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Blues at Golden Knights
NHL

St. Louis Blues at Vegas Golden Knights

NHL scoreboard
St. Louis Blues
1
Vegas Golden Knights
▸4
FinalTV ESPN+, ATTSN-RM·T-Mobile Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Vegas Golden Knights beat the St. Louis Blues 4-1. The Golden Knights scored first and never trailed. The Golden Knights led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Chandler Stephenson's goal at 13:32 of the first period, which took the Golden Knights' chances from 64% to 79%. Expected goals favored the Golden Knights, 3.6 to 2.7; shots on goal were STL 21, VGK 29. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Golden Knights win a replay of these chances 58% of the time. Ville Husso stopped 25 of 28 (.893); Marc-Andre Fleury stopped 20 of 21 (.952), 1.7 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Reilly Smith (3 G), 2. Chandler Stephenson (1 G), 3. Alec Martinez (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    VGK
    R. Smith3 G
  2. ★★
    VGK
    C. Stephenson1 G
  3. ★★★
    VGK
    A. Martinez1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
STLSTL0315013121
VGKVGK21001128429

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. VGK
    R. Smith(12)
    W. Carrier (8), K. Kolesar (9)
    backhandxG 0.15win prob +14 pts
    0-1
    12:26
  2. VGK
    C. Stephenson(14)SHG
    A. Pietrangelo (15)
    slapxG 0.14win prob +16 pts
    0-2
    13:32

2nd period

  1. STL
    C. Parayko(2)
    Unassisted
    backhandxG 0.25win prob +13 pts
    1-2
    19:23

3rd period

  1. VGK
    R. Smith(13)PPG
    A. Martinez (23), A. Pietrangelo (16)
    wristxG 0.11win prob +11 pts
    1-3
    4:11
  2. VGK
    R. Smith(14)EN
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.38
    1-4
    19:11

Penalties

STL 12 PIM·VGK 10 PIM

1st

  • 12:55VGKMark Stone · Slashingdrawn by David Perron2 min

2nd

  • 12:59STLRyan O'Reilly · Hookingdrawn by Zach Whitecloud2 min
  • 18:30VGKAlex Pietrangelo · Hookingdrawn by Kyle Clifford2 min
  • 18:30STLMackenzie MacEachern · Roughingdrawn by Alex Pietrangelo2 min

3rd

  • 2:00VGKWilliam Carrier · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Justin Faulk2 min
  • 2:00STLJustin Faulk · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by William Carrier2 min
  • 4:00STLJake Walman · Interferencedrawn by Alex Tuch2 min
  • 4:26STLJaden Schwartz · Trippingdrawn by Nicolas Roy2 min
  • 11:24STLDavid Perron · Chargingdrawn by Brayden McNabb2 min
  • 11:49VGKAlex Pietrangelo · Trippingdrawn by Zachary Sanford2 min
  • 14:45VGKZach Whitecloud · Trippingdrawn by Mike Hoffman2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
VGK goalSTL goalFinal: VGK 100%

Biggest swing: Chandler Stephenson, 1st 13:32 — VGK 64% → 79%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
R. Smith · Goal · xG 0.38C. Stephenson · Missed · xG 0.34Z. Whitecloud · On goal · xG 0.21R. Smith · On goal · xG 0.16R. Smith · Goal · xG 0.15C. Stephenson · Goal · xG 0.14R. Smith · On goal · xG 0.14A. Tuch · On goal · xG 0.13N. Roy · On goal · xG 0.13W. Carrier · Missed · xG 0.11R. Smith · Goal · xG 0.11J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.11J. Marchessault · Missed · xG 0.10A. Tuch · On goal · xG 0.10R. Smith · Missed · xG 0.10M. Janmark · On goal · xG 0.10R. Smith · On goal · xG 0.09P. Krebs · On goal · xG 0.08J. Marchessault · Missed · xG 0.07K. Kolesar · Missed · xG 0.07M. Stone · Missed · xG 0.07M. Janmark · Missed · xG 0.07C. Stephenson · On goal · xG 0.06J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.06A. Tuch · On goal · xG 0.06A. Tuch · Missed · xG 0.06A. Tuch · On goal · xG 0.05A. Tuch · On goal · xG 0.05A. Pietrangelo · Missed · xG 0.04P. Krebs · Missed · xG 0.04W. Carrier · On goal · xG 0.04J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.03J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.03W. Carrier · Missed · xG 0.03A. Pietrangelo · Missed · xG 0.03S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.02B. McNabb · Missed · xG 0.02A. Martinez · Missed · xG 0.01N. Hague · Missed · xG 0.01A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.01N. Roy · Missed · xG 0.01N. Roy · On goal · xG 0.00J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.00A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.00N. Hague · On goal · xG 0.00R. Smith · On goal · xG 0.00
VGK4 G · 3.6 xG · 46 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

STLvsVGK
2.71 G
All situations
3 G3.6
1.91 G
Even strength
1 G2.7
0.70 G
Power play
1 G0.4
0.10 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 80 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
STL42%58%VGK

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.70 – 3.19

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

STLvsVGK
21
Shots on goal
29
57%
Faceoffs
43%
0/3
Power play
1/4
12
Penalty minutes
10
42
Hits
25
18
Blocked shots
17
11
Giveaways
2
9
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
St. Louis Blues skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
72J. FaulkD000-220.06632—24:06
55C. ParaykoD101020.26100—21:43
90R. O'ReillyC000-150.450125519:36
41R. BortuzzoD000+100.00410—19:07
57D. PerronL000-130.29412—18:46
10B. SchennC000-230.254107518:03
46J. WalmanD000010.21102—17:20
6M. ScandellaD000010.01210—16:32
68M. HoffmanC000-220.31100016:03
25J. KyrouR000-100.26110—15:21
21T. BozakC000000.000006915:13
77N. MikkolaD000-100.02220—15:01
17J. SchwartzL000-100.00312—14:14
12Z. SanfordL000010.31430—13:49
13K. CliffordL000000.0043010012:21
18R. ThomasC000-210.250005012:07
49I. BarbashevL000000.023002511:33
28M. MacEachernL000000.00202—09:57
St. Louis Blues goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35V. Husso(L)28253.8933.23+0.2358:57

Season series

VGK leads 6-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).