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Golden Knights at Blues
NHL

Vegas Golden Knights at St. Louis Blues

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Recap

written from the game data

The St. Louis Blues beat the Vegas Golden Knights 3-1. The Blues scored first and never trailed. The Blues led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Sammy Blais's goal at 7:21 of the first period, which took the Blues' chances from 66% to 80%. Expected goals favored the Golden Knights, 5.7 to 4.1; shots on goal were VGK 51, STL 35. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Golden Knights win a replay of these chances 76% of the time. Marc-Andre Fleury stopped 32 of 35 (.914), 0.6 goals saved above expected; Jordan Binnington stopped 50 of 51 (.980), 4.7 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Jordan Binnington (50 saves, .980), 2. Vladimir Tarasenko (1 G), 3. Jake Walman (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    STL
    J. Binnington50 saves, .980
  2. ★★
    STL
    V. Tarasenko1 G
  3. ★★★
    STL
    J. Walman1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
VGKVGK012021118151
STLSTL21604115335

Scoring

4 goals

1st period

  1. STL
    wristxG 0.14win prob +11 pts
    0-1
    0:48
  2. STL
    D. Perron (25), T. Krug (19)
    snapxG 0.11win prob +14 pts
    0-2
    7:21

3rd period

  1. STL
    snapxG 0.24win prob +2 pts
    0-3
    13:31
  2. VGK
    wristxG 0.08win prob +1 pts
    1-3
    15:44

Penalties

VGK 7 PIM·STL 13 PIM

1st

  • 9:48VGKRyan Reaves · Fightingdrawn by Kyle Clifford5 min
  • 9:48STLKyle Clifford · Fightingdrawn by Ryan Reaves5 min
  • 11:34VGKMark Stone · Slashingdrawn by Jaden Schwartz2 min

2nd

  • 0:47STLJaden Schwartz · Hookingdrawn by Brayden McNabb2 min
  • 5:22STLJustin Faulk · High stickingdrawn by Reilly Smith2 min
  • 18:14STLRobert Thomas · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

3rd

  • 16:47STLMarco Scandella · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
STL goalVGK goalFinal: STL 100%

Biggest swing: Sammy Blais, 1st 7:21 — STL 66% → 80%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
Z. Sanford · Missed · xG 0.47D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.41J. Schwartz · On goal · xG 0.27J. Walman · Goal · xG 0.24K. Clifford · On goal · xG 0.17B. Schenn · Missed · xG 0.15I. Barbashev · On goal · xG 0.15R. Thomas · On goal · xG 0.14V. Tarasenko · Goal · xG 0.13I. Barbashev · Missed · xG 0.13Z. Sanford · Missed · xG 0.13T. Bozak · On goal · xG 0.12S. Blais · Goal · xG 0.11V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.11V. Dunn · On goal · xG 0.10V. Dunn · On goal · xG 0.09J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.09K. Clifford · On goal · xG 0.09B. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.08Z. Sanford · On goal · xG 0.07V. Dunn · On goal · xG 0.07D. Perron · Missed · xG 0.06T. Krug · On goal · xG 0.06V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.05Z. Sanford · Missed · xG 0.05D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.05J. Schwartz · On goal · xG 0.05D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.05R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.04S. Blais · On goal · xG 0.04D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.04J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.03V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.03B. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.03V. Dunn · On goal · xG 0.03V. Dunn · Missed · xG 0.02V. Dunn · On goal · xG 0.02T. Krug · Missed · xG 0.02J. Schwartz · On goal · xG 0.02V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.02T. Krug · Missed · xG 0.01J. Schwartz · On goal · xG 0.01J. Walman · On goal · xG 0.00R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.00
STL3 G · 4.1 xG · 44 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

VGKvsSTL
5.71 G
All situations
3 G4.1
4.51 G
Even strength
3 G3.5
1.20 G
Power play
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 114 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
VGK76%24%STL

Flurry-adjusted xG 5.55 – 3.52

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

VGKvsSTL
51
Shots on goal
35
48%
Faceoffs
52%
0/4
Power play
0/1
7
Penalty minutes
13
19
Hits
23
12
Blocked shots
25
8
Giveaways
14
6
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
Vegas Golden Knights skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
7A. PietrangeloD000040.24140—31:00
27S. TheodoreD000090.61010—30:42
61M. StoneR000-140.58002—21:06
81J. MarchessaultR000-180.66100—20:27
19R. SmithR000-120.33000—19:28
67M. PaciorettyL000-170.9600010019:18
20C. StephensonC000020.430004818:49
71W. KarlssonC000-210.132005718:15
14N. HagueD000-210.08000—17:55
3B. McNabbD000000.00420—17:47
22N. HoldenD000-210.17200—17:35
89A. TuchR000-120.16110—15:10
10N. RoyC101+130.431102012:11
92T. NosekL000-120.061103810:57
55K. KolesarR000-110.2241010010:32
28W. CarrierL011+110.20110—09:59
75R. ReavesR011+130.38105—09:28
Vegas Golden Knights goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
29M. Fleury(L)35323.9143.60+0.6057:21

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).