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Blues at Golden Knights
NHL

St. Louis Blues at Vegas Golden Knights

NHL scoreboard
St. Louis Blues
3
Vegas Golden Knights
▸4
Final/OTTV ESPN+, ATTSN-RM·T-Mobile Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Vegas Golden Knights beat the St. Louis Blues 4-3 in overtime, Jonathan Marchessault scoring at 4:42. The Golden Knights came back from two goals down. The Blues led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jonathan Marchessault's goal at 4:42 of overtime, which took the Golden Knights' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals were close — STL 3.0, VGK 2.8; shots on goal were STL 25, VGK 35. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blues win a replay of these chances 54% of the time. Jordan Binnington stopped 31 of 35 (.886), 1.2 goals below expected; Robin Lehner stopped 22 of 25 (.880). Three stars: 1. Jonathan Marchessault (1 G), 2. Nicolas Hague (2 A), 3. Reilly Smith (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    VGK
    J. Marchessault1 G
  2. ★★
    VGK
    N. Hague2 A
  3. ★★★
    VGK
    R. Smith1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
STLSTL19280503325
VGKVGK11011211013435

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. VGK
    R. Smith(11)
    N. Hague (10), W. Karlsson (24)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +14 pts
    0-1
    13:23
  2. STL
    R. O'Reilly(24)SHG
    T. Bozak (11), J. Faulk (15)
    snapxG 0.06win prob +15 pts
    1-1
    18:08

2nd period

  1. STL
    D. Perron(16)
    Z. Sanford (6), M. Scandella (5)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +21 pts
    2-1
    14:34
  2. STL
    J. Schwartz(7)
    T. Bozak (12), B. Schenn (19)
    snapxG 0.04win prob +17 pts
    3-1
    16:18
  3. VGK
    A. Martinez(9)
    M. Stone (39), C. Stephenson (21)
    wrap-aroundxG 0.03win prob +17 pts
    3-2
    19:50

3rd period

  1. VGK
    N. Roy(6)
    N. Hague (11), Z. Whitecloud (9)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +28 pts
    3-3
    6:52

Overtime

  1. VGK
    J. Marchessault(17)
    A. Tuch (14), R. Lehner (1)
    wristxG 0.18win prob +49 pts
    3-4
    4:42

Penalties

STL 6 PIM·VGK 2 PIM

1st

  • 8:33STLRobert Thomas · Trippingdrawn by Brayden McNabb2 min
  • 17:55STLMackenzie MacEachern · High stickingdrawn by Nicolas Roy2 min

2nd

  • 5:21VGKWilliam Karlsson · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Jordan Binnington2 min

3rd

  • 8:41STLJustin Faulk · Hookingdrawn by Reilly Smith2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
VGK goalSTL goalFinal: VGK 100%

Biggest swing: Jonathan Marchessault, OT 4:42 — VGK 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Stephenson · Missed · xG 0.21A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.18J. Marchessault · Goal · xG 0.18M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.17W. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.17A. Martinez · On goal · xG 0.12C. Stephenson · Missed · xG 0.12C. Stephenson · On goal · xG 0.11N. Roy · Goal · xG 0.10J. Marchessault · Missed · xG 0.10M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.09N. Roy · On goal · xG 0.09S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.08J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.07N. Roy · Missed · xG 0.07R. Smith · On goal · xG 0.06A. Martinez · On goal · xG 0.05J. Marchessault · Missed · xG 0.05M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.05R. Smith · Missed · xG 0.04W. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.04Z. Whitecloud · On goal · xG 0.04Z. Whitecloud · On goal · xG 0.04A. Tuch · On goal · xG 0.04A. Martinez · On goal · xG 0.03N. Hague · On goal · xG 0.03A. Pietrangelo · Missed · xG 0.03C. Stephenson · On goal · xG 0.03R. Smith · Goal · xG 0.03S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.03M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.03N. Hague · On goal · xG 0.03A. Martinez · Goal · xG 0.03A. Pietrangelo · Missed · xG 0.02A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.02Z. Whitecloud · On goal · xG 0.02A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.02N. Hague · On goal · xG 0.02S. Theodore · Missed · xG 0.02A. Martinez · Missed · xG 0.02B. McNabb · Missed · xG 0.02W. Carrier · Missed · xG 0.02S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.01B. McNabb · On goal · xG 0.01M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.01A. Tuch · On goal · xG 0.00B. McNabb · On goal · xG 0.00A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.00
VGK4 G · 2.8 xG · 48 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

STLvsVGK
3.03 G
All situations
4 G2.8
2.52 G
Even strength
4 G2.3
0.40 G
Power play
0 G0.4
0.11 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 87 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
STL54%46%VGK

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.93 – 2.73

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

STLvsVGK
25
Shots on goal
35
57%
Faceoffs
43%
0/1
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
2
41
Hits
25
19
Blocked shots
19
4
Giveaways
2
13
Takeaways
2

Box score

every player line
St. Louis Blues skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
72J. FaulkD011020.11312—25:54
55C. ParaykoD000-220.03110—25:52
90R. O'ReillyC101+210.081006023:01
6M. ScandellaD011+210.06220—22:33
77N. MikkolaD000-100.00420—21:38
10B. SchennC011-210.295307520:46
57D. PerronL101040.42300—19:29
17J. SchwartzL101-120.36320—18:54
21T. BozakC022000.000105617:28
12Z. SanfordL011+110.00430—17:17
46J. WalmanD000020.32110—13:37
41R. BortuzzoD000000.00430—13:24
49I. BarbashevL000000.003005613:08
68M. HoffmanC000-130.47000012:40
18R. ThomasC000-110.090024010:58
25J. KyrouR000-100.29000—10:41
13K. CliffordL000020.24400—10:30
28M. MacEachernL000030.19302—10:02
St. Louis Blues goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
50J. Binnington(O)35314.8862.76-1.2464:42

Season series

VGK leads 6-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).