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Utah Mammoth at San Jose Sharks

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Recap

written from the game data

The San Jose Sharks beat the Utah Mammoth 4-2. The Sharks scored first and never trailed. The Sharks led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Johan Larsson's goal at 4:40 of the second period, which took the Coyotes' chances from 15% to 30%. Expected goals favored the Sharks, 5.0 to 2.6; shots on goal were ARI 30, SJS 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Sharks win a replay of these chances 58% of the time. Darcy Kuemper stopped 27 of 30 (.900); Josef Korenar stopped 28 of 30 (.933), 0.6 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Evander Kane (1 G), 2. Brent Burns, 3. Alexander Barabanov (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    SJS
    E. Kane1 G
  2. ★★
    SJS
    B. Burns
  3. ★★★
    SJS
    A. Barabanov1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
ARIARI11311403230
SJSSJS38010113431

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. SJS
    wristxG 0.13win prob +11 pts
    0-1
    1:12
  2. SJS
    backhandxG 0.10win prob +14 pts
    0-2
    10:06
  3. SJS
    wristxG 0.51win prob +9 pts
    0-3
    14:08
  4. ARI
    tip-inxG 0.18win prob +9 pts
    1-3
    15:47

2nd period

  1. ARI
    wristxG 0.18win prob +15 pts
    2-3
    4:40

3rd period

  1. SJS
    T. Hertl(15)EN
    wristxG 0.85win prob +6 pts
    2-4
    19:23

Penalties

ARI 8 PIM·SJS 8 PIM

1st

  • 18:32SJSBrinson Pasichnuk · High stickingdrawn by Nick Schmaltz2 min

2nd

  • 5:10ARIAlex Goligoski · Trippingdrawn by Alexander True2 min
  • 9:18SJSBrent Burns · Trippingdrawn by Clayton Keller2 min

3rd

  • 3:02SJSErik Karlsson · Trippingdrawn by Derick Brassard2 min
  • 9:03ARIOliver Ekman-Larsson · Hookingdrawn by Patrick Marleau2 min
  • 10:27ARIJason Demers · Cross checkingdrawn by Joachim Blichfeld2 min
  • 17:44ARIOliver Ekman-Larsson · Trippingdrawn by Rudolfs Balcers2 min
  • 18:34SJSErik Karlsson · Interferencedrawn by Johan Larsson2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
SJS goalARI goalFinal: SJS 100%

Biggest swing: Johan Larsson, 2nd 4:40 — ARI 15% → 30%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Hertl · Goal · xG 0.85L. Couture · Missed · xG 0.51K. Labanc · Goal · xG 0.51M. Ferraro · Missed · xG 0.41E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.21E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.21B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.19T. Hertl · On goal · xG 0.18E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.15P. Marleau · On goal · xG 0.14J. Leonard · On goal · xG 0.14B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.14E. Kane · Goal · xG 0.12E. Kane · Missed · xG 0.12A. True · On goal · xG 0.12A. True · On goal · xG 0.11E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.11R. Balcers · Goal · xG 0.10R. Balcers · On goal · xG 0.08E. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.08N. Gregor · Missed · xG 0.07E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.06B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.05J. Leonard · On goal · xG 0.04T. Hertl · On goal · xG 0.04T. Hertl · On goal · xG 0.04J. Leonard · On goal · xG 0.03E. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.02P. Marleau · Missed · xG 0.02N. Gregor · On goal · xG 0.02P. Marleau · On goal · xG 0.01J. Blichfeld · Missed · xG 0.01B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.01B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.01E. Kane · Missed · xG 0.01B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.01M. Vlasic · On goal · xG 0.01L. Couture · On goal · xG 0.00
SJS4 G · 5.0 xG · 38 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

ARIvsSJS
2.62 G
All situations
3 G5.0
1.52 G
Even strength
3 G2.3
1.00 G
Power play
0 G0.8
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 79 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
ARI42%58%SJS

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.59 – 3.06

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

ARIvsSJS
30
Shots on goal
31
54%
Faceoffs
46%
0/4
Power play
0/4
8
Penalty minutes
8
24
Hits
14
11
Blocked shots
15
4
Giveaways
8
8
Takeaways
10

Box score

every player line
Utah Mammoth skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
33A. GoligoskiD000-120.04112—24:02
6J. ChychrunD000-250.27000—23:41
23O. Ekman-LarssonD000-110.09014—20:49
58M. BuntingL000000.00100—19:55
81P. KesselR101-230.22000—19:12
9C. KellerR011020.22000—18:58
8N. SchmaltzC011+120.561005018:21
4N. HjalmarssonD011+120.12020—17:40
18C. DvorakC000-310.053105317:25
55J. DemersD000+110.03322—16:13
67L. CrouseL000-140.3600010016:10
46I. LyubushkinD000-100.03120—14:46
22J. LarssonL101+130.365006413:57
16D. BrassardC000-130.183107113:53
36C. FischerR000000.0001010013:19
93L. PedersonC000-100.00200011:27
28D. HuntL011010.07300—09:18
15J. HaydenC000000.00100004:45
Utah Mammoth goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35D. Kuemper(L)30273.9003.17+0.1758:09

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).