Knyzhov · On goal · xG 0.04B. Pasichnuk · On goal · xG 0.04M. Ferraro · On goal · xG 0.04S. Chmelevski · On goal · xG 0.04B. Pasichnuk · On goal · xG 0.04B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.04M. Ferraro · On goal · xG 0.04I. Chekhovich · On goal · xG 0.04N. Gregor · On goal · xG 0.03T. Meier · Missed · xG 0.03N. Gregor · On goal · xG 0.02N. Gregor · On goal · xG 0.02B. Pasichnuk · On goal · xG 0.02N. Knyzhov · On goal · xG 0.02B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.02N. Knyzhov · On goal · xG 0.01B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.01N. Knyzhov · On goal · xG 0.01N. Knyzhov · On goal · xG 0.01D. Gambrell · On goal · xG 0.01B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.01N. Knyzhov · Missed · xG 0.01E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.00N. Gregor · On goal · xG 0.00
SJS4 G · 3.9 xG · 57 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

ARIvsSJS
2.55 G
All situations
4 G3.9
2.34 G
Even strength
4 G3.1
0.11 G
Power play
0 G0.9
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 96 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
ARI28%72%SJS

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.48 – 3.89

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

ARIvsSJS
32
Shots on goal
48
52%
Faceoffs
48%
1/2
Power play
0/2
6
Penalty minutes
6
13
Hits
12
8
Blocked shots
6
9
Giveaways
12
6
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Utah Mammoth skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
6J. ChychrunD011-220.07012—26:21
33A. GoligoskiD011-310.00030—23:54
23O. Ekman-LarssonD011+210.07102—23:24
18C. DvorakC202040.400005620:52
77V. SoderstromD011+210.07200—20:31
83C. GarlandR101-160.54000—20:10
16D. BrassardC000-120.222005018:47
81P. KesselR123030.21000—18:30
9C. KellerR000-120.23020—17:59
36C. FischerR022+100.00010—17:24
58M. BuntingL000-100.00000—15:36
46I. LyubushkinD000020.08002—15:09
82J. OesterleD000020.11000—14:10
42A. NessD000010.10200—12:50
73J. JenikC101+110.031005011:02
24H. FaschingR000010.13300—08:59
28D. HuntL000010.01100—08:31
93L. PedersonC000020.221106707:21
Utah Mammoth goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31A. Hill(W)48444.9173.95-0.0562:30

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).