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New Jersey Devils at New York Islanders

FinalTV MSG+, MSG+ 2·Nassau Veterans Memorial Coliseum

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Islanders beat the New Jersey Devils 5-1. The Islanders scored first and never trailed. The Islanders led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Andreas Johnsson's goal at 4:58 of the second period, which took the Devils' chances from 30% to 47%. Expected goals favored the Islanders, 2.3 to 1.9; shots on goal were NJD 24, NYI 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Islanders win a replay of these chances 58% of the time. Mackenzie Blackwood stopped 22 of 27 (.815), 2.7 goals below expected; Ilya Sorokin stopped 23 of 24 (.958), 0.9 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Brock Nelson (2 G), 2. Leo Komarov (2 A), 3. Mathew Barzal (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYI
    B. Nelson2 G
  2. ★★
    NYI
    L. Komarov2 A
  3. ★★★
    NYI
    M. Barzal1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NJDNJD0417013124
NYINYI11221124527

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. NYI
    wristxG 0.16win prob +15 pts
    0-1
    18:01

2nd period

  1. NJD
    wristxG 0.15win prob +17 pts
    1-1
    4:58
  2. NYI
    B. Nelson(17)PPG
    wristxG 0.12win prob +13 pts
    1-2
    9:00
  3. NYI
    wristxG 0.12win prob +16 pts
    1-3
    12:40

3rd period

  1. NYI
    wristxG 0.12win prob +6 pts
    1-4
    3:32
  2. NYI
    wristxG 0.16win prob +1 pts
    1-5
    4:09

Penalties

NJD 6 PIM·NYI 4 PIM

1st

  • 9:12NJDJack Hughes · Interferencedrawn by Kyle Palmieri2 min

2nd

  • 0:47NJDMichael McLeod · High stickingdrawn by Jordan Eberle2 min
  • 0:53NYIMathew Barzal · Trippingdrawn by Nico Hischier2 min
  • 1:43NYICasey Cizikas · Boardingdrawn by Yegor Sharangovich2 min
  • 8:45NJDWill Butcher · Hookingdrawn by Matt Martin2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYI goalNJD goalFinal: NYI 100%

Biggest swing: Andreas Johnsson, 2nd 4:58 — NJD 30% → 47%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Eberle · On goal · xG 0.18B. Nelson · On goal · xG 0.16J. Eberle · Goal · xG 0.16M. Barzal · Goal · xG 0.16N. Leddy · On goal · xG 0.14B. Nelson · Goal · xG 0.12K. Palmieri · Goal · xG 0.12B. Nelson · Goal · xG 0.12O. Wahlstrom · On goal · xG 0.11J. Eberle · On goal · xG 0.10O. Wahlstrom · On goal · xG 0.10J. Eberle · On goal · xG 0.10R. Pulock · Missed · xG 0.10M. Barzal · On goal · xG 0.08O. Wahlstrom · On goal · xG 0.06C. Cizikas · On goal · xG 0.06C. Cizikas · Missed · xG 0.05A. Beauvillier · On goal · xG 0.04K. Palmieri · On goal · xG 0.04J. Eberle · On goal · xG 0.03N. Dobson · On goal · xG 0.03A. Greene · On goal · xG 0.03O. Wahlstrom · On goal · xG 0.03A. Pelech · Missed · xG 0.03C. Cizikas · On goal · xG 0.02R. Pulock · On goal · xG 0.02S. Mayfield · On goal · xG 0.02M. Martin · On goal · xG 0.02A. Greene · Missed · xG 0.02N. Dobson · Missed · xG 0.02S. Mayfield · Missed · xG 0.02N. Dobson · On goal · xG 0.01O. Wahlstrom · On goal · xG 0.01
NYI5 G · 2.3 xG · 33 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NJDvsNYI
1.91 G
All situations
5 G2.3
1.61 G
Even strength
4 G1.9
0.30 G
Power play
1 G0.4
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 67 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NJD42%58%NYI

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.93 – 2.32

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NJDvsNYI
24
Shots on goal
27
45%
Faceoffs
55%
0/2
Power play
1/3
6
Penalty minutes
4
23
Hits
25
22
Blocked shots
13
12
Giveaways
10
7
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
New Jersey Devils skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
28D. SeversonD000000.00010—25:14
8W. ButcherD000-220.07162—20:44
22R. MurrayD000-130.09140—20:02
13N. HischierC000-200.001105718:30
59J. KuokkanenC000-210.03100018:30
71J. SiegenthalerD000-200.10310—17:58
37P. ZachaC000040.540007516:44
88K. BahlD000-100.00720—16:42
7M. TennysonD011000.00110—16:30
86J. HughesC000030.300121816:26
63J. BrattL000-230.15010—16:12
17Y. SharangovichC000010.02100015:51
20M. McLeodC011-100.001024413:33
14N. BastianR000-200.00300—13:20
90J. BoqvistC000-100.050303313:12
11A. JohnssonL101+130.28100—12:47
25N. FooteL000+120.12110—12:08
44M. WoodL000-120.20100—11:22
New Jersey Devils goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
29M. Blackwood(L)27225.8152.34-2.6660:00

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).