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Utah Mammoth at San Jose Sharks

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Recap

written from the game data

The Utah Mammoth beat the San Jose Sharks 5-2. The Coyotes came back from two goals down. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Phil Kessel's goal at 4:53 of the third period, which took the Coyotes' chances from 48% to 75%. Expected goals favored the Coyotes, 3.6 to 3.2; shots on goal were ARI 34, SJS 28. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Sharks win a replay of these chances 58% of the time. Darcy Kuemper stopped 26 of 28 (.929), 1.2 goals saved above expected; Josef Korenar stopped 29 of 33 (.879), 1.3 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Phil Kessel (1 G, 1 A), 2. Conor Garland (1 G, 2 A), 3. Timo Meier (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    ARI
    P. Kessel1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    ARI
    C. Garland1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    SJS
    T. Meier1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
ARIARI06213315534
SJSSJS1919010228

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. SJS
    wristxG 0.02win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    3:47

2nd period

  1. SJS
    snapxG 0.10win prob +15 pts
    0-2
    3:30
  2. ARI
    wristxG 0.05win prob +15 pts
    1-2
    4:59
  3. ARI
    C. Garland(11)PPG
    slapxG 0.06win prob +19 pts
    2-2
    11:14

3rd period

  1. ARI
    snapxG 0.13win prob +28 pts
    3-2
    4:53
  2. ARI
    snapxG 0.14win prob +16 pts
    4-2
    9:57
  3. ARI
    wristxG 0.93
    5-2
    19:59

Penalties

ARI 6 PIM·SJS 4 PIM

1st

  • 5:13ARILane Pederson · Slashingdrawn by Mario Ferraro2 min
  • 13:45ARIMichael Chaput · Hookingdrawn by Alexander Barabanov2 min

2nd

  • 9:29SJSBrent Burns · Slashingdrawn by Jakob Chychrun2 min
  • 10:28SJSTomas Hertl · High stickingdrawn by Derick Brassard2 min
  • 18:29ARIChristian Fischer · Trippingdrawn by Alexander Barabanov2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
SJS goalARI goalFinal: SJS 0%

Biggest swing: Phil Kessel, 3rd 4:53 — ARI 48% → 75%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Hertl · On goal · xG 0.34T. Hertl · Missed · xG 0.32E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.25T. Hertl · On goal · xG 0.18E. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.17T. Hertl · On goal · xG 0.16E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.14N. Gregor · On goal · xG 0.14K. Labanc · On goal · xG 0.12I. Chekhovich · On goal · xG 0.11T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.11D. Gambrell · On goal · xG 0.10T. Meier · Goal · xG 0.10T. Hertl · On goal · xG 0.09T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.09E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.08T. Meier · Missed · xG 0.07B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.07M. Ferraro · Missed · xG 0.07E. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.06D. Gambrell · Missed · xG 0.05T. Meier · Missed · xG 0.05N. Gregor · On goal · xG 0.04D. Gambrell · Missed · xG 0.04P. Marleau · On goal · xG 0.04E. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.03M. Ferraro · Missed · xG 0.03E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.02E. Karlsson · Goal · xG 0.02T. Meier · Missed · xG 0.02E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.01E. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.01E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.01N. Gregor · On goal · xG 0.01T. Hertl · On goal · xG 0.01I. Chekhovich · On goal · xG 0.00E. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.00
SJS2 G · 3.2 xG · 37 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

ARIvsSJS
3.64 G
All situations
2 G3.2
2.43 G
Even strength
2 G1.8
0.31 G
Power play
0 G1.4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 81 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
ARI42%58%SJS

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.66 – 3.11

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

ARIvsSJS
34
Shots on goal
28
46%
Faceoffs
54%
1/2
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
4
11
Hits
11
11
Blocked shots
8
5
Giveaways
9
7
Takeaways
11

Box score

every player line
Utah Mammoth skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
6J. ChychrunD011+150.17030—25:05
23O. Ekman-LarssonD011+210.02110—21:29
33A. GoligoskiD011000.01100—19:46
83C. GarlandR123+230.12000—18:01
18C. DvorakC011020.361002917:51
55J. DemersD000030.05100—17:42
77V. SoderstromD101+140.12000—17:21
46I. LyubushkinD000000.00020—17:11
81P. KesselR112+130.39000—16:19
58M. BuntingL101+150.50000—15:34
9C. KellerR000020.29100—15:02
93L. PedersonC000+110.170125014:27
16D. BrassardC011+220.2701010014:22
82J. OesterleD000-110.09110—14:18
73J. JenikC101+221.011005513:08
15J. HaydenC000-100.0001010013:06
26M. ChaputC000-100.002025012:07
36C. FischerR000000.02212—11:11
Utah Mammoth goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35D. Kuemper(W)28262.9293.20+1.2060:00

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).