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Golden Knights at Blues
NHL

Vegas Golden Knights at St. Louis Blues

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Recap

written from the game data

The Vegas Golden Knights beat the St. Louis Blues 6-1. The Golden Knights scored first and never trailed. The Golden Knights led 6-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Alec Martinez's goal at 7:08 of the second period, which took the Golden Knights' chances from 65% to 82%. Expected goals were close — VGK 2.3, STL 2.3; shots on goal were VGK 33, STL 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blues win a replay of these chances 52% of the time. Robin Lehner stopped 31 of 32 (.969), 1.3 goals saved above expected; Jordan Binnington stopped 13 of 14 (.929). Three stars: 1. Alec Martinez (2 G), 2. Robin Lehner (31 saves, .969), 3. William Carrier (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    VGK
    A. Martinez2 G
  2. ★★
    VGK
    R. Lehner31 saves, .969
  3. ★★★
    VGK
    W. Carrier1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
VGKVGK21141507633
STLSTL1801509132

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. VGK
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +13 pts
    1-0
    6:25
  2. VGK
    snapxG 0.02win prob +16 pts
    2-0
    12:25
  3. STL
    snapxG 0.16win prob +16 pts
    2-1
    17:01

2nd period

  1. VGK
    snapxG 0.14win prob +17 pts
    3-1
    7:08
  2. VGK
    tip-inxG 0.12win prob +10 pts
    4-1
    7:40
  3. VGK
    wristxG 0.04win prob +5 pts
    5-1
    9:07
  4. VGK
    wristxG 0.02win prob +2 pts
    6-1
    13:00

Penalties

VGK 6 PIM·STL 4 PIM

2nd

  • 13:32VGKRyan Reaves · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Kyle Clifford2 min
  • 13:32VGKRyan Reaves · Roughingdrawn by Kyle Clifford2 min
  • 18:14STLZachary Sanford · Hookingdrawn by Nick Holden2 min

3rd

  • 5:27STLJordan Kyrou · High stickingdrawn by Nicolas Roy2 min
  • 18:22VGKNick Holden · Cross checkingdrawn by Kyle Clifford2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
STL goalVGK goalFinal: STL 0%

Biggest swing: Alec Martinez, 2nd 7:08 — VGK 65% → 82%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
I. Barbashev · On goal · xG 0.22J. Schwartz · On goal · xG 0.17R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.16T. Bozak · Goal · xG 0.16T. Bozak · On goal · xG 0.14I. Barbashev · On goal · xG 0.12T. Bozak · On goal · xG 0.10V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.09J. Schwartz · Missed · xG 0.08B. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.08D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.08D. Perron · Missed · xG 0.08T. Bozak · On goal · xG 0.08D. Perron · Missed · xG 0.08V. Tarasenko · Missed · xG 0.07R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.06V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.06D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.06J. Kyrou · Missed · xG 0.04V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.04Z. Sanford · On goal · xG 0.04T. Krug · On goal · xG 0.04R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.04D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.04D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.03R. Bortuzzo · On goal · xG 0.03R. Thomas · On goal · xG 0.03J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.02B. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.01T. Krug · On goal · xG 0.01M. Hoffman · On goal · xG 0.01J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.01K. Clifford · On goal · xG 0.01D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.01J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.01M. Scandella · On goal · xG 0.00T. Bozak · On goal · xG 0.00
STL1 G · 2.3 xG · 37 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

VGKvsSTL
2.36 G
All situations
1 G2.3
2.26 G
Even strength
1 G1.6
0.10 G
Power play
0 G0.7

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 76 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
VGK48%52%STL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.22 – 2.31

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

VGKvsSTL
33
Shots on goal
32
42%
Faceoffs
58%
0/2
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
4
14
Hits
23
18
Blocked shots
18
6
Giveaways
10
3
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Vegas Golden Knights skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
23A. MartinezD202+250.32020—25:31
7A. PietrangeloD011+230.11020—23:10
3B. McNabbD011+200.00140—19:03
27S. TheodoreD000+210.03000—18:34
14N. HagueD101+130.09150—17:13
89A. TuchR011+220.2200010017:08
71W. KarlssonC011+230.251004216:47
10N. RoyC011+110.291005516:35
61M. StoneR011+100.00020—15:55
19R. SmithR011+130.33000—15:43
22N. HoldenD011+110.01012—14:41
67M. PaciorettyL011+120.05200—14:36
81J. MarchessaultR101+130.18000—14:22
9C. GlassC000+110.090003814:00
55K. KolesarR022+210.06210—13:47
92T. NosekL101+110.062103313:23
28W. CarrierL112+110.12000—12:37
75R. ReavesR000+120.0440410011:05
Vegas Golden Knights goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
90R. Lehner(W)32311.9692.31+1.3160:00

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).