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San Jose Sharks at Utah Mammoth

FinalTV FS-A, NBCSCA·Gila River Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Utah Mammoth beat the San Jose Sharks 5-2. The Coyotes scored first and never trailed. The Coyotes led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Nick Schmaltz's goal at 18:44 of the second period, which took the Coyotes' chances from 53% to 75%. Expected goals favored the Coyotes, 3.3 to 2.2; shots on goal were SJS 22, ARI 28. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Coyotes win a replay of these chances 69% of the time. Martin Jones stopped 23 of 28 (.821), 1.7 goals below expected; Adin Hill stopped 20 of 22 (.909). Three stars: 1. Christian Dvorak (2 G), 2. Phil Kessel (1 G), 3. Nick Schmaltz (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    ARI
    C. Dvorak2 G
  2. ★★
    ARI
    P. Kessel1 G
  3. ★★★
    ARI
    N. Schmaltz1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
SJSSJS0411018222
ARIARI11211036528

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. ARI
    wristxG 0.06win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    6:20

2nd period

  1. SJS
    T. Hertl(10)SHG
    wristxG 0.20win prob +17 pts
    1-1
    1:54
  2. ARI
    backhandxG 0.45win prob +22 pts
    1-2
    18:44

3rd period

  1. ARI
    Unassisted
    backhandxG 0.19win prob +14 pts
    1-3
    7:48
  2. ARI
    wristxG 0.37win prob +4 pts
    1-4
    9:08
  3. ARI
    P. Kessel(11)PPG
    wristxG 0.07
    1-5
    9:59
  4. SJS
    M. Ferraro (11), T. Meier (15)
    wristxG 0.21
    2-5
    12:30

Penalties

SJS 8 PIM·ARI 4 PIM

2nd

  • 0:39SJSMario Ferraro · Holdingdrawn by Christian Fischer2 min
  • 9:19SJSLogan Couture · Trippingdrawn by Christian Dvorak2 min

3rd

  • 3:50ARIJason Demers · Hookingdrawn by Kevin Labanc2 min
  • 9:08SJSserved by R. Donato · Delaying game unsuccessful challenge2 min
  • 10:42ARINick Schmaltz · Boardingdrawn by Radim Simek2 min
  • 15:03SJSTomas Hertl · Roughingdrawn by Dryden Hunt2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
ARI goalSJS goalFinal: ARI 100%

Biggest swing: Nick Schmaltz, 2nd 18:44 — ARI 53% → 75%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
N. Schmaltz · Goal · xG 0.45D. Hunt · Goal · xG 0.37J. Larsson · On goal · xG 0.21N. Schmaltz · On goal · xG 0.20C. Dvorak · Goal · xG 0.19J. Larsson · Missed · xG 0.14D. Hunt · On goal · xG 0.13D. Brassard · Missed · xG 0.13C. Garland · On goal · xG 0.13J. Larsson · On goal · xG 0.11D. Brassard · Missed · xG 0.10D. Caggiula · Missed · xG 0.10C. Garland · On goal · xG 0.09D. Hunt · On goal · xG 0.09L. Crouse · Missed · xG 0.09D. Hunt · On goal · xG 0.08J. Hayden · On goal · xG 0.07P. Kessel · Goal · xG 0.07C. Garland · On goal · xG 0.06C. Dvorak · Goal · xG 0.06P. Kessel · On goal · xG 0.06N. Schmaltz · On goal · xG 0.04J. Hayden · Missed · xG 0.04D. Caggiula · On goal · xG 0.04C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.03C. Garland · Missed · xG 0.03J. Oesterle · Missed · xG 0.03C. Dvorak · On goal · xG 0.02J. Hayden · On goal · xG 0.02J. Chychrun · On goal · xG 0.02J. Larsson · Missed · xG 0.02C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.02O. Ekman-Larsson · On goal · xG 0.02A. Goligoski · On goal · xG 0.01O. Ekman-Larsson · On goal · xG 0.01J. Hayden · Missed · xG 0.01J. Chychrun · Missed · xG 0.01A. Goligoski · On goal · xG 0.01I. Lyubushkin · On goal · xG 0.01
ARI5 G · 3.3 xG · 39 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

SJSvsARI
2.22 G
All situations
5 G3.3
1.70 G
Even strength
4 G2.9
0.21 G
Power play
1 G0.4
0.31 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 65 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
SJS31%69%ARI

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.14 – 3.24

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

SJSvsARI
22
Shots on goal
28
52%
Faceoffs
48%
1/2
Power play
1/4
8
Penalty minutes
4
21
Hits
15
20
Blocked shots
16
4
Giveaways
10
5
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
San Jose Sharks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
88B. BurnsD000-210.07140—24:08
38M. FerraroD011-200.00102—23:00
65E. KarlssonD011-120.12020—21:02
71N. KnyzhovD000-200.00330—19:02
39L. CoutureC000-310.231025818:10
9E. KaneL000-210.24200—18:04
62K. LabancR000-310.04110—17:12
48T. HertlC101010.202126417:02
44M. VlasicD000+120.12100—16:33
7D. GambrellC000000.003104316:09
51R. SimekD000000.00020—14:59
28T. MeierR011-130.34010—14:47
20M. SorensenL000010.13100—14:42
12P. MarleauC101-130.25210013:39
16R. DonatoC000010.02000012:13
92R. BalcersL000030.24020—12:10
14A. SuomelaC000000.000204410:36
43J. LeonardL000020.19300—09:57
San Jose Sharks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31M. Jones(L)28235.8213.34-1.6659:44

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).