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Devils at Islanders
NHL

New Jersey Devils at New York Islanders

NHL scoreboard
New Jersey Devils
3
New York Islanders
▸5
FinalTV MSG+, MSG+ 2·Nassau Veterans Memorial Coliseum

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Islanders beat the New Jersey Devils 5-3. The Islanders scored first and never trailed. The Islanders led 4-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Adam Pelech's goal at 9:54 of the first period, which took the Islanders' chances from 67% to 81%. Expected goals favored the Islanders, 4.3 to 1.4; shots on goal were NJD 22, NYI 33. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Islanders win a replay of these chances 87% of the time. Mackenzie Blackwood stopped 28 of 33 (.848), 1.1 goals below expected; Ilya Sorokin stopped 19 of 22 (.864), 1.6 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Adam Pelech (1 G), 2. Matt Martin (1 G), 3. Ryan Pulock (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYI
    A. Pelech1 G
  2. ★★
    NYI
    M. Martin1 G
  3. ★★★
    NYI
    R. Pulock2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NJDNJD0606310322
NYINYI2821619533

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. NYI
    M. Martin(5)
    S. Mayfield (6), N. Leddy (16)
    snapxG 0.04win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    3:15
  2. NYI
    A. Pelech(2)
    R. Pulock (11), A. Lee (7)
    wristxG 0.02win prob +14 pts
    0-2
    9:54

2nd period

  1. NYI
    N. Dobson(3)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.13win prob +8 pts
    0-3
    14:05
  2. NYI
    J. Bailey(3)
    C. Cizikas (7)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +2 pts
    0-4
    17:13

3rd period

  1. NJD
    J. Kuokkanen(3)
    P. Subban (9), T. Zajac (6)
    wristxG 0.24win prob +1 pts
    1-4
    3:23
  2. NJD
    M. Maltsev(4)
    S. Vatanen (2), M. McLeod (2)
    backhandxG 0.01win prob +5 pts
    2-4
    4:03
  3. NYI
    B. Nelson(11)
    R. Pulock (12)
    tip-inxG 0.13win prob +5 pts
    2-5
    4:44
  4. NJD
    J. Hughes(6)
    A. Johnsson (4), J. Bratt (9)
    backhandxG 0.15win prob +1 pts
    3-5
    15:52

Penalties

NJD 10 PIM·NYI 2 PIM

1st

  • 16:09NJDTy Smith · Interferencedrawn by Jordan Eberle2 min

2nd

  • 14:05NJDserved by M. Wood · Delaying game unsuccessful challenge2 min

3rd

  • 6:12NJDRyan Murray · High sticking double minordrawn by Casey Cizikas4 min
  • 9:56NYIserved by M. Barzal · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 17:31NJDKyle Palmieri · Interferencedrawn by Jean-Gabriel Pageau2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYI goalNJD goalFinal: NYI 100%

Biggest swing: Adam Pelech, 1st 9:54 — NYI 67% → 81%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Clutterbuck · Missed · xG 0.41A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.23J. Pageau · On goal · xG 0.21C. Cizikas · Missed · xG 0.21M. Barzal · On goal · xG 0.18C. Clutterbuck · On goal · xG 0.15M. Martin · On goal · xG 0.14C. Clutterbuck · On goal · xG 0.14J. Bailey · On goal · xG 0.13B. Nelson · Goal · xG 0.13N. Dobson · Goal · xG 0.13M. Martin · On goal · xG 0.12A. Beauvillier · On goal · xG 0.12B. Nelson · On goal · xG 0.12J. Bailey · On goal · xG 0.12M. Dal Colle · Missed · xG 0.12M. Dal Colle · Missed · xG 0.11B. Nelson · On goal · xG 0.10J. Eberle · Missed · xG 0.09M. Dal Colle · Missed · xG 0.09J. Pageau · Missed · xG 0.09J. Bailey · On goal · xG 0.08M. Barzal · Missed · xG 0.07A. Beauvillier · On goal · xG 0.07N. Dobson · Missed · xG 0.06J. Pageau · Missed · xG 0.06O. Wahlstrom · Missed · xG 0.06J. Eberle · On goal · xG 0.05J. Eberle · On goal · xG 0.05J. Bailey · Goal · xG 0.05J. Bailey · On goal · xG 0.05C. Clutterbuck · Missed · xG 0.05M. Martin · Goal · xG 0.04S. Mayfield · On goal · xG 0.04R. Pulock · On goal · xG 0.04O. Wahlstrom · On goal · xG 0.04S. Mayfield · On goal · xG 0.04J. Eberle · On goal · xG 0.04A. Beauvillier · On goal · xG 0.03S. Mayfield · Missed · xG 0.03R. Pulock · On goal · xG 0.03R. Pulock · On goal · xG 0.03A. Pelech · Goal · xG 0.02N. Dobson · Missed · xG 0.02A. Pelech · On goal · xG 0.02A. Pelech · Missed · xG 0.02A. Pelech · On goal · xG 0.02A. Greene · On goal · xG 0.02A. Pelech · On goal · xG 0.01J. Eberle · Missed · xG 0.01A. Greene · Missed · xG 0.01
NYI5 G · 4.3 xG · 51 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NJDvsNYI
1.43 G
All situations
5 G4.3
1.23 G
Even strength
5 G3.0
0.10 G
Power play
0 G0.8
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 78 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NJD13%87%NYI

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.41 – 3.82

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NJDvsNYI
22
Shots on goal
33
47%
Faceoffs
53%
0/1
Power play
0/5
10
Penalty minutes
2
24
Hits
18
13
Blocked shots
17
13
Giveaways
6
4
Takeaways
2

Box score

every player line
New Jersey Devils skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
28D. SeversonD000-300.00100—24:35
45S. VatanenD011+110.05000—21:48
24T. SmithD000-210.02012—19:50
19T. ZajacC011+110.024006319:23
76P. SubbanD011-120.08100—19:16
70D. KulikovD000-110.08300—19:10
17Y. SharangovichC000+130.24000019:06
37P. ZachaC000-300.000104318:09
21K. PalmieriC000-310.25302016:55
22R. MurrayD000+210.01144—15:55
86J. HughesC101-220.17000015:05
59J. KuokkanenC101+120.27020014:37
44M. WoodL000-210.04020—14:35
63J. BrattL011+120.06210—12:46
20M. McLeodC011000.002105011:59
23M. MaltsevL101030.09200—10:43
14N. BastianR000010.0551010009:23
11A. JohnssonL011000.00000—07:04
New Jersey Devils goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
29M. Blackwood(L)33285.8483.88-1.1259:41

Season series

NYI leads 6-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).